Jul 10
A cold front will press into a hot and humid air mass later this afternoon and spark a couple of gusty storms, especially from the city and points east. Looking…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/10/video-gusty-storms-for-some-later-today-hint-of-fall-develops-week-2/
Jul 05
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/05/video-storms-erupt-this-afternoon-weekend-relief/
Jul 04
A hot and humid Independence Day awaits with minimal storm coverage this afternoon. While an isolated storm is possible, overall storm coverage will be significantly less than Tuesday afternoon. The big story will be heat indices approaching 100° to 105° this afternoon. If you have plans outdoors today, hopefully it’s by a pool!
As we move into Thursday, a cold front will approach from the north. Ahead of this boundary, the potential is present for a gusty round of storms Thursday afternoon and evening.
The Storm Prediction Center currently has a ‘Marginal’ risk of severe weather for portions of the state. It wouldn’t surprise us if a portion of this risk area is upgraded to a ‘Slight’ risk with future updates. The primary concerns? Stronger storms may include damaging winds and large hail.
Storm coverage will diminish during the day Friday with a drier air mass taking hold by evening. We’ll really notice a reduction in humidity Friday night and that more refreshing feel will remain intact through the weekend. Dew points may even fall into the 40s by Saturday morning! Many central Indiana neighborhoods can expect to settle into the mid and upper 50s for overnight lows Saturday and Sunday mornings.
Dry weather will be with us as high pressure remains in control of the period this weekend into early next week.
Longer term, a transition period should take place around the middle of July that should ultimately help set up a cooler close to the month and open to August- relative to normal and certainly to where we’ve been lately.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/04/sizzling-independence-day-before-weekend-relief/
Jun 25
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/06/25/video-storm-chances-return-big-heat-looms/
Jun 12
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/06/12/video-additional-storm-chances-before-drier-air-takes-hold/
May 31
The Storm Prediction Center has placed southwestern Indiana under a Slight risk of severe weather, with extreme southern Indiana now included in an Enhanced risk.
Upper level energy will push east this afternoon and combine with an unstable air mass, along with unseasonably hot and humid air (highs today will reach the lower 90s across the southern half of the state with dew points around 70°), resulting in explosive thunderstorm development this evening. Storms will rumble east during the nighttime hours before exiting off to the east and diminishing during the early morning hours.
We target the time frame of 6p to midnight for greatest storm coverage and the possibility of severe weather. While the greatest threat of severe is just south of the city, itself, I think all of central IN is in play for the possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms tonight. In addition to locally heavy rain, stronger storms could pose a damaging straight line wind threat along with large hail.
A couple of storms may still fire Friday afternoon in the warm and humid air mass, but a boundary will pass Friday evening, allowing less humid air to arrive Saturday. On that note, even cooler and less humid air awaits early next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/31/steamy-thursday-ends-stormy/
May 30
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/30/video-albertos-remnants-pull-north-strong-storms-thursday/
May 18
An upper level low pressure system will track northeast today into tonight, and as it does, look for more numerous showers and embedded thunder to develop. Some localized heavier downpours are a good bet this evening across central Indiana.
Otherwise, look for considerable cloudiness and highs topping out in the lower 70s today.
While we’ll have to contend with a few showers Saturday, overall, the day should be drier compared to today and what lies ahead Sunday. Speaking of Sunday, we’re monitoring the potential of a couple of storms reaching strong to severe levels to close the weekend. The Storm Prediction Center includes central portions of the state in a “marginal” risk of severe with their update Friday morning. It wouldn’t surprise us if a portion of the marginal risk is upgraded to a “slight” risk in future updates. We’ll fine tune storm timing over the next 24 hours.
As we look ahead to the end of May, there really aren’t any significant changes to the overall warmer than normal theme we’ve enjoyed so far this month. Longer range guidance off of the European ensemble continues to support broad scale upper ridging across the Mid West and Ohio Valley and a corresponding warmer than average regime. From a precipitation perspective, the next couple of weeks do look more active compared to the dry start to the month. Case in point, the balance of the upcoming week will be dominated by a stalled frontal boundary. While we’ll have to fine tune exactly where the front stalls, daily chances of showers and thunderstorms (scattered fashion) can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/18/more-unsettled-weekend-ahead-and-closing-out-may/
May 13
So far, May-to-date has run well above average in the temperature department (+8.5°) and below average from a precipitation perspective. While we’ll continue to run much warmer than normal through the second half of the month, we’ll begin to make up for “lost time” in the rainfall department, and that starts this week.
Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms are included in your latest 7-day and, at times, storm complexes will likely reach strong to severe levels as disturbances ride the periphery of an upper level ridge off to our south. It certainly won’t rain the entire time over the upcoming week and we’ll still enjoy more dry hours than wet and stormy. That said, for a region running around 1.5″ below average, the more active times will be a welcome sight for many. By next Sunday, we expect many area rain gauges to accumulate 1.5″ to 2.5″ of rain with locally heavier amounts.
Warmth will continue to dominate through the next couple of weeks.
For a change, above normal precipitation is expected over the upcoming week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/13/still-warm-but-much-more-active/
May 12
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/05/12/video-a-more-active-pattern-awaits/