Category: AG Report

Jun 10

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 06.10.19 through 06.17.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run well below average through the period.


Severe Outlook: Widespread severe weather isn’t anticipated through the period. With that said, we’ll keep an eye on the potential of a couple gusty storms Wednesday as vigorous upper level energy and an associated cold front blow through the state.

Summary: After a wet close to the weekend, drier air will return today and Tuesday, along with increasing sunshine from west to east by this afternoon. Our next system of note arrives Wednesday in the form of a cold front. This will serve to reinforce the unseasonably cool air in place across the region for late week, but also may provide a few gusty storms as it moves through the area. Shower coverage will be scattered to widespread Wednesday. Another system will approach over the weekend with unsettled conditions expected both Saturday and Sunday.

While temperatures will run below normal throughout the period, the coolest day of the week appears to be Thursday with highs only in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-2/

Jun 04

Evening All-Access Video: It’s Not All “Doom And Gloom;” Updated Thoughts Around Late Week-This Weekend…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/evening-all-access-video-its-not-all-doom-and-gloom-updated-thoughts-around-late-week-this-weekend/

Jun 02

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast Period: 06.02.19 through 06.09.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperatures: Above normal temperatures are expected through the period, mostly thanks to warmer than average overnight lows.

Severe Weather: We’ll remain quiet through early week before things begin to turn more active by midweek. The Storm Prediction Center is including the southern half of the region in a risk of severe weather by Wednesday (noted in the Day 4 Outlook below).

Summary: After a pleasant and quiet open to the period (today and Monday), thinks will begin to turn more active thereafter. Initially, it’ll take some time to “moisten” things up on Tuesday, but at the very least, light to moderate rain should work across central Indiana late Tuesday morning into the afternoon. Things will be fully saturated by Wednesday and periods of more concentrated rain, occasionally heavy, can be expected into the weekend. Unfortunately, guidance is in rather remarkable agreement of widespread 1.5″ to 2.5″ with locally heavier totals over the upcoming 7-day period.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook/

May 29

June Outlook: Does The Wet Pattern Continue?

Averages for June are as follows:

  • Average Low: 62.1 (f)
  • Avearge High: 81.9 (f)
  • Average Rain: 4.25″
  • Average Snow: 0.00″

As we head to the 50-yard line of 2019 (already?!), we’re of the belief we’re looking at a cooler than normal month of June with close to average rainfall. Before we get into our reasoning of such, let’s look at a few snap shots of the latest data:

CFSv2

JMA

NMME

Though we can’t show it, the longer range European model paints a cool, wet picture from the south-central into the Plains and portions of the Northeast.

Given the analogs we’ve looked over with weak El Ninos along with similar MJO pulses, we’ve built a generally wet and cool June forecast nationally:

Ridging should support warmer than average conditions across the Southeast and Pacific Northwest, along with a rather widespread cooler than normal regime through the south-central Plains into the Great Lakes and New England. Unfortunately, we think wetter than normal conditions remain from the Delta into the central Plains. With that said, conditions seem more favorable for planting through a large portion of the OHV region.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/june-outlook-does-the-wet-pattern-continue/

May 25

VIDEO: #Indy500 Update And #AGwx Report…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-indy500-update-and-agwx-report/