Updated 05.27.21 @ 7:50a
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Category: Short term update
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-perfect-timing-for-our-improving-weather-quiet-regime-into-early-next-week/
Feb 23
Mid-Morning Update…
Updated 02.23.22 @ 10:04a
As we analyze downstream radar trends and fresh high resolution, short-term guidance, it appears as if the initial burst of precipitation is speeding up. It now looks like a mixture of light snow and light sleet will arrive into central Indiana between 7p and 10p.
Along and north of the I-70 corridor, this should fall primarily as snow (up to 1”). Further south, a mixture of sleet and freezing rain is expected this evening (where things remains all freezing rain, a light glaze, perhaps up to 0.1”. is expected to develop on elevated surfaces by sunrise).
Our updated client brief will be posted later this evening and include additional thoughts as the 12z data streams in.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mid-morning-update/
May 17
Unsettled Open To The Week…
Updated 05.17.21 @ 7:51a The transition to a more summer-like regime is being kicked off with showers and embedded thunder this morning. As we look forward to the rest of…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unsettled-open-to-the-week/
May 16
Change Is On The Horizon…
Updated 05.16.21 @ 7:40a
Scattered light showers are scooting across central Indiana this morning but our airmass still will take some time to saturate throughout all levels. As such, we don’t expect widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder until we get into the new work week. You’ll notice an increasingly muggy time of things Monday and Tuesday. Note the Gulf connection below. This will send dew points well into the 60s. Temperatures will also be on the rise (low/mid 80s) which will have things feeling very much like summer by mid and late week.
The transition of air masses will lead to a stretch of unsettled weather. We note model guidance has trended wetter over the past 24 hours for immediate central Indiana. We’re now honing in on Monday evening into Tuesday morning offering up the most widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder. Locally heavy rain will be possible during this timeframe. Some central Indiana rain gauges may pick up more than 2” of rain during this time period. Widespread 1.25” to 1.75” amounts can be expected.
Scattered, “splash and dash” storms will remain in our forecast into midweek before high pressure nudges itself into place and promotes a drier regime for the 2nd half of the week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/change-is-on-the-horizon/
Mar 23
Thursday Storm Chatter…
Updated 03.23.21 @ 7:10p
After a couple predawn showers Wednesday, the remainder of the day should be quiet and free of any significant rain. However, by this time, eyes will be focused on the possibility of a more significant event on Thursday.
Model guidance is beginning to suggest this will come at the state in (2) waves. The first rain/ storm cluster will likely arrive mid to late Thursday morning and may feature some embedded strong/ severe cells across downstate Indiana. Given the ingredients in play, hail would be the greatest threat from these morning storms across southern Indiana. Further north, across immediate central Indiana, severe weather isn’t expected, but general rain and storms will be a good bet, including locally heavy rain.
We will then likely see a lull in the activity into the early to mid afternoon hours before a second round of storms blows through during the evening. This 2nd wave of storms may feature more of a damaging wind threat from places in and around Bloomington and points south. From this distance, it appears as if the time period between 5p-8p is the one to watch.
While it continues to look like the more substantial severe threat will be south of the region, that isn’t to say the southern portions of the state won’t see a warning or two Thursday and we’ll continue to keep a close eye out as time draws closer.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-storm-chatter/