Category: 7-Day Outlook

Dec 23

Unseasonably Mild Today…

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Highlights:

  • Very mild today
  • Rain to snow Christmas Eve
  • Winter Threat Sunday-Monday

Mild Day; Scattered Showers…Today is going to be the mildest day of the month by far.  As we type this, we’re more than 20 degrees above where we should be at this time of day.  Almost balmy out!  While scattered showers will be possible through the day, steadier and heavier rains will hold off until Christmas Eve morning (there will be many dry hours today).

Merry Christmas; Rain Switching To Snow Before Ending…We still forecast a rainy Christmas Eve, but as colder air moves in, rain will end as snow showers/ flurries Christmas Eve night.  This doesn’t appear to be a big deal from an accumulation perspective, but we’ll keep a close eye on it.

We love snow as much (if not more) than any other snow lover and would love a white Christmas, but let’s remember the reason for the season and put things into perspective.  In all actuality, a white Christmas doesn’t matter in the least ;-).  We’ll enjoy a couple of drier and milder days Christmas and for the big shopping day Friday!

Eyeing The Weekend…A winter threat remains on the table for the upcoming weekend into early next week, but we’ll have to fine tune timing and precise track in the days ahead.  Let’s get through the Christmas Eve storm first.

Regardless, the pattern looks very cold to welcome in 2015…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1 – 3″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/23/unseasonably-mild-today/

Dec 22

Active Weather For Christmas Week…

Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun.               30/ 47 40/ 50 32/ 40 29/ 39 32/ 48 25/ 37 21/ 31 Highlights: Rain To Snow Christmas Eve Keeping A…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/22/active-weather-for-christmas-week/

Dec 20

Keeping A Close Eye On Christmas Eve…

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Highlights:

  • Light Snow This Morning Downstate
  • Big Storm Brewing Christmas Eve
  • Cold/ Stormy Pattern Setting Up To Close 2014

Light Snow Downstate; Quiet Weekend…It doesn’t take much snow to make a mess of things on area roadways and sure enough that’s the case this morning as light snow has created slick spots on I-65 across southern portions of the state. Travel safely and slow down if you’re heading south.  All-in-all, the weekend will be a quiet one with temperatures very close to where they should be for this time of year.  We’re keeping our fingers crossed for a few looks at the sun for the second half of the weekend.

Big Storm Brewing; Still Questions Around Specifics…Let’s cut right to the chase….  While confidence is increasing on some wind-whipped snow Christmas Eve, there are still many more questions than answers in regards to precisely when and where the accumulating snow sets up across the state.

We’ll cloud things up Monday and introduce some light rain late in the day with periods of rain and mild temperatures Tuesday.  It’s as the storm begins to deepen and head north that we should get in on more of a wintry aspect, including strong and gusty winds Christmas Eve (continues to look like a bumpy ride for Santa this year) with falling temperatures after a midnight high.  Winds may gust in excess of 40-50 MPH Christmas Eve.  Needless to say, it won’t take much snow to make a mess of travel with those type winds.  Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune over the weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 2″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/20/keeping-a-close-eye-on-christmas-eve/

Dec 18

Needed Quiet Time Before An Active Christmas Week…

Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Christmas Eve Christmas Day               22/ 33 25/ 37 26/ 40 30/ 46 33/ 45 29/ 33 29/ 37 …

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/18/needed-quiet-time-before-an-active-christmas-week/

Dec 18

Stormy Period Christmas To New Years…

Indications are that not one, but two storm systems will impact the region during the Christmas to New Year time period. This is part of the shift back to more…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/18/stormy-period-christmas-to-new-years/

Dec 15

Turning Colder Later Today; Keeping Close Tabs On The Weekend…

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Highlights:

  • Tuesday Showers
  • Weekend Snow For Some
  • Pre-Christmas Wintry Event

Showers; Turning Colder Late…Showers will remain in our forecast today.  Most widespread rain will occur during the early morning hours, but we’ll maintain mention of light showers in our forecast even into the afternoon.  Winds will be gusty and help drive colder air into central Indiana later this evening.  We forecast nearly steady temperatures during the morning and afternoon hours before falling temperatures during the evening.

Dry, But Cold Mid Week…We’ll welcome a drier regime for the midweek period, along with partly to mostly cloudy skies and colder conditions.

Eyeing The Weekend…There’s not much change in our overall thinking of a potentially snowy first half of the weekend for some.  Monday featured run-to-run inconsistencies on our weekend storm system and we fully expect additional changes within the model data during the next couple of days.  In building our forecasts we factor in current data, but also rely on past data of storm tracks with similar setups.

At the end of the day (and despite model inconsistencies) we still think one area of low pressure heads northeast out of the mid MS River Valley into the Ohio Valley Friday night into Saturday.  A secondary area of low pressure is then expected to organize along the mid Atlantic coast Saturday afternoon.  Widespread light snow should build into the Ohio Valley Saturday with the above set up.  Exactly where heavier snow sets up is still up for much debate and will require fine tuning as we move forward.

Christmas Travelers Keep Close Tabs On The Forecast…After our first opportunity of potential wintry weather we’ll enjoy only a day or two of calmer weather in between storms.  Longer range data suggests we need to keep abreast of another winter event just prior to Christmas.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 2″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/15/3276/

Dec 14

Busy Week Ahead…

Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun.               40/ 50 33/ 45 25/ 35 25/ 35 25/ 34 28/ 32 26/ 33  Highlights: Early…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/14/busy-week-ahead/

Dec 12

Weekend Inversion…

Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri.               31/ 44 38/ 50 40/ 50 35/ 48 27/ 35 26/ 35 25/ 35  Highlights: Weekend…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/12/weekend-inversion/

Dec 10

“Dirty” High In Control…

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Dirty High…High pressure is in control of our weather, but this is what we call a “dirty high” as low clouds will remain today along with a couple light flurries, particularly across western parts of the state.  Temperatures will remain colder than average.

Sunshine will finally begin to increase as we go into the latter portion of the work week along with slowly moderating temperatures closer to seasonal levels.

Tricky Weekend…The upper air pattern this weekend will feature a building ridge across the Mid West and Ohio Valley and signal milder days ahead.  Taken at face value one would anticipate temperatures well into the 50s and flirting with 60, but there will likely be an “inversion” that develops over the weekend which will lead to lots of clouds, drizzle, and cooler temperatures that what we’d expect without this inversion.  As such, we’re forecasting increasing clouds Saturday and considerable cloudiness with areas of drizzle Sunday.  Temperatures, though milder than normal, won’t reach levels they could in this type pattern without the inversion.

Early Week Storm System…Our next storm system will arrive late Monday into Tuesday with light rain and colder air returning for the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/10/dirty-high-in-control/

Dec 09

A Look At Where We’ve Been And Where We’re Going…

December so far has been a battle between the cold northern tier and warmth south. The so-called “battle zone” has been located over our neck of the woods and lead…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/09/a-look-at-where-weve-been-and-where-were-going-4/

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