Category: 7-Day Outlook

May 09

Busy Pattern; Cool Blast Late Week…

Screen Shot 2016-05-09 at 2.55.53 PMHighlights:

  • Scattered showers and storms continue
  • Big cool blast looms
  • Renewed wet stretch next week?

Active Times…It’s not so much the amount of rain that we’re seeing, but the overall duration of the gloomy, wet times.  A stalled frontal boundary will remain draped over central parts of the state over the next 72 hours and this will help create periods of showers and thunderstorms through mid week.  Localized heavy rain is possible, but the heavy rain totals certainly won’t fall in a “uniform” fashion.  Tuesday afternoon and evening appears to still offer up a strong to severe thunderstorm chance.

Eventually a cold front will sweep the state Thursday and help usher in a much cooler air mass to wrap up the work week.  An upper level disturbance will follow and provide a period of showers and light rain Friday evening.  A spotty shower may continue Saturday with the much cooler air, but more widespread rains look to build in Sunday into Monday.  There remains a great deal of disagreement on the forecast late in the weekend into early next week, so stay tuned as we fine tune things in the days ahead.

It’s a busy pattern, indeed, friends…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/09/busy-pattern-cool-blast-late-week/

May 09

Monday Morning Video Update: Strong Storms Tuesday; Much Colder End To The Week…

An unsettled week ahead will feature periods of more widespread rain and stronger storms at times between now and Wednesday.  We’re focused on Tuesday for the potential of strong to…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/09/monday-morning-video-update-strong-storms-tuesday-much-colder-end-to-the-week/

May 08

Unsettled Week; Another Cool Blast Looms…

Screen Shot 2016-05-08 at 8.54.42 AMHighlights:

  • Cool Mother’s Day
  • Periods Of Rain And Storms
  • Another Cool Blast Looms

Have The Rain Gear Handy; Don’t Put Away Those Coats…A “wavy” frontal boundary will remain in our general vicinity over the next few days and be responsible for offering up periods of showers and eventually thunderstorms (as warmer, more humid air surges in Monday).  It’s a “rinse and repeat” pattern this week as daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue.  Models are in agreement on rain amounts of 1.5″-2″ between now and Thursday night, with locally higher amounts.

Eventually, a cold front will sweep through the state Thursday evening and set up a MUCH cooler than normal weekend.  Instability-driven showers are possible Saturday, but the big story will be the unseasonably chilly air over the weekend into early next week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/08/unsettled-week-another-cool-blast-looms/

May 06

Fantastic Friday; Storms Return Saturday Evening…

Screen Shot 2016-05-06 at 7.41.04 AMHighlights:

  • Pick of the week is today
  • Evening severe potential Saturday
  • Unsettled stretch continues

Have The Sunglasses Handy Today…Today is easily the pick of the week as high pressure supplies sunshine and a cool start.  With the May sun angle in place, chilly morning lows in the lower 40s will quickly rise into the lower 70s for afternoon highs.

A cold front will approach Saturday and slice into a briefly warm and humid air mass in place across the region.  With highs approaching 80 and dew points surging into the lower 60s, don’t be surprised by strong to severe thunderstorms across central IN during the afternoon and evening hours.

The cold front will slip to our south for Sunday, but remain close enough to continue shower chances across central parts of the state.  It’ll be a much cooler day with a north wind in play.

As we move into the new work week, we’ll continue the active and unsettled theme.  While it won’t rain the entire time, expect numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms through mid week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/06/fantastic-friday-storms-return-saturday-evening/

May 05

Hang In There Friends…

An upper level low is still impacting our weather this morning, but this feature isn’t wasting any time scooting southeast. In fact, by this afternoon, we should be looking at increasingly sunny skies and temperatures that will slowly recover from the chilly, raw readings of this morning.

With the increasing sunshine, temperatures will recover into the lower 60s today (still below average, but an improvement).


High pressure will build into the region to wrap up the work week and provide a delightful close to what’s been a rather gloomy week. Mostly sunny skies and temperatures into the lower 70s are on tap.

That said, this is still an active weather pattern that will require close attention in the week ahead.

The anamalous trough will “relax” and give way to transient ridging, but there are indications of another trough setting up Days 8-10. Giving the pattern, it’s likely that the aforementioned trough will be deeper (more significant) than what model data currently portrays (image 3).


It’s a rather wet pattern, as well. 7-day rain numbers of 1″-1.5″ seems reasonable with locally heavier totals. 


Our next chance of rain comes Saturday in the form of scattered, mostly PM variety, storms.

More later! Make it a great Thursday! 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/05/hang-in-there-friends/

May 02

Monday Afternoon Video Update…

It’s a cool, gloomy open to the work week.  We’ll turn even cooler by mid week, BUT changes are coming that promise increasingly warm and sunny conditions by the weekend.…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/02/monday-afternoon-video-update/

May 01

Strong Storms This Evening; Cool Open To May…

Screen Shot 2016-05-01 at 10.57.11 AMHighlights:

  • Strong storms develop this evening
  • Scattered showers through mid week
  • Unseasonably cool open to May

Watching For Evening Storm Development…The morning has gotten off to a beautiful start across central IN, but the sunshine will likely be enough to help destabilize things just enough to assist in afternoon/ evening thunderstorm development.  Additionally, a frontal boundary remains draped across the state and we’ll await a wave of low pressure to move along the front this evening.  A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible with large hail and damaging straight line winds the biggest concerns.  We’ll keep an eye on the radar later today.

We’ll flip the page and turn much cooler for the upcoming week.  Reinforcing cool air will be accompanied by showers at times through the mid week period, but we should turn drier late week (and eventually warmer).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/01/strong-storms-this-evening-cool-open-to-may/

Apr 29

Dry Time Is Brief; Wet Saturday Ahead…

Screen Shot 2016-04-29 at 7.52.07 AMHighlights:

  • Friday sunshine before clouds increase late
  • Unsettled weekend
  • Reinforcing cool air next week accompanied by showers

Enjoy The Sun While We Have It…A dry day is on tap and while it’s gotten off to a sunny start, clouds will be on the increase late today.  Those clouds will deliver rain and scattered thunderstorms Saturday.  Some of the rain may be locally heavy.  We’re looking at widespread 1″-1.5″ totals, but there will be locally heavier amounts.  While scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain Sunday, the wetter of the two weekend days is slated for Saturday.

The work week will start dry with increasing sunshine, but cooler.  Reinforcing cool air will blow in Tuesday and again Thursday.  Each cool air reinforcement could be accompanied by a scattered light shower.  That said, next week looks significantly drier with compared to this week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/29/dry-time-is-brief-wet-saturday-ahead/

Apr 28

Thursday Morning Weather Notebook…

Noisy thunderstorms (non-severe) are impacting southern ‘burbs this morning, but dry time is coming as we get into the heart of the rush hour.  This dry time will continue into the late morning hours, but renewed showers and thunder will likely fire yet again early this afternoon (in scattered fashion).

2After an unsettled few days, we’ll get a break, albeit brief, from the wet, stormy times to close the work week.  High pressure will present an increasingly sunny sky Friday, but it’ll be much cooler than today (mid 60s for highs Friday).

4As mentioned, dry times won’t last long.  Rain builds back in Saturday and lingers into Sunday.  Locally heavy rain is possible, including embedded thunderstorms.  Early rain numbers fall in the 1″-1.5″ range over the weekend.

3As we open May, attention turns to a much cooler than normal feel of things.  In fact, overnight data is particularly bullish on the chill next Thursday morning (suggests mid 30s).

1

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/28/thursday-morning-weather-notebook/

Apr 26

Thunderstorms Fire This Afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-04-26 at 7.57.17 AMHighlights:

  • T-storms develop this afternoon
  • Another round of showers and t-storms push in Wednesday afternoon/ evening
  • Briefly drier Friday
  • New storm delivers a wet weekend

Turning Noisy This Afternoon…It’s a relatively quiet start to the day across central IN, but a cold front will help ignite rather robust shower and thunderstorm development as early as the lunchtime hour.  Storms will grow in intensity and coverage as we progress through the afternoon and evening, especially along I-70 and points south.  Locally heavy rain will be likely.  Stronger storms will be capable of producing hail and damaging winds.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms are on deck Wednesday afternoon and evening.  When all is said and done by Thursday morning, widespread rain totals of 1″ to 1.5″ will be a good bet, with locally heavier amounts.

Friday will feature a beautiful close to the work week with drier air working in and some sunshine.  That said, the sunny skies won’t last as showers and thunderstorms return over the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/26/thunderstorms-fire-this-afternoon/

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