Category Archives: Unseasonably Warm

Scattered Storms Today; More Widespread Rain Saturday…

screen-shot-2016-09-14-at-7-41-26-amHighlights:

  • Scattered storms
  • More concentrated; heavier rain this weekend
  • Drier to open the work week

Scattered Storms Around…A weak frontal boundary will kick up a couple of scattered storms today.  While rainfall totals won’t be uniform (some may not even see any rain at all), a couple of heavier downpours are a good bet.  We’ll notice a drier and slightly cooler air mass overnight into Thursday.

The dry time won’t last long as a more significant storm system approaches this weekend. Most of the daytime Friday should be dry, but rain and storm chances will increase Friday night and Saturday continues to look wet with periods of showers and thunderstorms.  Morning showers will impact portions of the region Sunday before we dry things out Sunday PM.  Dry times continue to open the new work week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″-1.50″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Tracking Two Fronts This Week…

It’s a quiet and cool start to the work week across central Indiana.  In fact, a couple upper 40s are showing up on the morning station plots.  It’s getting to be that time of the year…  (Feel free to click on the image to enlarge).

screen-shot-2016-09-12-at-7-35-53-amTemperatures are running slightly below average, locally, with cooler anomalies across the Northeast.

screen-shot-2016-09-12-at-7-37-20-amHigh pressure will remain entrenched over our region today and supply dry conditions and pleasant humidity levels.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_1Our next storm system will push in Wednesday and as the cold front sags south through the state, it will spark scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_10Reinforcing cool air will move in behind the front for a couple days.  Lows in the lower-middle 50s with highs in the upper 70s.

3As we flip the page to the weekend, it still looks rather damp Saturday as another boundary moves in.  This will have more moisture to work with when compared to Wednesday and rain coverage will be more widespread.  As a whole, (7) day rainfall totals should be in the 0.50″-1.00″ range for most.

4

5

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Tuesday Evening Weather Notebook…

It’s been a cool and dry start to the month of September. Through the first few days, IND is running 0.70° below normal and 0.44″ below average precipitation. 


The upper ridge currently in place will deliver more late summer heat through the end of the work week. It’ll remain mostly dry, as well. 


Much better rain and storm chances will have to be built into our forecast Friday into Saturday, courtesy of a cold front moving into the region. 


A much cooler regime will settle into the region over the weekend. Highs behind the front in the 70s with lows in the 50s will be common- after rain potential of 1″-1.5″ for most. 


A reinforcing shot of cool air will arrive the middle of the following week. Early indications suggest the second shot of fall-like air will be even cooler than this weekends’ and could feature widespread 40s at night. 

No Comments 10-day, Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Warmth Next Week Gives Way To A Cool Mid Month…

The refreshingly cool couple days we’ve recently enjoyed will begin to give way to moderating temperatures today.  Humidity levels will remain pleasant and it’ll be a great Labor Day weekend to spend time outdoors.  Highs will top out around 80 today and into the middle 80s Sunday.  Labor Day will feature the mercury climbing closer to the 90 degree mark.  – Fitting, I suppose, for the unofficial end to summer.

Humidity levels will be on the uptick come Monday evening and Tuesday as Gulf moisture is transported northward.

GulfMoistureIt’ll be a downright hot week, as well.  Temperatures will top out around 90 through the end of the short work week.

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_4As we rumble into next weekend and the following week indications continue to point towards wetter and cooler times.

After a dry week ahead, rain and storms will come with that increased humidity next weekend.

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_7Early numbers off the press suggest 1″-2″ rains possible next weekend.

The increased rain and storm chances signal another shift in the pattern towards a cooler one just beyond the Day 10 period.  From experience, I would look for this trough around mid month to trend deeper (more significant) as time draws closer.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_47It’s possible the first push of widespread 40s loom around the middle of the month.  Time will tell…

No Comments 10-day, Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Labor Day Weekend, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm