Category Archives: Tropics

Pleasant Labor Day Weekend; Another Cool Shot Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Dry Labor Day weekend
  • Cold front arrives early Tuesday
  • Another cool shot next week

Improving Skies West To East Today…The remnants of Harvey led to heavy, wind-whipped, rain across southern and southeastern portions of the state Friday.  Appropriately, today is the “transition day” towards brighter and briefly warmer times as Labor Day approaches.  We’ll notice improving sky conditions from west to east today as the remnants of Harvey continue to track east.  Today also won’t be nearly as windy as Friday.  We awoke to temperatures at mid-October levels, including many in the 40s across central Indiana this morning.  Despite the increasing sunshine, temperatures will run around 10° below average this afternoon.

A cold front will approach late Labor Day night and early Tuesday.  Sunshine will dominate Monday, but we will note an increasingly gusty SW breeze by afternoon as the cold front draws closer.  That front will slide through Tuesday and could have a scattered shower or thunderstorm with it as it passes (best chances of storms will be across the southern half of the state).  Behind the frontal boundary, another shot of well below normal air (October-like) will descend into the region.  With cold air aloft and just enough upper level energy around, widely scattered showers are possible during the afternoon hours Wednesday and Thursday.

Tropics:  Irma will dominate weather headlines during the upcoming week.  It’s far too early to know precisely where Irma will track, but folks with interests along the East Coast (from the southern FL peninsula all the way up to the north Atlantic coast) should monitor the progress of Irma closely.  In addition to the likelihood of a major hurricane, the overall size of Irma will become larger as the week progresses.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.10″ – 0.25″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Harvey, Labor Day Weekend, Rain, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Windy

Rain Returns; Late Week “Backdoor” Cold Front…

Highlights:

  • Rain and storm chances increase
  • Late week cold front
  • Gearing up for a bigger blast of fall air

Dry Close To The Weekend…First and foremost, our thoughts and prayers are with Texas as one of the worst flood events in our country’s history is unfolding this morning.  With days of heavy rain ahead, an additonal 20″-30″ will fall on eastern Texas.  Just horrific.

Here on the home front, we’ll wrap up the weekend on a dry note, but upper level energy will drift overhead late tonight and help generate scattered showers and thunderstorms as early as the predawn hours Monday.  We’ll maintain a bit of an unsettled regime into Tuesday before dry conditions return Wednesday.

A backdoor cold front will push through central Indiana Thursday and a broken line of showers and thunderstorms may accompany this frontal passage.  A northeasterly flow will usher in an unseasonably cool, early fall-like, close to the work week.

Looking ahead, an even stronger cold front has it’s eyes set on the region late next weekend or early the following week.  Strong thunderstorm potential is present with this storm system followed by the coolest air since last spring…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Flooding, Forecast, Harvey, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Pleasant Close To The Week; Harvey Questions…

Highlights:

  • Dry and unseasonably cool close to the week
  • Shower chances return
  • Watching Harvey

Can’t Ask For Anything Better…Our weather to wrap up the work week will be dominated by cool Canadian high pressure.  This will supply plentiful sunshine and unseasonably cool conditions.

A cold front will approach early next week before “washing out” over the Ohio Valley.  Shower chances will increase in association with this frontal boundary late Sunday night into early next week.  Dry conditions will return by the middle of next week along with slightly cooler than average temperatures.

Tropics: Harvey continues to dominate the headlines and rightfully so.  Devastating impacts will be dealt to Texas from a rain, surge, and wind perspective.  He will be upgraded to a major hurricane today.  It’s still far too early to know how far north Henry will eventually make it late next week before getting absorbed by an approaching trough.  Portions of the Ohio Valley are still on the table for potential rain impacts from Harvey late next week.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Harvey, Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Tuesday Storms Then Much Cooler…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms with locally heavy rain
  • Early fall-like feel arrives
  • Dry weather returns

Cold Front Arrives…A cold front is pressing into the state today and generating unsettled weather across the region.  Widespread heavy rains fell overnight across northern parts of the state (areas just west of Lafayette have picked up 3″-4″ of rain during the past 24 hours).  Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected through early evening before a much drier and cooler air mass arrives tonight behind the frontal passage.

That drier and cooler regime will set the tone for the rest of the week and weekend.  High pressure will settle in and provide plentiful sunshine.  Additionally, cool, Canadian air will pour south as we progress through the second half of the week.  This will result in well below normal temperatures and conditions that will feel more like mid to late September rather than late August.

Tropics:  Harvey is likely to stage a comeback over the next few days once he emerges into the southwest Gulf of Mexico.  Folks with interests along the Texas coastline should certainly monitor Harvey for tropical implications as the weekend approaches.  An interior heavy rain/ flood threat will result, as well.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.75″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather