Category Archives: Summer

Humidity Increases; Late Week Storms Then Cooler…

Highlights:

  • Sunshine and warmth continues
  • Increasingly muggy feel develops
  • Storm chances return
  • Much cooler next week

Very Warm And Increasingly Humid…High pressure will supply continued dry conditions, along with unseasonably warm temperatures through midweek.  A southwesterly air flow will help push an increasingly muggy feel into the region by Wednesday.  “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate way to sum things up!  🙂

That increasing moisture will eventually yield better coverage of showers and thunderstorms as we move through late week into the weekend.  It certainly won’t rain the entire time, but periods of scattered thunderstorms will be with us Thursday through Monday morning.  With high moisture content, locally heavy rains will be possible.

A cold front will move through the state Sunday night and Monday and result in a significantly cooler trend next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

A Beautiful Mother’s Day; Summer-like Feel This Week…

Highlights:

  • Sun-filled weather
  • Trending warmer and more humid
  • Storm chances return late week

Happy Mother’s Day…High pressure will provide stellar weather conditions to celebrate mom outdoors today.  Look for plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and warm temperatures.  Enjoy the day!

Dry weather will continue through early week, along with progressively warmer conditions.  A southwesterly air flow will also develop and help pull increasingly moist air out of the Gulf of Mexico northbound.  It’s safe to say that humidity levels will grow into the “uncomfortable” category by midweek.

With that increasingly moist air mass in place and an approaching frontal system to our west, we’ll begin to increase scattered shower and thunderstorm chances by Thursday, continuing (in scattered fashion) into the weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Pleasant Weekend; Summer-like Feel Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Drier trend develops
  • Warming up
  • Summer-like feel next week

This Is More Like It…High pressure will build into the region over the weekend.  With the exception of a weak disturbance that may kick up a couple showers across northeastern portions of the state Saturday, the balance of the upcoming 7-day period will be rain-free.  This extended dry spell is certainly well deserved and should continue into early next week.  Get out there and make the most of it!

A southwesterly air flow will help transport a warmer and increasingly muggy air mass into the region next week.  While we’ll need to keep an eye on this increasingly moist and unstable air mass for storm chances, we’re siding with a more “optimistic” approach to the forecast period and hold storm chances off until Thursday.  Regardless of storm chances, next week will certainly take on a more summer-like feel…to the delight of many!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Spring, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Looking Ahead Into Early April…

Month-to-date, Indianapolis is running near seasonal norms from a temperature standpoint (0.50° above normal).  Chill has dominated the northern tier and eastern third of the country.

Precipitation is running above normal, locally, to the tune of nearly 1″ month-to-date.  Heaviest rains have fallen across southeastern Indiana over the past (30) days.

A look at precipitation anomalies across the mid west, month-to-date:

As we progress through the upcoming (10) days, a transient weather pattern will persist.  This will keep forecasters busy, but it should also be stressed it’s not all a “doom and gloom” type pattern, either.  There will be plenty of dry time over the upcoming period, including drier conditions building in tomorrow (Tuesday) into a good chunk of Wednesday.

By Wednesday night/ Thursday morning, shower chances will begin to increase and that will set the stage for a wet close to the work week as numerous showers and embedded thunder move across the region Thursday into Friday.  This is courtesy of a storm system “bowling” through to our south.  This won’t be a severe weather maker for our neck of the woods, but will serve to create a rather damp and gloomy regime during the aforementioned period.

However, timing is our friend this go around as upper ridging develops over the upcoming weekend.  Not only will we dry out, but we’ll also enjoy increasing sunshine as the weekend progresses.

That said, looking further down the pipe line, another (potentially more significant) storm system looms during the 8-10 day period.  This would fall in the April 3rd-4th time frame.  From this distance, models are bullish on hefty rainfall totals with this storm system and we’ll keep a close eye on things as time draws closer.

Speaking of April, our overall thoughts for the fourth month of the year (where does time go?) would imply a warmer than average month and active (wetter than average).  Relative to average, we feel we still may have some chill to traverse early month, but there’s also some indication we could bust into an early summer-like feel mid and late month.  With the mean trough position west and ridging east, we’ll have to also be mindful for the potential of an active severe weather month- especially mid and late month.  Overall, the CanSIPS idea below is one we would agree with from a mean 500mb perspective.

No Comments 10-day, AG Report, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Spring, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm