Category: Summer

Jul 27

Storm Chances, But Plenty Of Dry Time…

Screen Shot 2016-07-27 at 7.14.50 AMHighlights:

  • Storm chances, but timing needs fine tuning
  • Turning slightly cooler over the weekend
  • Unsettled regime continues early next week

More Sunshine Today…Areas of heavy rain resulted in localized flooding across south-central IN yesterday.  While we can’t go with a completely dry forecast today, it will be an overall drier day when compared to Tuesday.  An isolated thunderstorm is possible, but most should remain dry.

Upper level energy and increased moisture will lead to a more widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms Thursday.  With precipitable water values approaching 2″ in spots Thursday, localized hefty downpours will again be possible.

We’ll continue scattered storm chances this weekend, particularly Saturday, as renewed upper level energy moves overhead.  After a slightly cooler stretch of weather, compared to normal, we’ll begin to heat things back up next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″ (localized heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/storm-chances-but-plenty-of-dry-time/

Jul 26

Stormy For Some This Morning; Transient Pattern Into August…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-for-some-this-morning-transient-pattern-into-august/

Jul 24

Unsettled, But A Better Feel Coming…

Screen Shot 2016-07-24 at 8.26.06 AMHighlights:

  • Storm chances increase tonight-Monday morning
  • Drier, cooler air on deck
  • Widespread storms Thursday

Hang In There…It’s been a long couple of days with high heat and humidity, but relief is in sight. A cold front will move through the state Monday.  Ahead of this front, a band of showers and thunderstorms will slide through Indiana.  A few of these storms could be strong with locally heavy rain.  Best chances of storms across central IN appear to arrive tonight and Monday morning, before transitioning to southern IN Monday afternoon.  Drier air will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday.

Our next rain and storm chances are dialed up for Thursday and early indications suggest this could be a fairly widespread event.  Though we’ll maintain rain chances next weekend, coverage will diminish when compared to Thursday.  Temperatures will be much more tolerable than what we’re dealing with today.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″ (Locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unsettled-but-a-better-feel-coming/

Jul 21

Thursday Evening Rambles…

1.) A big ole ridge will supply oppressive heat and humidity across the Mid West this weekend.  Unseasonably hot temperatures will combine with downright “soupy” air to create heat indices between 105-110 degrees across central IN this weekend.  Take it easy and implement frequent breaks if your plans take you outdoors.

HeatIndex

2.) Similar to what we’re seeing on radar this evening, thunderstorms will also make an appearance from time to time for some.  With an atmosphere loaded with moisture, any storm that develops will be plenty capable of producing “frog straggler” type rainfall rates.  Perhaps there will be a couple periods of more concentrated storm activity, focused on late tomorrow night and early Saturday, and again late Saturday night-Sunday morning.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

LateFriNight

3.)  The pattern is one (as has been the case all summer) that’s transient and the situation that develops to wrap up July and open August is an all-too-familiar look around these parts: NW flow aloft that offers storm potential, along with seasonal to slightly warmer than average.  It’s a wet look, overall.

WetPattern

10-Day GFS rainfall numbers are impressive across the Mid West. Soaking rains for many. Courtesy Weatherbell.com

10-Day GFS rainfall numbers are impressive across the Mid West. Soaking rains for many. Courtesy Weatherbell.com

This is what the upper air pattern should look like as we close July- 10 days from now (hard to believe)!

July31st

4.)  Looking further ahead, the latest JMA Weeklies continue to suggest the most sustained hot pattern should remain across the west as we rumble deeper into August.  That’s not to say we won’t deal with periods of hot weather here at times, but sustained heat will be hard to come by with such a pattern…

Screen Shot 2016-07-21 at 7.48.29 AM

Screen Shot 2016-07-21 at 7.48.39 AM

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-evening-rambles-2/

Jul 20

Cranking Up The Heat…

Screen Shot 2016-07-20 at 7.25.55 AMHighlights:

  • Much more dry time than stormy
  • Heat and humidity reach dangerous levels this weekend
  • Cooler next week

Splash And Dash Storms, But Most Remain Dry…A quick glance at the forecast above may suggest wet times, but don’t let that fool you.  “Isolated” and “scattered” are key words. While we’re still keeping an eye on the potential of a more widespread complex of storms late tonight/ early Thursday, we’re far from confident on the precise location of this potential storm complex and short term modeling isn’t offering up much help.  Regardless, with such a muggy air mass in place, an isolated storm could fire anytime between now and the weekend.  There are a couple periods we’re watching for more concentrated storm potential (Friday evening and Sunday).  Timing remains fluid.

The big story with this forecast remains the heat and humidity.  Temperatures will soar into the middle 90s this weekend and when you combine those hot readings with dew points in the lower and middle 70s, dangerous conditions result for anyone with longstanding outdoor plans.  Have a means of taking frequent breaks and receiving plenty of water.  The heat and humidity this weekend will be a serious situation.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast: 

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″ (locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cranking-up-the-heat/