Category: Severe Weather

Update On The Heavy Rain And Severe Potential

It’s a wet and stormy morning across central Indiana, including heavy rain and embedded stronger storms.  The latest HRRR short-term data paints a continued stormy picture through the morning.

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That said, we’ll get into some dry time late morning into the afternoon, but the atmosphere will be priming itself for another noisy night ahead.  The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region under a slight risk of severe weather, including damaging wind, damaging hail, and a potential tornado.  The greatest risk of severe is to our south, but we must remain on our toes tonight into the wee morning hours Friday.  Please keep your weather radios on alert mode tonight.

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The simulated radar shows thunderstorms re-firing to our west late tonight, moving in during the overnight hours.

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When all is said and done (and accounting Wednesday’s rain) we still forecast widespread 2-3″ of rain across the region, with locally heavier totals.  Additionally, we bracket late tonight into the early Friday morning hours for the greatest chance of severe weather across our region.  Hail and straight line wind damage are of the greatest concerns, but a tornado can’t be ruled out.  The cold front will sweep the state clean Friday afternoon and help set up a very nice, although cooler, weekend.

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Wet, Stormy Period…

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Tue.

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Heavy

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Light

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Moderate

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Forecast Updated 04.02.14 @ 7:30a

Heading Into A Stormy, Wet Period. . .While periods of showers and thunderstorms will be with us through Friday morning, we break things down and focus in on this afternoon/ evening into Thursday morning for the potential of heaviest rainfall.  We then think we experience a bit of a “lull” in the action Thursday afternoon before we ramp things back up and introduce a severe weather component Thursday night into Friday morning.  Renewed heavy rains would also accompany these thunderstorms.  As for the severe risk, really all modes of severe weather are in play, including damaging hail, straight line winds, and even the possibility of a tornado or two.  We’ll continue to closely monitor the ongoing weather situation and suggest you plan to keep abreast of the latest developments in the days ahead in terms of potentially flooding and severe weather.  Severe weather outbreaks are always dangerous, but particularly so at night.

The cold front will sweep the state clean of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms Friday morning and this will set things up for a much quieter, calmer (although windy) close to the week.

When all is said and done, we forecast widespread 2-3″ rainfall through the heart of the state, including central Indiana, along with localized amounts between 3″ and 4″.

Much Needed, Calmer, Weekend. . .High pressure will build over head as we go through the weekend and this will supply a drier, calmer period Saturday and Sunday.  We’ll note a cooler air mass in place, along with a gusty northwest wind Saturday, but winds will calm Sunday, ensuring a pleasant close to the weekend.

Eyeing Our Next Storm. . .Things are still much in the air in regards to the precise details with a new storm system early next week, but we’re confident something’s brewing.  The European data suggests this is another heavy rain event for our neck of the woods Monday, while the GFS is further east, and takes the majority of the moisture up the eastern seaboard.  We’ll continue to monitor things.

One more item of note, mid to long range guidance is in agreement on the return of a below normal temperature pattern here later next week…  In fact, a few wet snow flurries may fly next Tuesday as the cold air pushes back in.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 3″ – 4″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Enjoy Today; Heavy Rain And Storms In Our Future…

Today will be another beauty! Enjoy!  We think conditions go down hill rather rapidly later tonight through Friday morning with periods of heavy rain and the threat of severe weather…

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Covering Gusty Storms Tonight And Saturday Snow…

Busy times in the forecast office continues.  We are eyeing potentially noisy thunderstorms later tonight and the threat of wet accumulating snow for portions of the area Saturday.  Details can…

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Much Colder And Very Windy Sunday

The storm system that looked like it may provide central Indiana accumulating snow earlier this week is, indeed, remaining south. Portions of southern parts of the state will see light…

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