Category: Severe Weather

Tuesday Evening Video Brief; The Cool Down Is On!

Note how dramatic of a temperature shift is occurring to our west- temperatures are down more than 30 degrees from this same time last night.

t0

That cool air will filter into our region tonight and Wednesday.  As a matter of fact, we still think Thursday has the potential to remain in the 40s for the better part of the day.  The video below has more details on this and a look ahead to continued rainy times.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/13/tuesday-evening-video-brief-the-cool-down-is-on/

Monday Evening Video Update

It’s a warm and muggy evening across central Indiana and showers and thunderstorms are in your forecast.  More on this and the long advertised BIG cool down looming inside the…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/monday-evening-video-update/

Unsettled And Stormy; Turning MUCH Cooler!

Mon.

Tue.

Wed.

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-storm-night-icon

 Status-weather-showers-scattered-icon

 Status-weather-showers-scattered-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

63/ 82

66/ 77

52/ 60

44/ 56

42/ 55

37/ 60

38/ 60 

Light

Light

Moderate

Light

Light

Light

Light

The new work week will feature a very stormy and unsettled weather pattern.  While everyone won’t get wet today, we do note the likely chance of afternoon thunderstorms bubbling up during the heating of the day.  Like Sunday, any of these storms could feature torrential rain and could quickly pulse to severe levels.  More widespread rain chances will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday in direct association with a cold front.  The long advertised cooler pattern will arrive behind this front and set up an unseasonably cool time of things to close out the second half of the week and head on into the weekend.  Rainfall totals this week will average an additional 1.25″ to 1.50″ with locally higher totals.  As for temperatures, we’ll go from well above seasonal levels today (8-10 deg. above normal) to well below seasonal levels by mid week (20 deg. below normal).

Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.

Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/unsettled-and-stormy-turning-much-cooler/

Smorgasbord Of Weather!

Posts this weekend will be a bit “off schedule” as I celebrate my brother’s graduation.  That said, posts will hit the site over the weekend and we’ll also keep you updated on our Twitter feed- @indywx.  A busy time of things lies ahead and a very active weather pattern will carry us into this time next week.  Let’s get into some of the details!

1.) (2) rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely Friday.  Weakening showers and embedded thunder will dissipate moving into central Indiana Friday morning.  That said, depending on the amount of clearing that takes place behind the first wave of showers and storms will go a long way into determining the severity of round two Friday evening.  The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) continues to highlight our area for a Slight Risk of severe weather (primary threats are large hail and damaging straight line winds) Friday evening.  We also note the latest high resolution NAM simulated radar shows potential strong to severe thunderstorms moving in tomorrow evening.

hires_ref_indy_24

2.) A second heavy rain and storm maker will arrive early next week. The Gulf of Mexico is open for business and suggests some locally heavy downpours are a good bet with both storms.  This isn’t bad news as it’s been dry as of late.  We’re now on day 9 without measurable precipitation and that will be changing in a big way over the upcoming 7 day period.  Widespread 2″-2.5″ rains are a good bet over the upcoming week, including some locally heavier totals.

gfs_pwat_mslp_east_37

The detailed video discussion below covers more on the severe chances, heavy rain threat, and a much cooler pattern ahead!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/smorgasbord-of-weather/

Another Hot Day Today; Busy Pattern On Deck…

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Mon.

Tue.

Wed.

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

 Status-weather-storm-night-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-storm-night-icon

 Status-weather-showers-scattered-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

63/ 84

64/ 70

59/ 73

57/ 81

66/ 80

49/ 67

43/ 59 

– – –

Moderate

Light

Light

Heavy

Light

Light

We’ll enjoy another warm (almost considered downright hot by my standards :-)) day under mostly dry conditions.  If your travels take you up across northern Indiana, a shower or quick storm is possible later this afternoon.  Our weather will begin to change Friday as a cold front draws closer to the region.  This will prompt shower and thunderstorm development- especially during the afternoon and evening. If we get enough sunshine into the mix during the first part of the day, some of these storms could reach severe levels Friday evening, including large hail and damaging wind.  Officially, the Storm Prediction Center outlines the area for a Slight Risk of severe weather Friday.  There are a few questions around the timing for Saturday, but for now we still think the day starts wet and dries out rather quickly, including increasing sunshine.  Another storm system approaches early next week and will deliver another round of heavy rain and potential severe thunderstorms followed by a MUCH cooler air mass by the middle part of next week.

Video discussing today’s custom built IndyWx.com Forecast issued at 7:46am:

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/08/another-hot-day-today-busy-pattern-on-deck/

Summer-Like Today & Thursday; Storms By Friday.

Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue.               58/ 86 63/ 87 62/ 69 60/ 75 60/ 81 64/ 77 46/ 64  – –…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/07/summer-like-today-storms-by-friday/

Tuesday Evening Update!

Quick evening update to discuss the overnight period and look at the cooler pattern moving in for late week.

Showers will diminish during the overnight and gusty northwest winds will deliver a cooler air mass that will hang on as we put a wrap on the work week:

hrrr_t2m_min_indy_15

The video below has more details!  Have a great evening!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/tuesday-evening-update/

Severe Threat This Evening…

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon.               49/ 71 47/ 58 39/ 53 42/ 56 43/ 65 46/ 65 42/ 66  PM Severe…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/29/severe-threat-this-evening/

Monday Night Severe Weather Update.

Good evening and welcome in to IndyWx.com!

We continue to closely monitor radar and satellite trends tonight and keep a close eye on severe developments to our west.  As the video discusses, the clouds and rain from earlier today have helped in a big way from at least limiting what today “could have been” from a severe perspective.

That’s not saying we’re signaling the all-clear by any stretch of the imagination, it’s just saying that the clouds and rain from earlier have helped to keep us from really destabilizing the local atmosphere and the clearing we’re seeing now may be too little too late in regards to widespread severe weather here.

All of that said, keep a close eye on local radar tonight and remain weather aware.  The dynamics at play could result in a thunderstorm turning severe rather rapidly tonight and we’ll continue to closely monitor.

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will impact central Indiana during the overnight period:

hrrr_ref_indy_9

The video below has more details:

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/28/monday-night-severe-weather-update/

Keeping A Close Eye On Severe Potential This Evening…

The region is still very much under the gun for potential severe weather this afternoon and tonight.  That said, the severe threat across central Indiana is highly dependable on just how easy we’re able to shake the clouds and rain this morning.  Sometimes modeling (even high resolution data) struggles with this.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region for a Slight Risk of severe weather- again the primary threat time lies this afternoon into tonight.

day1otlk_1200

Latest high resolution data suggests we’re able to clear things out this afternoon and introduce sunshine to help add heat and further destabilize our local atmosphere (not a good thing), which would help lead to rather robust thunderstorm development.

Note the simulated satellite data showing the dreaded clearing from now through the afternoon:

hrrr_cloud_indy_1hrrr_cloud_indy_13

Latest high resolution data suggests potential super cell thunderstorms begin to fire to our west as early as 4-6pm.  We’ll keep a close eye on things.

hrrr_ref_indy_13

Bottom line, a significant severe weather threat is present this evening into tonight.  We’ll hope the clouds and rain linger longer than modeling currently projects as this would greatly limit the potential heating and destabilization and subsequent severe risk.  That said, it’s important to note current data does suggest we break into afternoon sunshine.

Greatest severe risks here appear to be large hail, damaging straight line winds, and a possible tornado.  Be sure to have a way to get the latest weather information this afternoon and tonight.  Stay safe out there!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/04/28/keeping-a-close-eye-on-severe-potential-this-evening/

IndyWx.com