Category Archives: 7-Day Outlook

Heavy Rain And Storms Thursday; Phenomenal Weekend Ahead…

Highlights:

  • Turning more humid this afternoon
  • Heavy rain Thursday
  • Cooler and drier weekend ahead

Heavy Rain Tomorrow…Wednesday is getting off to a pleasant and beautiful start across the Hoosier state.  Sunshine will be with us throughout the day, but our pleasant air mass that we’re awaking to will grow increasingly moist this afternoon and evening.  Our next storm system approaches late tonight and will help push widespread rain and thunderstorms across the state early Thursday morning.  With such high water content in our air mass, expect periods of heavy rain across the region.  Localized flooding will result.

The trade off to the wet and stormy Thursday will be an incredible weekend.  Despite a few lingering showers Friday, we’ll notice a dramatic drop in humidity Friday night and this will set the stage for a refreshing last weekend of July.  In fact, temperatures will grow cool enough both Saturday and Sunday mornings to perhaps trigger a feel of early autumn for some.  Plentiful sunshine can be expected along with unseasonably low dew points with a northeasterly flow in place.

Temperatures and moisture levels will slowly increase as we get into early next week.  With the increasing humidity, expect increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms towards the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 3.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Flooding, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Now This Is More Like It…

Highlights:

  • Less humid air builds in
  • Mid-week storms
  • Refreshing weekend

Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will build overhead today and result in a dry open to the work week.  A surface front moved south through the region late last night and north winds will help drier air continue to build in as we move through the day.  By this evening, we’ll really feel the more refreshing brand of air.

We’ll remain rain-free through Tuesday before our next cold front approaches late Wednesday into Thursday.  Most of Wednesday will remain dry, as well, but we’ll mention chances of a late night thunderstorm arriving from the northwest.  Better overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected Thursday.

Timing is our friend this go around as the front passes Thursday evening, allowing a much drier and cooler air mass to build in.  Considering this is the last weekend of July, it’ll feel very, very pleasant.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Periods Of Storms Interrupt An Otherwise Hot, Humid Regime…

Highlights:

  • Periods of storms
  • Heat and humidity makes things uncomfortable
  • Drier early next week

Mother Nature Calls…Many awoke early this morning as a complex of thunderstorms rumbled southeast into central Indiana.  Some local rain gauges are already registering 2″+ across the region.  Eventually, we think clouds will thin enough later today to allow temperatures to zoom close to 90°.  Factor in the moisture-rich nature of our air mass and heat indices will approach 105° later this afternoon.

We’ll keep mention of scattered storms this evening and while most of the daytime Saturday looks dry, we’ll have to keep a close eye on Saturday night as models try to deliver another round of storms into central Indiana.  Ingredients will be in place for the potential of severe thunderstorms Saturday night, with damaging winds being the biggest concern from a severe perspective.

A frontal boundary will push south and we’ll finally begin to see humidity levels fall as we close the weekend and open next week.  It’ll feel very refreshing during the Monday-Tuesday stretch.

Heat, humidity, and storm chances return by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1″ – 3″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Increasingly Hot And Humid…

Highlights:

  • Increasingly hot and humid
  • Isolated storm coverage becomes more widespread
  • Relief next week

Air You Can Wear…The big weather story will be the increasingly hot and humid feel as we progress through the week and on into the weekend.  The combination of dew points in the 70s and wet soils across the state should “beat back” the heat from getting to where it otherwise could (mid-upper 90s), but it’ll feel oppressive, nonetheless.  Plan to hydrate and wear cool, lightweight clothing if you plan to be outdoors for any length of time.

While we can’t completely rule out a renegade storm through Friday, most neighborhoods will remain free of any rain through the remainder of the work week.  Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase over the weekend into early next week as the transition from hot, humid weather begins to give way to a more pleasant feel.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Dew points, Forecast, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Monday Morning Rambles…

1.)  July, MTD, is running slightly cooler (- 0.1°) and much wetter (+ 2.31″) than average across the region.

2.)  While the radar is rain and storm-free this morning, a left over boundary, combined with daytime heating will help spark isolated to widely scattered storm coverage this afternoon.

3.)  The big weather story this week will be an increasingly hot and humid feel once to mid and late week, including the weekend.  While today will continue the theme of slightly cooler than average from the weekend, we’ll more than make up for the refreshing feel later this week.  Highs will push to around 90° Wednesday through Sunday as the ridge expands.

4.)  Despite the hot and humid feel that develops this week, it won’t last.  Like so many other times this summer that heat tries to build east, the transient weather pattern will continue to prevent it from “hitting and holding.”  You guessed it, as we transition from the hot conditions to cooler weather next week, rain and storm chances will be on the increase, including the potential of heavy rain.  As of now, best rain and storm chances appear lined up for late week through the weekend and into early next week.

7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles