Incredible February Warmth Continues Until This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Unseasonably warm conditions continue
  • Strong-severe t-storm potential Friday PM
  • Much colder this weekend

Spring-Like Weather Continues…A weak weather system will create the chance of showers into this afternoon, but many more dry hours can be expected than wet.  In fact, some neighborhoods won’t even see a drop of rain today.  The bigger news?  A continuation of unseasonably warm, April-like, temperatures.  In fact, we’ll turn even warmer for the second half of the work week and get back to dry time Wednesday and most of Thursday.

A strong cold front will sweep through the state Friday night.  Ahead of this front, shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase Friday afternoon into the evening hours.  Some of these storms may become strong to severe and include damaging straight line winds and hail.

We’ll then turn much colder Friday night and that will set the stage for a more seasonable weekend.  Snow flurries may fly in the blustery northwest flow Saturday.  A fast-moving weather maker will then spread a mixture of rain and wet snow across the state Sunday evening into early Monday.  Confidence is low on timing of this late weekend system and fine tuning will be required moving forward.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace – Dusting
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.75″

Pleasant Start; Nighttime Showers…

Highlights:

  • Sunshine gives way to showers
  • Colder mid-week
  • Warmth returns

Showers Arrive Tonight…The weekend is off to a pleasant start, but clouds will increase this afternoon and light showers will follow by evening, continuing into early Sunday morning.  Rainfall amounts won’t be impressive, with most around one-quarter inch.  It’ll be an unseasonably mild weekend, with highs today pushing close to 60° and early highs Sunday around 50° before cooler air spills in for the second half of the weekend.

The majority of the upcoming work week will be precipitation-free.  A dry cold front will pass Tuesday evening and this could result in a couple of snow flurries or light snow showers.  As of now, the better coverage of snow showers appears to be to our east for our friends in Ohio.  We’ll turn colder Wednesday and Thursday, but have no fear as moderating temperatures will quickly return as we roll into next weekend.  In fact, the period just beyond the current 7-day looks downright spring-like, including highs that may push close to 70° early in Week 2.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Friday Morning Notebook: Warmer Times This Weekend…

Happy Friday, friends.  We’re still cold this morning, but a look at the change in temperatures compared to 24 hours ago shows the milder trend that will be with us through the upcoming weekend.  Highs today will reach the upper 40s and 55-60 Saturday.

Winds will turn strong and gusty out of the southwest this afternoon, noted by the tightly packed isobars (lines of equal pressure) along with considerable mid and high level clouds.

Clouds will lower and thicken Saturday and we may also have to deal with periods of fog, as well.  Showers and drizzle will lift into town as the day progresses, especially by afternoon and evening.

We don’t expect heavy rain this weekend.  In fact, model data continues to really back off on expected totals.  The general consensus is between 0.15″ and 0.25″ across central Indiana.

After a mild Saturday, cooler (but not cold) air will ooze into the Ohio Valley Sunday.

Resurgent cold air will blow into town during the middle and latter portions of the upcoming work week.  Highs will return to the 30s with overnight lows in the lower 20s.  We’ll likely add scattered snow showers into the mix as well.