Highlights:
- Tropical feel
- Heavy weekend rains
- Unsettled early next week
Zoning In On Heaviest Rains…It’s about as humid as it can get across central IN. “Air you can wear” is the appropriate way to describe this humidity and overall sultry feel. As we’d expect with this tropical air mass, isolated to widely scattered strong storms could pop at any point and result in locally heavy rain. We’ll “rinse and repeat” today’s forecast to wrap up the work week.
Attention then shifts to a widespread soaking rain event this weekend as two main players “team up” to produce a localized flood threat. A cold front will sag into central IN while remnant tropical moisture slowly moves north and eventually curls northeast. Precisely where the front stalls in response to the tropical low moving north will be where heaviest (4″+) rains set up. Thinking this morning places the greatest risk somewhere between Indianapolis and Louisville, but we caution that we still want to see a couple more model runs before settling on a given area. Unsettled weather will likely continue into early next week as tropical moisture slowly exits stage right.
Longer term, indications point towards an overall cooler, wetter, back half of August. Times- they are ‘a changing!
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.00″-4.00″
That said, things will change as we progress into the prime heating hours of the afternoon and evening. Upper level energy will rotate east out of the Plains (this morning) and across Indiana this afternoon and evening.
This will help ignite thunderstorm development during the afternoon and evening. While a storm could impact any given neighborhood this evening, best concentration of storms should lie north of the I-70 corridor. Locally heavy rain will be a good bet with the stronger storms. Localized rainfall amounts in excess of 2″ will be possible.
Additional scattered thunderstorm activity will continue Saturday, but there will be many more dry hours than wet/ stormy.
