Here’s a quick video update taking a look more closely at the forecast data for accumulating snow ahead Monday evening, as well as the impressive early season shot of cold…
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Updated 11.07.13 @ 10:47p
Zionsville, IN Strong northwest winds are howling in the open country this evening and creating downright cold conditions out. Temperatures in the lower 30s are combining with a northwest wind gusting to 20 MPH to create wind chills in the lower to middle 20s tonight. Certainly bundle up if plans take you out tonight!
Friday: Partly cloudy; 28/ 50
A reinforcing shot of chilly air blew into the state Thursday night and is leading to another cold start to the day. Look for a sun-filled Friday to help boost temperatures into the upper 40s to lower 50s this afternoon.
Saturday: Partly cloudy; 38/ 56
Low pressure will race through the northern Great Lakes region Saturday afternoon. This will help drag a dry front through the region Saturday night, but the majority of Saturday we’ll enjoy milder, southwesterly winds. Saturday can be expected the pick of the 7-day outlook with dry skies and mild temperatures. We’ll note a gusty southwest breeze during the afternoon, especially in the open country.
Sunday: Partly cloudy; 35/ 50
We’ll enjoy another dry and sunny day Sunday though it’ll be several degrees cooler when compared to the first half of the weekend. The reason? A northerly flow behind the dry frontal boundary that’ll be drug through central Indiana Saturday evening.
Monday: Partly cloudy; 32/ 55
While dry conditions will be in place Monday, we’ll have our eyes pointed north bound as an early season arctic air mass gets ready to descend upon the Ohio Valley and Mid West…
Tuesday: AM light snow; PM scattered snow showers (dusting to 1″); 27/ 35
A strong cold front will plunge south and move through the Hoosier state Tuesday. Behind the front, a huge arctic high will sink south out of Canada and help unseasonably cold air to settle over the area for mid week. As the front moves through Tuesday morning, light rain will quickly mix with and change to light snow. Some light accumulations of snow can be expected. Then, as we move into the afternoon, “system” generated snow will diminish and give way to scattered afternoon snow showers. There is a chance portions of the state, particularly the northern snow belt, deals with some lake effect snow bands Tuesday. Just how far south these snow bands make it will have to be fine tuned as we draw closer. Stay tuned.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny; 21/ 37
We’ll keep a close eye on things, but latest data tonight suggests that strong area of high pressure overwhelms the region and results in unseasonably cold, but dry weather for the middle of next week.
Thursday: Partly cloudy; 28/ 48
Moderating temperatures will ensue Thursday as we get back into a southwesterly flow of air. That said, temperatures will remain below average.
Updated 11.06.13 @ 10:26p Zionsville, IN For the most part, rainfall totals today have been under what model guidance suggested. For an area still wetter than normal, that’s not a…
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We continue to monitor the middle of next week closely, as forecast models are beginning to get into better agreement. While we’re confident that we turn much colder (at least…
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I wanted to quickly post on two totally different scenarios for next week. Two of the more powerful forecast models we use to look into the mid-long range are in separate worlds when it comes to the weather pattern the middle to latter part of next week.
Here’s a look at the GFS upper air pattern:
Note the eastern ridging which would lead to well above normal temperatures during the middle to latter part of next week (by as much as 10 degrees above average), along with dry conditions.
HOWEVER, here’s a look at the European’s forecast upper air pattern late next week:
This would certainly be quite the significant storm for the Northeast, but the implications here are vastly different from that which the GFS shows above. Instead of warmth and dry conditions, we’d deal with highs in the middle 30s and overnight lows in the lower to middle 20s. Additionally, we’d also “enjoy” (okay, some folks would “enjoy”) snow showers and snow squalls the middle to latter portion of next week, as noted per the European below, including a lake Michigan connection.
Needless to say, we have a lot to sort out in the coming days. We’ll be here to do just that. Make it a great Tuesday!