May 2021 archive

VIDEO: The Heat Is On…

Updated 05.18.21 @ 8:31a

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Evening VIDEO: Stormy At Times Now, But A Drier Trend Develops For The 2nd Half Of The Week; MJO Plays A Big Role To Close May/ Open June…

Updated 05.17.21 @ 4:51p

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Unsettled Open To The Week…

Updated 05.17.21 @ 7:51a The transition to a more summer-like regime is being kicked off with showers and embedded thunder this morning. As we look forward to the rest of…

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Change Is On The Horizon…

Updated 05.16.21 @ 7:40a

Scattered light showers are scooting across central Indiana this morning but our airmass still will take some time to saturate throughout all levels. As such, we don’t expect widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder until we get into the new work week. You’ll notice an increasingly muggy time of things Monday and Tuesday. Note the Gulf connection below. This will send dew points well into the 60s. Temperatures will also be on the rise (low/mid 80s) which will have things feeling very much like summer by mid and late week.

The transition of air masses will lead to a stretch of unsettled weather. We note model guidance has trended wetter over the past 24 hours for immediate central Indiana. We’re now honing in on Monday evening into Tuesday morning offering up the most widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder. Locally heavy rain will be possible during this timeframe. Some central Indiana rain gauges may pick up more than 2” of rain during this time period. Widespread 1.25” to 1.75” amounts can be expected.

Scattered, “splash and dash” storms will remain in our forecast into midweek before high pressure nudges itself into place and promotes a drier regime for the 2nd half of the week.

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Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 05.15.21 @ 7:29a

Temperatures will run slightly above normal (for a change) across a good chunk of the country through the upcoming 7 days. Only exception to this will be across the South.
The Heartland will be in the cross hairs of a multi day heavy rain event this week. Meanwhile, from the central and Ohio Valley and points east we’re looking at a continued dry stretch.
Central Indiana can expect between 1” and 1.5” of rain in the week ahead on average.
This will be an active week for the Plains as a multi day severe weather episode compliments what will also be an evolving flood risk.

Forecast Period: 05.15.21 through 05.22.21

Change is ahead over the upcoming week towards a pattern more typical of what we’d come to expect this time of year. We’ll say goodbye to the cool, crisp air in the short term period and replace it with an increasingly warm and muggy feel of things. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany this transition. While the chances of widespread heavy rain are diminishing, we will see scattered to numerous showers and storms during the early and middle part of the work week. These will be of the “splash and dash” variety and certainly won’t require any cancellation of outdoor plans. High pressure appears like it’ll nudge its way into the region Wednesday night, allowing us to enjoy another stretch of dry conditions as we close the work week and head into next weekend.

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