Category: 7-Day Outlook

Aug 16

Warm And Muggy; “Splash And Dash” Storms…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms
  • Saturday showers
  • Surge of heat ahead of a late week cool down next week

More Dry Time Than Stormy…A warm and moist southwesterly air flow will have things feeling quite muggy today.  This tropical feel will also help fuel scattered thunderstorms by evening, continuing into tonight.  While everyone won’t get wet today, those that do have the potential of picking up a quick 1″ in a short period of time.  A cold front will cross the state Thursday and will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms going.  While this isn’t a uniform soaking, we’ll take what we can get as things have been bone dry around these parts lately.

After a quiet and slightly cooler Friday, an upper level disturbance will deliver another round of showers and embedded thunderstorms Saturday.  Dry weather will return to wrap up the weekend Sunday.

Looking ahead, a surge of heat, albeit brief, will have things feeling quite toasty around the Mid West early next week.  We think we flirt with, or exceed, the 90° mark both Monday and Tuesday.  Thunderstorms will increase Tuesday as a cold front drops in from the northwest.  Behind the front, data still paints a much cooler regime for the second half of next week; fall-like!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/warm-and-muggy-splash-and-dash-storms/

Aug 14

Classic Mid-August Weather…

Highlights:

  • Dry open to the work week
  • Unsettled times return
  • Cooler air heading into the weekend

Storm Chances Begin To Increase…While southern portions of the state will get wet today, dry air should result in a rain-free Monday here across central Indiana.  That will begin to change later this week as moisture returns and that muggy summer feel develops for midweek.  In addition to the increasingly humid nature to our airmass, a cold front will approach from the west.  Coverage of storms tomorrow should remain few and far between (isolated), but overall coverage will increase Wednesday into Thursday (scattered to numerous).

The cold front will sweep to our east Thursday night and result in a beautiful close to the work week, complete with cooler temperatures and lower humidity levels.  The weekend will feature a disturbance dropping in from the northwest and this will be sufficient enough to kick up scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening before dry times return Sunday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/classic-mid-august-weather/

Aug 12

Gorgeous Weekend; Humidity Returns Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Beautiful weekend dialed up
  • Humidity returns
  • Scattered storms late week

Refreshing Conditions Continue…A cold front settled south of the region last night, allowing drier and slightly cooler air to filter in during the overnight.  That sets the stage for the weekend as we can expect dry and refreshing conditions, along with below average temperatures.

Dry skies will continue into the new work week, but humidity will slowly begin to increase once we get to midweek.  A southwesterly air flow will develop ahead of our next storm system that will deliver scattered thunderstorms by Thursday.  Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue Friday morning, however, early indications suggest next weekend is also dry.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.75″

Cool August:  The month has opened impressively cool with a CONUS average anomaly of – 2.75° through the 10th.  More specifically to Indianapolis, we’re running 3° below normal through the 11th.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/gorgeous-weekend-humidity-returns-next-week/

Aug 10

Scattered Storm Chances Return…

Highlights:

  • Scattered t-storm chances return
  • Mostly dry, pleasant weekend
  • Rain chances return early next week

Frontal Boundary Moves In Friday…Another sunny, pleasant late-summer day is on tap before a cold front approaches late tonight. This frontal boundary will be responsible for creating scattered thunderstorms Friday across central IN.  Current indications suggest rain won’t be widespread or particularly heavy, but don’t be surprised by a local downpour or two as we wrap up the work week.

Dry and pleasant weather will return over the weekend, complete with plentiful sunshine.  Our next storm system approaches Sunday night into Monday with the potential of more widespread rain.  With that said, there’s considerable model disagreement with regard to overall rain coverage and amounts Monday (European is the most aggressive with widespread rain).  We’ll go with a blend of the two for now (scattered thunderstorm chances) and hope for better agreement later today.  We’ll provide updates after taking a good look at 12z data.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/scattered-storm-chances-return/

Aug 07

Considerable Cloudiness To Open The Work Week…

Highlights:

  • Mostly cloudy start to the work week
  • Another cold front moves in
  • Turning cooler late in the weekend

Comfortable Late-Summer Week Ahead…Talk about a bust of a Sunday forecast on our part.  Dry air and lack of forcing resulted in steady rains remaining across southern parts of the state.  With the exception of a couple of brief showers, central and northern portions of the state remained dry most of the day.

While we’ll remain with mostly cloudy skies today, most of the region will once again remain free of any rain.  The exception will be across southeastern Indiana where steady rains have been falling this morning.  That will continue to move east into Ohio as we push forward.  Otherwise, drier air will arrive tonight and set the stage for increasing sunshine Tuesday and Wednesday.  With low humidity and below normal temperatures, both days will be great to spend time outdoors, or perhaps a trip to the Indiana State Fair is in order?

Moisture will begin to return by Thursday and with an approaching cold front, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be with us through the weekend.  As of now, most widespread storm coverage is expected late Saturday into Sunday morning.  We’ll turn significantly cooler than normal (yet again) early next week.

Tropics:  As expected in August into September, the tropics are turning increasingly active.  This morning, Tropical Storm Franklin continues to grab headlines as he is becoming more organized and positioned to impact the Yucatan today through Wednesday.  From there, Franklin is anticipated to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday.  With very warm waters and a low shear environment, Franklin should strengthen yet again before making a second landfall late in the work week along the east-central Mexican coast.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/considerable-cloudiness-to-open-the-work-week/