Category Archives: Summer

Developing Hot Pattern Doesn’t Last; Cooler And Wetter Times Loom…

Through the short-term, there are two words that will sum up Indiana’s weather: Dry and Hot.  We’re entering a stretch where the overall weather pattern will promote an expanding hot dome in the coming days, and put many communities across the state solidly in position to break the 90° mark on multiple days.

Expanding upper ridge means hot times loom late weekend into early next week.

However, this increasingly hot and dry pattern will be a transient one.  This morning’s European model shows the evolution to cooler and increasingly wet, unsettled times nicely as we progress into the 6-10 day period.

The GFS ensemble would also agree in the overall pattern shift back to cooler and unsettled conditions as early as mid-late next week.

The 10-day GEFS ‘mean’ is a beautiful sight as moisture returns.

Updated 7-day out later this afternoon!  Enjoy a beautiful Saturday, friends!

No Comments 10-day, AG Report, European Model, Forecast Discussion, GFS, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Warm

Dry Times Remain: Briefly Cooler Then The Heat Is On…

Our overall weather pattern will be dominated by short-term cooling, significant warming by the weekend, and dry times continuing.

We’re noticing a significant change to the brand of our air mass this evening as a northerly wind is taking hold and helping to usher in lower dew points.  This is only the beginning of a significantly cooler stretch of weather that will take us through the day Tuesday, continuing into Thursday.  While the upper level low will drift south into the Northeast, our region will be dominated by a northerly flow and a much cooler, refreshing air mass into the latter portions of the work week.

In fact, we forecast highs Wednesday to only top the upper 60s, and this will be a good 10°-15° below average for June 7th.  Lows each morning through Friday will start out in the lower-middle 50s for the city, itself, but some outlying neighborhoods will fall deep into the 40s.  Very refreshing, indeed, for early June!

High pressure will dominate our weather through late week, continuing the overall drier than normal theme.

Models slowly begin to increase moisture levels as we move into the weekend and an isolated shower or thunderstorm could develop, but widespread rains of significance aren’t anticipated for the foreseeable future.

The bigger story by the weekend will be a developing hot weather pattern.  Temperatures will be flirting with the 90° mark as early as Sunday and Monday.  Instead of running 10°-15° below normal such as midweek, temperatures by early next week will be running 5°-10° above normal and very much like the “heart” of summer.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Storms May Rumble In Later Today; Cooler For Midweek…

We’ve enjoyed a warm and beautiful weekend, and most of Sunday will follow that pleasant them.  However, a cold front will drop south into the state later today and this “trigger” mechanism, combined with the heating of the day, will likely spark a broken line of thunderstorms.  These storms will sink south into central Indiana later this evening, and a couple of storms could become strong.

Modeled radar shows how things may evolve later this evening, including time stamps at 5p, 8p, and 10p.

Most significant rainfall will occur across the northern half of the state, including a couple of 1″+ totals in the heavier storms.

As we push into the midweek stretch, cooler, refreshing air will take up residence across the region.  Temperatures will run significantly cooler than average, including lows in the upper 40s for some Wednesday and Thursday morning and highs only in the upper 60s to lower 70s.  Dry weather will continue, as well.

No Comments Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather