Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Busy, active pattern
- Unseasonably cool
- Multiple hard freezes ahead
Fast-Moving Weather Pattern…The upcoming forecast period will feature multiple fast-moving weather systems in an almost every other day format. It’s an unseasonably chilly pattern, as whole, as well.
Saturday has opened with plentiful sunshine, but clouds will quickly increase and winds will turn strong (50+ MPH gusts) as we progress into the afternoon. Batten down the hatches. A few showers will accompany those clouds and some small hail is also possible with a few “stronger” showers. As colder air pours in this evening, widely scattered snow showers will impact north-central IN.
A hard freeze will take place tonight into Sunday morning. High pressure will briefly supply a mostly sunny day Sunday, but our next system will approach late Sunday night. Consequently, SW winds will turn strong and gusty late Sunday and a broken band of showers will be associated with reinforcing chilly air late Sunday night into the pre dawn hours Monday.
A more significant storm system will arrive on the scenes mid week and feature more widespread rains Wednesday (perhaps an embedded thunderstorm, as well). As a cold front slides through here Thursday, MUCH colder air will push into central IN and transition lingering left over moisture into scattered snow showers/ flurries late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Friday certainly won’t feel much like April around these parts…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/02/unseasonably-chilly-active-pattern/
We open the forecast period dry and pleasant, but we turn stormy late Easter Sunday and MUCH colder air still looks to arrive as we welcome April. Details can be…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/26/saturday-morning-video-update-4/
Highlights:
- Showers and t-storms
- Chilly Good Friday
- Tricky Easter Forecast
Showers And Embedded Thunder Today…Showers and thunderstorms will be with us for the majority of the late morning and afternoon hours before a cold front sweeps through the state tonight and sets up a dry, but much colder time of things for Good Friday. Locally heavy downpours are a good bet today, including some 1″+ totals across central parts of the state.
The first half of the Easter weekend is looking very nice. Certainly of the two days, we’d recommend getting that Easter Egg Hunt in on Saturday as clouds will increase Easter Sunday and give way to late day rain. Modeling isn’t in agreement on the timing of rain Easter, but we’re siding more with the GFS approach for now (earlier arrival when compared to the European). Stay tuned as we fine tune ;-).
Our “topsy turvy” weather pattern will continue into next week, but we still eye a significant cold front and associated MUCH colder air mass during the first (10) days of April…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/24/wet-day-on-tap/
Highlights:
- Dry, chilly open to the week
- Unsettled mid week
- Watching Easter
Ice Scrapers Needed This Morning…Many Indiana neighborhoods awoke to temperatures in the 20s this morning. Thankfully, that late March sun angle will help boost temperatures quickly today to around 50 for afternoon highs.
A warm front will lift through the region Tuesday and could spark a shower or two, but most will remain dry. We’ll turn briefly milder Tuesday and Wednesday before better coverage of showers and embedded thunder arrive on scene Thursday. This is in association with a cold front that will deliver a quick pop of colder air to close the week, including Good Friday. There’s the chance enough cold air could catch lingering moisture to allow for a few snow showers late Thursday night before we dry things out completely.
As we look ahead to Easter, another storm system will arrive quickly. As such, we’re forced to increase rain chances (and coverage) Easter Sunday.
Longer term, indications continue to point towards a rather rude open to April, including well below normal temperatures.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/21/the-ups-and-downs-of-spring/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, PSD, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles
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March 20, 2016
1.) Indianapolis is running much warmer (+9.1°) and slightly drier than normal (-0.15″) month-to-date. 2.) Snow is flying to our southwest, and accumulating for some in and around St.…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/20/sunday-weather-rambles/
Highlights:
- Chilly, showery weekend- especially south
- Wet snow mixes with rain tonight into early Sunday morning
- Turning warmer by mid week
- Late week showers and storms
Chilly Weekend…We’re dealing with a much colder feel this weekend (jackets and coats required as you venture out to watch the “madness” at your favorite local spot later today). That said, not all of the region will deal with precipitation. This morning into the early afternoon, showers will be most widespread from Indy and points south. Later tonight, another band of precipitation will develop in association with upper level energy, but mainly be confined to the western and southwestern parts of the state. It’s within this band, that we expect wet snow to mix in. With the exception of some early morning snow showers tomorrow, drier air should win out for the majority of the day. It’ll remain colder than normal.
We’ll open the work week on a chilly, dry note, but a warm front will lift through the state Tuesday. A quick-hitting shower is possible as the front lifts north, but the bigger deal will be a noted SW wind shift (it’ll turn gusty) and a much warmer feel by afternoon/ evening. Better chances of showers and thunderstorms will rumble into the state Thursday before we turn quickly colder by Good Friday.
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/19/chilly-weekend/
Highlights:
- Mostly dry close to the work week
- Rain to snow this weekend
- Quickly warmer early next week
Keep The Jackets Nearby…We’ve enjoyed April and May-like temperatures over the past couple weeks, so you knew we had to make up for the warmth sooner or later. Thankfully, the pending weekend chill isn’t anything we can’t handle. That said, it will serve as a rather rude shock to the system for those craving sustained spring.
We’ll wrap up the work week on a mostly dry note (only a spotty shower chance), but we’ll increase overall coverage of shower activity Saturday. While it’ll be far from a wash out, when you combine the areal increase of shower coverage and much colder air, it may be a day to spend indoors watching basketball (any excuse will work, right? ;-)). As colder air gets involved, it’s possible rain ends as a wet snow flake, or two.
We’ll turn briefly milder early and middle parts of next week as a warm front passes with showers Tuesday. Steadier rains arrive Wednesday before colder air returns yet again heading into the Easter weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/16/much-colder-weekend-coming/
Highlights:
- Rainy open to the week
- Severe storms possible Tuesday night
- Active pattern continues this week
Rainy Monday; Severe Storms Possible Tuesday…A disturbance is helping push showers and thunderstorms north into central IN to open the work week. Most of the rain and embedded thunderstorms will fall during the morning into the afternoon hours before drier air works in here tonight. That will set us up for a mostly dry, breezy, and warm Tuesday, but all attention will be on Tuesday night. We still think thunderstorms that ignite in IL Tuesday afternoon will race eastward and impact Indiana Tuesday night. More specifically, we’re bracketing the hours of 8p-2a for severe prospects locally. All modes of severe weather are in play, particularly damaging winds and hail. Stay tuned.
As we progress into the second half of the week, things remain rather busy. A couple weak disturbances could offer up Thursday showers (especially south). The evolution of things this weekend is still very much up in the air, but for now we’ll go with increasing clouds Saturday giving way to showers. As colder air gets involved with this storm system, precipitation may mix or end as wet snow Sunday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/14/rainy-monday-severe-weather-possible-tuesday-night/
Highlights:
- Turning stormy this weekend
- Warm open to the week
- Active times give way to a colder finish to the week
Thunderstorms Develop Tonight…A warm front is lifting through the state this morning and this could spark a few showers as it passes through central IN through the late morning hours. Most of today will be dry before heavier rains and embedded thunderstorms push into the region tonight into Sunday morning. By the way, don’t forget to set those clocks ahead an hour tonight ;-).
Rather unsettled weather will continue through the early and middle portions of the work week, but we caution timing is still up in the air. It’s an active regime that will require fine tuning. As things stand now, we forecast scattered showers and storms Monday and a mostly dry Tuesday. Gusty SW winds will pull anomalous warmth into the region Tuesday before storms blow into the state late Tuesday night/ Wednesday. This is in association with a cold front that will have things feeling much cooler around these parts to close the work week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/12/turning-stormy-later-tonight/
Highlights:
- Heavier rains arrives on scene tonight-Thursday
- Dry, nice close to the work week
- Weekend rain and storm return
- Very warm early next week
Good Sleeping Weather Tonight…Today will offer up scattered showers, but it’s really tonight through Thursday afternoon that has us focused for most widespread and heavier rain (along with embedded thunder). This is the first of two “slugs” of moisture that will provide hefty rain totals between now and early next week. The second surge of moisture will arrive late Saturday into the day Sunday. The trade off? An absolutely beautiful close to the work week.
Once we shake the rain early next week, we’ll really crank the thermometer. We expect middle 70s next Tuesday across most of central IN. We caution though that colder times loom around March 20th. Don’t put away the winter gear just yet…
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/09/heavier-rain-builds-in-tonight/
