Category Archives: Short term update

Wet, Stormy Open To The Weekend Before 2nd Half Improvements…

Updated 07.08.23 @ 6:28a

There’s no need for an alarm clock this morning, friends. A widespread complex of rain and storms continues to push into central Indiana at 6:30a.

We’ll have to deal with a few hours of rain and thunder before things begin to dry out mid and late morning (west to east). Sunshine should also slowly work back into the picture enough to help destabilize things just enough for a second (less widespread) round of showers and storms by this evening. These will likely initiate around the city with more widespread coverage south.

5p forecast radar Saturday

We’ll then all enjoy a greatly improved weather pattern by tonight continuing into Sunday. Lower humidity and pleasantly warm temperatures will make up a beautiful 2nd half of the weekend.

More on the long range pattern a bit later today in our client video discussion.

No Comments Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, Short term update, T-storms

Wednesday Evening Rumbles…

Updated 07.04.23 @ 10:53p

Most of our hump day should feature quiet conditions. A couple renegade storms will likely fire up during the mid to late afternoon hours. These will be ahead of a more organized line of storms impacting Illinois. That particular line will rumble east into the state towards 10p to 11p and likely reach the city, itself, around midnight.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) includes central Indiana in a ‘marginal’ risk of severe weather Wednesday. Damaging straight line winds are of biggest concern with this line.

While we’ll need to monitor radar trends and overall timing, as of this evening, it doesn’t appear that this will be a widespread severe weather maker (available energy and a late evening arrival argue against this being a significant event).

On the road early tomorrow morning but will be sure to have a fresh video update posted Wednesday evening with updates on the above and a look ahead to the next couple weeks.

No Comments Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Severe Weather, Short term update, T-storms

Short-Term Discussion: Afternoon Storm Complex With Heightened Damaging Wind Potential…

Updated 06.29.23 @ 12p

The storm complex currently entering IL will likely have a downstream impact on Indiana later this afternoon into the early evening hours. Several ingredients are in place that leads to a higher confidence in this storm cluster including a widespread damaging wind threat (55+ MPH gusts).

High resolution data continues to show this complex gaining steam as it rolls across central Indiana between 4p and 6p. We caution, these kind of storm clusters can pick up momentum downstream so it’ll be important to remain weather-aware and in position to act when (don’t think it’s a matter of “if” any longer) warnings are issued really anytime after 3p.

Ingredients are in play that may carry this wind machine across the entire central IN stretch and even into northern KY and southwestern OH by evening.

I’d recommend taking the opportunity to ensure your electronic devices are charged and severe weather safety plan is in place now prior to this activity moving in over the next few hours. Unfortunately the evolving look to current radar trends just after the 12p timeframe only raises confidence of this being a rather widespread damaging wind maker with resulting power outages.

No Comments Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Severe Weather, Short term update, T-storms, Windy

Evolution Of Things Into Early Next Week…

Updated 04.26.23 @ 6:44a

Today and Thursday morning are “easy peasy.” Look for dry times and plentiful sunshine today giving way to increasing clouds Thursday morning.

Those clouds will give way to a shield of rain lifting from our southwest to northeast late Thursday morning into Friday morning, courtesy of an initial wave of low pressure moving into the Ohio Valley.

Generally, heaviest rain within this time period will fall across southeast Indiana.

Amounts of a half inch (locally heavier) seems like a good call as far northwest as Indianapolis and surrounding ‘burbs.

As we head into the weekend the trend will once again be a cooler one, with the emphasis placed on the 2nd half of the weekend for the coolest air and more unsettled conditions (showery nature but nothing heavy expected). 60s Saturday will be replaced with 50s Sunday. Eventually, as skies clear and winds calm, another opportunity for frost looms Monday or Tuesday morning of next week as lows fall into the middle 30s.

No Comments Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Short term update, Spring, Unseasonably Cool Weather