Apr 27
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/27/unsettled-week-on-deck/
Apr 26
Good morning and happy Saturday! A beautiful day is underway and we’ll keep mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures for the better part of the day. Clouds increase tonight and…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/26/saturday-morning-video-update/
Apr 25
A mostly dry and warm weekend is underway. The Friday afternoon sunshine we enjoyed is a preview of what the majority of the weekend will provide. We note the threat of a scattered shower or storm across northern portions of the state during the predawn hours Saturday and across central portions of the state (including Indianapolis) during the predawn hours Sunday. That said, in both cases, most will remain rain-free.
The big event is still slated for a late Sunday night arrival. Low pressure will sit and spin across the Plains states Saturday into Sunday. While we stay mostly dry, a major severe weather outbreak will likely unfold across this area during the day Saturday and again Sunday.
Better chances of rain and thunderstorms will arrive across central Indiana late Sunday night. Some of these storms may be strong, but we think it’s more in the Monday and Tuesday time frame where we really need to be on our toes in regards to severe potential. At this juncture, it appears as if all modes of severe weather will be in play across the region, including tornadoes, hail, and damaging straight line winds. An enhanced risk of severe weather will lie across southern portions of the state.
The Days 4 and 5 severe weather outlook from the fine folks at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) will likely be expanded north as we move forward.
Forecast radar from some of our high resolution model data suggests thunderstorms begin to rumble into the state as early as Sunday night.
Eventually, this big spring storm will begin to weaken and turn into a large closed off upper level low pressure system. This promises a MUCH cooler stretch here mid to late next week along with continued unsettled conditions, with periods of showers and blustery northwest winds. In fact, IND very well record measurable precipitation every day Sunday through next Saturday…
After a warm weekend and early week, note the colder air moving in to wrap up April and open May. Temperatures are moving in the wrong direction. Highs by the mid to latter part of next week will only make it into the lower 50s some days. The first week of May looks much cooler than average.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/25/nice-weekend-before-a-prolonged-rainy-stormy-stretch/
Apr 25
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52/ 65 |
48/ 72 |
46/ 70 |
52/ 70 |
60/ 76 |
50/ 60 |
43/ 58 |
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Light |
– – – |
– – – |
Moderate |
Severe |
Light |
Light |
Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 7:44am:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/25/clearing-and-windy-after-morning-rain/
Apr 22
There are growing concerns about quite the rainy and cold close to April and open to May. We’ll discuss that in a bit. The month so far has been cold…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/22/lots-of-weather-to-talk-about/
Apr 03
It’s a wet and stormy morning across central Indiana, including heavy rain and embedded stronger storms. The latest HRRR short-term data paints a continued stormy picture through the morning.
That said, we’ll get into some dry time late morning into the afternoon, but the atmosphere will be priming itself for another noisy night ahead. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region under a slight risk of severe weather, including damaging wind, damaging hail, and a potential tornado. The greatest risk of severe is to our south, but we must remain on our toes tonight into the wee morning hours Friday. Please keep your weather radios on alert mode tonight.
The simulated radar shows thunderstorms re-firing to our west late tonight, moving in during the overnight hours.
When all is said and done (and accounting Wednesday’s rain) we still forecast widespread 2-3″ of rain across the region, with locally heavier totals. Additionally, we bracket late tonight into the early Friday morning hours for the greatest chance of severe weather across our region. Hail and straight line wind damage are of the greatest concerns, but a tornado can’t be ruled out. The cold front will sweep the state clean Friday afternoon and help set up a very nice, although cooler, weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/03/update-on-the-heavy-rain-and-severe-potential/
Apr 01
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43/ 52 |
50/ 66 |
43/ 62 |
32/ 50 |
30/ 57 |
38/ 56 |
33/ 46 |
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Heavy |
Light |
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– – – |
Moderate |
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Forecast Updated 04.02.14 @ 7:30a
Heading Into A Stormy, Wet Period. . .While periods of showers and thunderstorms will be with us through Friday morning, we break things down and focus in on this afternoon/ evening into Thursday morning for the potential of heaviest rainfall. We then think we experience a bit of a “lull” in the action Thursday afternoon before we ramp things back up and introduce a severe weather component Thursday night into Friday morning. Renewed heavy rains would also accompany these thunderstorms. As for the severe risk, really all modes of severe weather are in play, including damaging hail, straight line winds, and even the possibility of a tornado or two. We’ll continue to closely monitor the ongoing weather situation and suggest you plan to keep abreast of the latest developments in the days ahead in terms of potentially flooding and severe weather. Severe weather outbreaks are always dangerous, but particularly so at night.
The cold front will sweep the state clean of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms Friday morning and this will set things up for a much quieter, calmer (although windy) close to the week.
When all is said and done, we forecast widespread 2-3″ rainfall through the heart of the state, including central Indiana, along with localized amounts between 3″ and 4″.
Much Needed, Calmer, Weekend. . .High pressure will build over head as we go through the weekend and this will supply a drier, calmer period Saturday and Sunday. We’ll note a cooler air mass in place, along with a gusty northwest wind Saturday, but winds will calm Sunday, ensuring a pleasant close to the weekend.
Eyeing Our Next Storm. . .Things are still much in the air in regards to the precise details with a new storm system early next week, but we’re confident something’s brewing. The European data suggests this is another heavy rain event for our neck of the woods Monday, while the GFS is further east, and takes the majority of the moisture up the eastern seaboard. We’ll continue to monitor things.
One more item of note, mid to long range guidance is in agreement on the return of a below normal temperature pattern here later next week… In fact, a few wet snow flurries may fly next Tuesday as the cold air pushes back in.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/01/wet-stormy-period/
Apr 01
Today will be another beauty! Enjoy! We think conditions go down hill rather rapidly later tonight through Friday morning with periods of heavy rain and the threat of severe weather…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/01/enjoy-today-heavy-rain-and-storms-in-our-future/
Mar 27
Busy times in the forecast office continues. We are eyeing potentially noisy thunderstorms later tonight and the threat of wet accumulating snow for portions of the area Saturday. Details can…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/27/covering-gusty-storms-tonight-and-saturday-snow/
Mar 16
The storm system that looked like it may provide central Indiana accumulating snow earlier this week is, indeed, remaining south. Portions of southern parts of the state will see light…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/03/16/much-colder-and-very-windy-sunday/
