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October 2019 archive
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Oct 21
Wet, Windy, And Stormy Day Ahead…
A cold front will push across the Ohio Valley today. Ahead of the front, widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected. A few of these storms may become strong to severe with damaging straight line winds being the biggest concern.
The Storm Prediction Center now includes portions of central Indiana in a ‘marginal’ risk for severe weather.
We expect a couple of rounds of storms today- one mid to late morning followed by another this evening directly ahead of the cold front.
Rain will end from west to east during the evening as the cold front sweeps across the state. Before that, some area rain gauges may accumulate around an inch of rain today (a few locally heavier totals possible).
The other headline today will be strong and gusty winds (originally out of the southwest before shifting to west this evening). Even outside of thunderstorms, gusts in excess of 40 MPH can be expected.
Drier and cooler air will arrive Tuesday through Thursday before another chilly, wet weather maker blows into town Thursday evening into Friday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-windy-and-stormy-day-ahead/
Oct 20
Harvest ’19: Severe Storms For Southern IN Tomorrow? Precipitation And Temperature Trends Over The Upcoming 7-Days…
*Starting November 1st, our weekly agriculture and harvest updates will transition to weekly winter storm outlooks. We’ll maintain a lot of the feedback y’all have provided with the new weekly winter products. Come next growing season, the weekly agriculture and severe weather updates will return.
Forecast Period: 10.20.19 through 10.27.19
7-Day Precipitation: Average to slightly above average precipitation is expected through the period.
7-Day Temperatures: Below average temperatures are expected through the period.
Severe Weather: We’re monitoring the potential of a few strong to severe thunderstorms- mostly across southern portions of the state Monday afternoon and evening. The biggest concern has to do with the potential of damaging straight line winds with embedded cells that form directly ahead of the cold front tomorrow evening.
Frost/ Freeze: While most of the immediate region has already dealt with multiple hard frosts, frost and freeze conditions will expand south over the upcoming week. The coldest morning, overall, appears to be Saturday with the potential of a freeze extending south into the Ozarks and northern TN Valley.
Drought Monitor: The southern and eastern portion of the region remains in abnormally dry or drought conditions. The pattern ahead longer term does look favorable to erase a lot, if not all, of these dry/ droughty areas before the end of the year.
Summary: The upcoming 7-day period will feature two primary storm systems. The first arrives Monday with showers and thunderstorms. We’ll continue to monitor the potential of strong-severe storms across southern portions of Indiana tomorrow PM and update accordingly later this evening. The second system will be a colder feature and thunderstorms aren’t anticipated with Friday’s storm system. The pattern still seems poised to produce the coldest air so far this season just beyond the forecast period. Overall, upcoming 7-day rainfall totals are expected to range between 0.50″ and 0.75″ for most of immediate central Indiana.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/harvest-19-severe-storms-for-southern-in-tomorrow-precipitation-and-temperature-trends-over-the-upcoming-7-days/
Oct 19
VIDEO: Potential Shower This Evening? Looking Ahead To A Busy Week Of Weather…
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Oct 18
Friday Morning Rambles…
I. A mostly dry, but breezy weekend is dialed up! A couple light showers may scoot across western portions of the state Saturday, but “light” is the key word.
South winds are expected to gust between 20-25 MPH at times over the weekend. This will deliver milder air with high temperatures reaching the upper 60s to around 70° Saturday and Sunday.
II. An active week is on tap next week with (2) strong cold fronts slated to move through the region.
The first boundary will result in widespread showers and embedded thunder Monday. Most can expect around half an inch of rain with this system to open the work week. Cooler and blustery conditions will return into midweek.
The second cold front will move though late Thursday into Friday and feature another quick pop of rain (relatively light amounts expected at this time) followed by the coldest air mass so far this autumn heading into next weekend.
The air mass will be cold enough to ignite for the first lake effect snow outbreak of the season next weekend.
Finally, we still need to monitor the prospects of additional upper level energy that may try and result in a cold rain or wintry mix just before Halloween. Regardless, Halloween is looking quite chilly this year…
III. Our official annual winter outlook will be released later this month. The latest sea surface temperature anomalies have to make central and eastern winter weather lovers drool. The persistent warmth in the NE PAC should promote a more sustained western ridge/ central and eastern trough this winter when compared to the past couple. More on this and many other factors (including the Modoki Nino event) in the near future…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/friday-morning-rambles-5/