June 2019 archive

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/30/video-rinse-and-repeat-through-the-short-term-updated-long-range-thoughts/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/29/video-weekend-discussion-and-looking-ahead-to-wetter-cooler-times/

Jun 28

Sizzling Temperatures Dominate Headlines Into The Holiday…

• Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

• June 28, 2019

It’s been an easy going summer so far from a heat and humidity standpoint, but that’s all about to change as we move through the upcoming week leading up to Independence Day.

An upper level ridge will dominate our pattern into the middle of next week.

This will serve to eliminate widespread rain and thunderstorm coverage across central Indiana during the short-term. (Isolated to widely scattered coverage is all we can expect this weekend into the early part of next week). Additionally, the hottest air of the summer season thus far is on deck. We’re expecting 5 of the upcoming 7 days to feature highs around the 90 degree mark. Humidity will also build into early next week with overnight lows not falling lower than the lower 70s some mornings.

As we look ahead, the upper ridge will begin to break down by the middle of next week and with that will come increasing chances for better coverage of showers and thunderstorms.

Longer term, we still anticipate the pattern to progress in a manner that will allow cooler and wetter conditions to return before mid-month. Our reasoning can be found in last night’s video update in case you missed it!

• Leave comment

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/28/sizzling-temperatures-dominate-headlines-into-the-holiday/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/27/video-heat-and-humidity-carry-the-day-now-looking-ahead-to-the-1st-half-of-july/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/26/video-the-heat-is-on/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/25/video-craving-more-traditional-summer-weather-youre-in-luck-but-better-enjoy-while-we-have-it/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/24/video-drier-warmer-window-opens-into-early-july/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/23/all-access-video-july-outlook/

Jun 23

Bumpy Ride Possible This Afternoon And Evening…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, HRRR, Severe Weather, Windy

• June 23, 2019

While the weather is currently quiet across central Indiana, that will likely change in a significant way as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours.

As we look at the current radar, note the widespread showers and thunderstorms off to our southwest. More importantly, the latest couple of frames indicate a strengthening line of storms beginning to “bow” out along the eastern flank (along the MO/ IL state line).

The environment in place upstream into southern and central Indiana remains one that would tend to favor these storms strengthening further in the coming hours.

We note the Storm Prediction Center has nudge the Slight Risk further north to encompass more of southern and central Indiana with their latest update and we would agree with this.

We think storm coverage (and intensity) will really begin to ramp up after 3p and the latest HRRR shows this nicely:

Greatest concern with any severe storms that develop has to do with strong and potentially damaging straight line winds. It’ll be important to remain weather-aware this afternoon into the evening hours.

*More later this evening, including our finalized July Outlook.

• Leave comment

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/23/bumpy-ride-possible-this-afternoon-and-evening/

Jun 23

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

• Filed under AG Report, Client, Severe Weather

• June 23, 2019

Forecast period: 06.24.19 through 06.30.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.

Severe Outlook: While a couple of strong storms are possible during the period, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated during the above forecast period.

Summary: The forecast period will feature an overall drier and warmer theme than what we’ve been used to of late. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger to open the work week before high pressure builds overhead and results in an overall dry forecast Tuesday. Upper level energy will allow scattered storms to return Wednesday before we dry things out again Thursday and Friday. As we look ahead to next weekend, a “backdoor” cold front will likely result in an uptick in rain chances Saturday followed by a cooler push of air by the 2nd half of next weekend.

• Leave comment

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/06/23/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-4/