Category Archives: 7-Day Outlook

Heavy Rain; Strong Storms This Week…

Highlights:

  • Beautiful Sunday
  • Multiple rounds of heavy rain and storms through the work week
  • Cooler next weekend

Gearing Up For Busy Times…We’ll wrap the weekend up on a pleasant note with plentiful sunshine and low humidity.  Enjoy it as active times loom…

We’ll begin to notice an increase in humidity as early as tonight and there’s a chance some of our far western counties could get in on a shower or thunderstorm this evening into the nighttime.  Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will come in waves beginning Monday and continuing through the majority of the work week.  Individual disturbances moving southeast will have ample energy and moisture to work with and it won’t take much for storms to become severe in this kind of set-up.  Dew points will reach “oppressive” levels Monday into Tuesday (70°+) and precipitable water values will exceed 2″ at times.  Accordingly, where storms “train” there’s the potential of 3″-6″ of rain by week’s end.

While we can’t shut off rain and storm chances, we can introduce cooler and drier air working in here by the weekend.  Despite the drier, more refreshing feel, an active northwest flow will remain and a secondary cold front may sweep through the state Saturday, sparking additional showers and storms.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2″-3″ (locally heavier amounts)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms

Pleasant Weekend Gives Way To A Stormy Week Ahead…

It was a stormy Friday across central Indiana, including hail, damaging winds, and localized flash flooding.  Thankfully, as we open the weekend, weather conditions are much more pleasant.  The surface front that helped trigger the bumpy close to the work week has pushed south and is allowing a much more pleasant (much drier and slightly cooler) air mass to ooze into the region.  With the exception of patchy fog across southern Indiana, skies are mostly sunny.

Patchy fog will burn off by 10a across southern Indiana.
A cooler and less humid feel is greeting us out the door this morning.

Pleasant weather will remain through the majority of Sunday, but we’ll begin to notice an uptick in humidity late in the day.  This is a harbinger of things to come as a true tropical feel lifts back north.  Factor in the increasing moisture levels (it’ll feel oppressive by mid-week) with increasing amounts of energy and instability and big storms will likely result.

A moisture-rich air mass will engulf the region much of the upcoming work week.

The core of the heat will be centered over the western half of the country next week and with a northwest flow aloft, we’ll have to remain on guard for individual disturbances tracking southeast into the Mid West and Ohio Valley.  These will help trigger more widespread storm coverage from time-to-time through the week.  Similar to the storms yesterday, large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding are the biggest concerns with these storm complexes.  7-day rainfall totals through late-week will feature widespread 2″-3″ across central Indiana, including locally heavier amounts of 3″-6″ in spots where storms train.  We’ll have to sure-up specific storm timing as we get closer.

As we look ahead, timing, once again, may be our friend, as modeling currently suggests a drier regime returns by next weekend.

Make it a great Saturday, friends!  More later!

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, AG Report, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms

Strong Storm Potential Friday Before A Pleasant Saturday…

Highlights:

  • Strong-to-severe storms Friday
  • Pleasant Saturday
  • Humidity and storms return

Active Friday For Some…Before we can discuss the pleasant and absolutely gorgeous weather conditions that will welcome in the weekend, we have to deal with a potentially “bumpy” few hours Friday afternoon into the early evening across portions of the state.

Central Indiana is under the gun for severe weather Friday.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines central and southern portions of the state for the threat of severe weather Friday.  Damaging straight line winds are the greatest concern with a line of storms that develop Friday afternoon and push southeast.  Drier weather will quickly build in behind a cold front Friday evening and help usher in a very pleasant open to the weekend.  We’ll certainly notice the lower dew points Saturday and cooler feel with plentiful sunshine.  Enjoy it!

Unfortunately the pleasant and dry conditions won’t last very long, and shower chances return as quickly as Sunday afternoon.  Humidity and a true tropical feel will also engulf the region next week.  This, combined with upper air disturbances moving through the Mid West and Ohio Valley, will aid in daily “splash and dash” thunderstorm coverage.  With a moisture-rich air mass in place, stronger storms will produce torrential downpours.  Overall, the active and unsettled summer that central Indiana has grown accustomed to shows no signs of let-up in the week ahead…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall:  0.00″
  • Rainfall:  2.00″-3.00″ (locally higher totals)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms

Mainly Dry Weekend; Stormy Weather Returns Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Mostly dry this weekend
  • Unsettled next week
  • Locally heavy rain

Classic Summertime Weather…While we’ll deal with some clouds from time to time today, most of the region will remain rain-free.  Best chances of seeing a passing shower will be across the southern half of the state.  Sunday will feature partly cloudy and seasonable conditions.  It’ll be a great day to be outdoors!

Unsettled conditions will return next week, including Independence Day.  Storm coverage will be most widespread during the afternoon and evening hours in this “rinse and repeat” pattern through late week.  That said, each day will offer up many more dry hours than stormy.  Just have a “plan B” in mind when those passing storms arrive.

Looking ahead, we may inject a drier and slightly cooler regime next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, T-storms

Muggy Air (And Storm Chances) Returns…

Highlights:

  • One more pleasant day
  • Humidity increases
  • Storm chances return

Unsettled Weather Looms…We’ve got one more pleasant day to enjoy, but take advantage of it as changes for a more tropical-feel loom.  With that increasingly warm and moist air, we’ll also see an increase in showers and thunderstorms as we wrap up the week.  While it won’t rain the entire time, a couple rounds of strong-to-severe thunderstorms are possible during the Thursday afternoon-Friday period.

We think we return to drier conditions late weekend into Monday, but this drier theme likely won’t hold through the holiday period.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms return by Independence Day.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ -1.50″ (locally heavier totals)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather