Category: Forecast Models

Tuesday Morning Rambles: Shower Chances Return Today…

1.)  2017 continues to fly along.  August features 3.13″ of rain during the month and temperatures that start out with an average high and low of 84°/ 65° and 83°/ 62° to end the month.  Needless to say, temperatures this weekend will feature well below normal conditions that will feel more like it should jumping forward 6 weeks, or so.

2.)  Moisture returns today and results in scattered shower coverage this afternoon and Wednesday.  Most of both days will remain rain-free, but don’t be surprised by a passing shower at times.

Scattered showers return this evening across central Indiana.

3.)  More widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms arrive Thursday afternoon into Friday morning as a strong cold front presses into the state.  Localized heavy rain is possible and rainfall totals of 0.50″-1.00″ can be expected (with locally heavier amounts under stronger storms) between now and Friday.

4.)  As surface low pressure wraps up over the Great Lakes Friday, it’ll help pull unseasonably cool air south into the state, along with gusty northwest winds.  In fact, temperatures will remain steady or slowly fall as we move through the day Friday.  It sure won’t feel like the first weekend of August as temperatures tumble into the 50s area-wide Saturday morning.

Temperatures will feel more like late-September this weekend.

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VIDEO: Unsettled Weather Returns; Early Taste Of Autumn By Friday…

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Even Cooler Next Weekend: Early Taste Of Autumn…

The weather this weekend has been simply stunning.  We’ve enjoyed unseasonably cool and refreshing air to go along with wall-to-wall sunshine.  If you’re a fan of the unseasonably refreshing conditions, you’re in luck, as another blast of September-like air will arrive next weekend.

A cold front will sweep through the state Friday morning.  While we’ll handle the specifics from a precipitation perspective in later posts, most widespread showers and thunderstorms appear to arrive Thursday.  A deep trough will take up residence across the Mid West and East next weekend and result in temperatures more like late-September that early-August.

Look for fairly steady or slowly falling temperatures Friday afternoon (how often can we say that in early August?!) along with a gusty northwest breeze.  That will set the tone for the weekend that will include low temperatures in the lower to middle 50s and highs in the middle 70s.  Unlike this weekend, we’ll have a few more clouds and the threat of a passing shower with enough upper level energy around.

Much more later!  Enjoy your Sunday, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/even-cooler-next-weekend-early-taste-of-autumn/

JMA Weeklies: Hottest Of The Summer Is Behind Us…

The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:

  • An unseasonably cool close to July
  • Worst of the summer heat is behind us
  • Warmest anomalies along the East and West Coasts

Week 1:

A trough will sink into the central and eastern portions of the country and result in rather widespread below normal and quite refreshing conditions as we close the month of July.  Along with the cool, dry air will come an extended stretch of rain-free conditions through the latter portions of next week.

Week 2:

The JMA suggests the mean trough position will remain across the central portions of the country with signals of ridging developing along the Northwest coast.  Cool, wet weather (compared to average) is forecast central as the heat continues across the West.  We also note developing warmth across the Northeast region.

Weeks 3-4:

Seasonal temperatures are set to unfold across the central late August with warmest anomalies painting themselves across the Northeast and Northwest portions of the country.  The pattern, locally, is set to become more active from a precipitation perspective as wet conditions return.

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VIDEO: Locally Heavy Rain Thursday; Unseasonably Cool & Refreshing Weekend…

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