October 2019 archive

VIDEO: Rain Changes To Snow; Cold Open To November…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/31/video-rain-changes-to-snow-cold-open-to-november/

Halloween Snow Sets The Stage For What Lies Ahead…

Halloween morning will dawn with a cold rain. Coverage of rain will increase rather dramatically after midnight and continue through the morning rush before tapering off mid to late morning. An additional 0.50″ to 0.75″ will be common by the time this next round of rain moves out.

Rain will be widespread across central Indiana Halloween morning.

Colder air will begin to whip into central Indiana late morning into the early afternoon, accompanied by strong and gusty WNW winds. After a lull in the precipitation, snow flurries and scattered snow showers will develop across the area after lunch, potentially becoming a bit steadier (especially from Indianapolis and points north) during the 6p-8p time frame. Yes, trick-or-treaters (kids and adults alike) will need to be bundled up!

The first snowflakes of the season will fly Halloween afternoon-evening.

Snow will end rather abruptly between 9p and 10p and then the story will be the cold. By daybreak Friday, all of the region can expect to be in the middle 20s with wind chill values in the 10s.

A very cold open to our Friday is on deck.

With the MJO focused on rumbling into Phase 5 (and eventually 6), along with a deeply negative EPO and slightly positive PNA, it’d be wise to gear up for more “out of season” cold and potentially wintry conditions as we move through the 1st half of November…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/30/halloween-snow-sets-the-stage-for-what-lies-ahead/

VIDEO: Halloween Snow; Unseasonably Cold & Stormy Pattern Sets Up For The 1st Half Of November…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/30/video-halloween-snow-unseasonably-cold-stormy-pattern-sets-up-for-the-1st-half-of-november/

Tuesday Morning Rambles: A Lot To Talk About…

I. A cold front will slip through central Indiana this evening. After a high near 60 today, temperatures will be stuck in the 40s most of the day tomorrow. To add insult to injury, rain will overspread the state from the southwest late tonight into Wednesday morning.

There will be brief lull in the rain Wednesday evening before rain becomes widespread yet again early Halloween morning. All total, many central Indiana rain gauges can anticipate around 1″ of rainfall with this storm system.

II. Speaking of Halloween, it’ll be important to dress warmly when out and about trick-or-treating Thursday evening. Falling temperatures, increasingly gusty winds, and snow flurries/ scattered snow showers can be expected. How cold? Temperatures will be falling into the lower 30s Thursday evening with a gusty wind (around 30 MPH) resulting in wind chills in the upper 10s to middle 20s.

Precipitation will transition to light snow showers/ flurries Thursday PM.
Wind chills will fall into the upper 10s to middle 20s Thursday PM.

III. The first lake effect snow event of the fall will take place this weekend. Accumulating snow is expected in the snow belt regions- especially Saturday night. Otherwise, the first official freeze of the season can be expected for many across the Ohio Valley this weekend.

IV. Longer term, I’d get used to the cold, more wintry weather. The pattern continues to look much colder than average and active as we rumble through the early part of the month. (In case you didn’t see it last night, our November Outlook can be found here).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/29/tuesday-morning-rambles-a-lot-to-talk-about/

VIDEO: November ’19 Outlook…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/28/video-november-19-outlook/

VIDEO: Weather More Of A Trick Vs. Treat This Halloween? Cold Open To November…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/28/video-weather-more-of-a-trick-vs-treat-this-halloween-cold-open-to-november/

Harvest ’19: Tracking Another Significant Storm This Week…

*Starting November 1st, our weekly agriculture and harvest updates will transition to weekly winter storm outlooks. We’ll maintain a lot of the feedback y’all have provided with the new weekly winter products. Come next growing season, the weekly agriculture and severe weather updates will return.

Forecast Period: 10.27.19 through 11.03.19

7-Day Precipitation: Average average precipitation is expected through the period.

7-Day Temperatures: Once the forecast period is said and done, below average temperatures can be expected, overall.

Severe Weather: Organized severe weather isn’t expected during the period.

Frost/ Freeze: The first frost and freeze of the fall season will likely take place next weekend across portions of the Deep South.

Drought Monitor: The latest drought monitor (taken before Friday and Saturday’s rain) shows abnormally dry/ drought conditions in place across southern IN into central OH. Thankfully, a long-term drought isn’t expected here. The pattern not only at present, but throughout the upcoming winter will feature plentiful precipitation, erasing any of the abnormally dry conditions that are currently in place.

Summary: We’re monitoring a couple of storm systems this week. The first system will scoot by to our northwest with a band of rain and snow from KS, IA, and into IL and WI during the early part of the work week. A second, stronger system will impact the region Wednesday into Friday. Another wind-driven rain will be the result, locally, Wednesday into Thursday before sharply colder air arrives to close the work week. The air will grow cold enough to support the potential of flurries or scattered snow showers late Thursday night into Friday. The first official freeze of the season is likely next weekend. Upcoming 7-day rainfall totals are expected to fall in the 0.75″ to 1.25″ range for most of immediate central Indiana.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/27/harvest-19-tracking-another-significant-storm-this-week/

VIDEO: Wet, Windy Saturday; Looking Ahead To Halloween And The Colder Pattern That Awaits…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/26/video-wet-windy-saturday-looking-ahead-to-halloween-and-the-colder-pattern-that-awaits/

VIDEO: Busy Time Of Things In The Good Ole Forecast Office…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/25/video-busy-time-of-things-in-the-good-ole-forecast-office/

Client Brief: Updates On The Latest With Saturday’s Rain/ Wind…

Type: Heavy Rain & Strong Wind

Rain will lift north across the Ohio Valley overnight into Saturday.

What: Heavy rain and gusty winds

When: Saturday

Rain Amounts: 1″ to 2″

Wind: Variable 15-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH

It continues to look like a significant rain and wind maker wants to take up residence across the Ohio Valley this weekend. Focusing more specific to central Indiana, Saturday is the day for the biggest impacts. A rather expansive rain shield will lift north across the state late tonight into Saturday morning, becoming heavy at times during the day Saturday. The other item to focus on is the wind. East winds will become strong and gusty during the day Saturday before shifting to the southeast, south, and eventually southwest as the area of low pressure moves very close to overhead. During this timeframe, winds may gust to 45 MPH Saturday night. Once the area of low pressure moves to our northeast, winds will shift around to the west Sunday morning and diminish. Overall, storm total rainfall amounts across central Indiana continue to look like they will check-in between 1″ and 1.5″ for most with a few locally heavier reports. The last of the rain will exit to the northeast before sunrise Sunday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/25/client-brief-updates-on-the-latest-with-saturdays-rain-wind/

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