Category: T-storms

VIDEO: Short-Term Update On Storms Moving In & Looking At The Weekend…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/03/video-short-term-update-on-storms-moving-in-looking-at-the-weekend/

Tracking Storms To Close The Work Week Before A Fantastic Saturday!

Storms are ongoing across northern portions of the state this evening and these will continue into the wee morning hours, as illustrated by the latest high resolution forecast radar products.

Forecast radar at 1a Thursday.

As we progress into the predawn hours, we’ll notice increasing coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity across central Indiana.  It sure appears as if the Thursday morning commute will feature noisy storms, including locally heavy rain.

Forecast radar at 8a Thursday.

After the morning round of storms scoots off to the east, drier times are forecast to arrive through the early afternoon, but storms should quickly redevelop during the evening hours, continuing in scattered fashion into the first half of Friday.

Forecast radar at 6p Thursday.

Finally, as the front passes Friday afternoon, a line of strong storms may impact southern Indiana prior to sunset Friday.  Here across central Indiana, we’ll notice a drier brand of air working in from northwest to southeast through the evening hours.

Forecast radar at 7p Friday.

Thoughts haven’t changed with respect to rainfall totals: 0.50″ to 1″ with locally heavier amounts, especially across northern portions of the state.

High pressure returns Saturday and will help set up a fantastic weather day.  We’ll enjoy an increasingly sunny sky and pleasant temperatures topping out in the middle 70s Saturday afternoon.  It’ll be a perfect day for those Cinco de Mayo and Derby festivities!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/02/tracking-storms-to-close-the-work-week-before-a-fantastic-saturday/

VIDEO: Summer-like Feel Wednesday Helps Fuel Storm Chances; Longer Range Thoughts…

For the first time this spring, you’ll really notice the muggy nature to the air by Wednesday afternoon, as dew points climb from the pleasant 50s (Wednesday morning) to near…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/01/video-summer-like-feel-wednesday-helps-fuel-storm-chances-longer-range-thoughts/

Warmth Dominates; Timing Out Storm Chances Over The Upcoming 10-Day Period…

After a month-to-date temperature anomaly map that looks like this:

…and a year-to-date that looks like this:

…sustained warmth is music to the ears of many Hoosiers!  Thankfully, the balance of the upcoming (10) days will feature warmer than average conditions, as illustrated by the latest European ensemble data.

This will include multiple days with high temperatures rising into the 80s over the upcoming 10-day stretch (Tuesday and Wednesday and again next Monday through Wednesday).

As for storm chances, dry times will continue to dominate Tuesday with plentiful sunshine. Clouds will begin to increase Wednesday and we can’t rule out an afternoon shower, but most should still remain dry.  Thursday and Friday will offer up the best chances of getting wet, including embedded thunder.

As for rainfall totals, it still appears widespread amounts will check-in in the half inch to one inch range, but a few locally heavier amounts can be expected.

Models continue to dry us out in time for the weekend and all of those important Cinco de Mayo/ Derby plans.  An increasingly sunny sky will be with us along with highs in the middle 70s Saturday afternoon!  Can you say “perfection?”

Looking ahead, I’m not sold we won’t have to deal with showers Sunday as a disturbance moves nearby (low confidence forecast from this distance).  More widespread showers and thunderstorms will arrive on the scene late next week…

We also note the majority of longer range guidance trending warmer for May. We’ll have some updated thoughts on that later this week!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/30/warmth-dominates-timing-out-storm-chances-over-the-upcoming-10-day-period/

VIDEO: Warming Trend Highlights The Upcoming Week; Unsettled Times Return Midweek…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/29/video-warming-trend-highlights-the-upcoming-week-unsettled-times-return-midweek/

Weekend Rambles: Dry Conditions Remain; Sunday Morning Freeze…

I. A cold front blew through the state last night and we’ll deal with a gusty northerly breeze throughout the day. At times, periods of low clouds will be with us, especially into the early afternoon hours.  As skies clear and winds diminish tonight, a hard freeze is likely for most of central Indiana, including the potential of setting a new record low in Indianapolis (record low for Sunday is 31°).

II. High pressure will build in for the second half of the weekend and remain in control of our weather through the first half of the work week.  Dry conditions will remain along with a significant warming trend.

III. We’ll actually go above normal (for a change) through the early and middle parts of next week, including highs around 80° by Tuesday!

IV. Unsettled weather returns for the second half of the work week. Models differ on rainfall totals, but we’ll include mention of 7-day totals in the 0.75″ to 1.25″ range- most of which falls Thursday and Friday.

V. Cooler than normal temperatures will return for Week 2 so be sure to enjoy the warmth while we have it next week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/28/weekend-rambles-dry-conditions-remain-sunday-morning-freeze/

VIDEO: New Record Low Sunday? Looking Ahead To Next Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/27/video-new-record-low-sunday-looking-ahead-to-next-week/

VIDEO: Gusty Storms For Some Wednesday PM Then Calmer Times Arrive…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/17/video-gusty-storms-for-some-wednesday-pm-then-calmer-times-arrive/

Week Ahead: Cool Continues To Dominate…

A significant spring storm system will continue to grab headlines through the short-term. In addition to a raging blizzard across the northern tier into the Great Lakes, severe weather will be an issue across the deep South today.  Here on the home front, morning rain will give way to drier conditions for the afternoon and evening hours only to return yet again tonight and into Sunday morning.

At times, rain will fall at a moderate to heavy intensity tonight into Sunday, especially across the eastern half of the state.  Additional rainfall totals of 1″ to 2″ can be expected in and around the city, itself, and points east.

The other item of interest tonight will be the tight temperature gradient across the state.  Don’t be surprised by perhaps as much of a 30° spread from north to central parts of the state this evening as the “backdoor” cold front begins to drop south.  You’ll certainly notice once the front passes.

Eventually, cold will overwhelm and the second half of the weekend will wrap up on a downright “raw” note.  As precipitation wraps around the area of low pressure Sunday night and Monday, it’ll fall as snow here.  In fact, snowfall intensity is likely to be great enough to put down a coating in spots Monday morning across central Indiana.

Drier weather returns Tuesday before a weak weather system deliver gusty winds and a possible shower Wednesday (not a big deal).  The majority of the upcoming week will run well below average- highlighted by the coldest day on Monday and reinforcing chill Thursday and Friday.

Our next storm system of significance will be slated for an arrival next weekend. While we’ll have to fine tune timing as we get closer, plan on increasing rain chances as the day progresses next Saturday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/14/week-ahead-cool-continues-to-dominate/

VIDEO: Looking At The Weekend And Next Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/04/13/video-looking-at-the-weekend-and-next-week/

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