May 17
Updated 05.17.21 @ 7:51a The transition to a more summer-like regime is being kicked off with showers and embedded thunder this morning. As we look forward to the rest of…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/05/17/unsettled-open-to-the-week/
May 16
Updated 05.16.21 @ 7:40a
Scattered light showers are scooting across central Indiana this morning but our airmass still will take some time to saturate throughout all levels. As such, we don’t expect widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder until we get into the new work week. You’ll notice an increasingly muggy time of things Monday and Tuesday. Note the Gulf connection below. This will send dew points well into the 60s. Temperatures will also be on the rise (low/mid 80s) which will have things feeling very much like summer by mid and late week.
The transition of air masses will lead to a stretch of unsettled weather. We note model guidance has trended wetter over the past 24 hours for immediate central Indiana. We’re now honing in on Monday evening into Tuesday morning offering up the most widespread heavy rain and embedded thunder. Locally heavy rain will be possible during this timeframe. Some central Indiana rain gauges may pick up more than 2” of rain during this time period. Widespread 1.25” to 1.75” amounts can be expected.
Scattered, “splash and dash” storms will remain in our forecast into midweek before high pressure nudges itself into place and promotes a drier regime for the 2nd half of the week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/05/16/change-is-on-the-horizon/
Mar 23
Updated 03.23.21 @ 7:10p
After a couple predawn showers Wednesday, the remainder of the day should be quiet and free of any significant rain. However, by this time, eyes will be focused on the possibility of a more significant event on Thursday.
Model guidance is beginning to suggest this will come at the state in (2) waves. The first rain/ storm cluster will likely arrive mid to late Thursday morning and may feature some embedded strong/ severe cells across downstate Indiana. Given the ingredients in play, hail would be the greatest threat from these morning storms across southern Indiana. Further north, across immediate central Indiana, severe weather isn’t expected, but general rain and storms will be a good bet, including locally heavy rain.
We will then likely see a lull in the activity into the early to mid afternoon hours before a second round of storms blows through during the evening. This 2nd wave of storms may feature more of a damaging wind threat from places in and around Bloomington and points south. From this distance, it appears as if the time period between 5p-8p is the one to watch.
While it continues to look like the more substantial severe threat will be south of the region, that isn’t to say the southern portions of the state won’t see a warning or two Thursday and we’ll continue to keep a close eye out as time draws closer.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/03/23/thursday-storm-chatter/
Jan 25
Updated 01.25.21 @ 1:42p
After a wintry mix that featured everything (and the kitchen sink ;-)) during the onset has predominantly transitioned over to sleet and freezing rain across immediate central Indiana. Look for this to continue for the next couple of hours before the 1st wave of significant moisture moves east by mid to late afternoon.
As we look forward, another wave of lighter precipitation will target the northern half of the state (especially from Indianapolis and points north) later this evening into Tuesday morning. Though precipitation should be lighter with this next wave, the concern is that it may still fall as “frozen” (sleet) or “freezing” (rain) during this time period, especially from the northern Indianapolis suburbs and points north as temperatures look to hover around, or just below, the freezing mark through the evening. The difference of just 1° truly will make a world of difference of the associated impacts regarding travel tonight and early Tuesday morning north of the city. You can see how high resolution guidance keeps the sub-freezing air locked in place just north of Indianapolis tonight.
For our clients in the salting and snow removal business, plan to remain busy during the overnight across the northern half of the state as this next wave of moisture moves in. An additional .10 to .25 (liquid equivalent) can be expected for central Indiana with liquid equivalent amounts of .25 to .50 across the northern 1/3 of the state.
More on this and what lies ahead for midweek in our evening video update. Stay safe out there, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/25/early-afternoon-update-on-todays-wintry-mix/
Dec 30
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/12/30/video-short-term-update-on-flip-to-wet-snow-this-evening-and-freezing-rain-nyd-morning/
Dec 30
Rain is on the move east early this morning and should overspread most of central Indiana prior to sunrise or shortly after.
Highs will top out in the mid-upper 40s this afternoon before beginning to fall into the 30s by late afternoon. Guidance has also begun to trend more bullish on a narrow band of wet snow developing across central Indiana around, or just after, sunset as the colder air filters into the region. For now, we’ll target between 6p and 10p for the changeover to wet snow across central Indiana. While we’re still not forecasting significant snowfall, a quick 1”-2” isn’t out of the question before drier air builds in by mid to late evening. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things.
New Year’s Eve will feature a cloudy, cold, but dry day. Our secondary area of low pressure will lift north New Year’s Day, spreading moisture back into the state. Cold air will be entrenched early and allow this precipitation to take the form of freezing rain predawn Friday, continuing for a few hours before switching over to plain ole rain. Before this transition takes place, a light glaze (.1 or less) is possible across most of central Indiana (mainly along and north of a Terre Haute to Bloomington to Cincinnati line).
I’m still working on getting a video uploaded from the road. Fingers are crossed I’ll have success later this morning. Make it a great Wednesday!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/12/30/rain-ends-as-snow-this-evening-freezing-rain-transitions-to-rain-new-years-morning/
Dec 23
A skinny line of showers/ embedded thunder pose a brief heavy rain and wind threat towards 9p-11p (west to east). We also look at fresh data for Christmas…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/12/23/video-short-term-update-as-the-arctic-front-blows-through-the-region/
Nov 20
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/20/the-seasons-first-accumulating-snow-event-arrives-tomorrow-night-across-northern-indiana/
Nov 10
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/10/video-gusty-storms-arrive-into-central-indiana-this-evening-colder-trends-next-week/
Aug 10
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/08/10/video-damaging-wind-event-impacts-portions-of-the-state-this-evening/