Category: Severe Weather

Warmer And Stormy Look…

We’re shifting gears into more of a spring like weather pattern over the course of the next 4-6 weeks. Things appear to get rather active and warmer than average, as…

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A “Don’t Blink” Kinda Weather Pattern…

Screen Shot 2015-03-23 at 9.47.25 PMLoaded Up…That’s exactly what the weather pattern is over the forecast period above.  Before we get into that, how about that snow and sleet Monday?!  Snow came down fast and furious Monday afternoon just north of the city and accumulated to the tune of a few inches across a strip of north-central Indiana.  Travel was impacted, as well.  Ah, spring in Indiana… 🙂

We’ll transition from the wintry times of Monday to thundery downpours later Tuesday and continuing through the mid week period.  A couple rounds of rain and thunderstorms can be expected Tuesday.  The first of which will arrive late Tuesday morning into the afternoon.  This will then be followed by a potentially noisy round of thunderstorms late Tuesday night into the wee morning hours Wednesday.  Most of the day Wednesday will feature dry conditions, along with a gusty SW breeze and much warmer conditions.  The atmosphere will prime itself for another round of heavy rain and strong to isolated severe thunderstorms Wednesday night into Thursday.  A cold front will finally sweep through the region Thursday morning and put an end to the rain and thunder as well as usher in a much colder regime to wrap up the work week.

As mentioned above, cold will be the word as we put a wrap on the week and head into the weekend.  In fact, enough moisture and upper level energy may be present to create snow showers Friday.  Talk about a harsh reality to Wednesday’s mid 60s.  Don’t you love the weather roller coaster this time of year?!  Cold remains firmly in place Saturday though with increasing sunshine.

As we look ahead to early next week, a warm front may lift north through the region Sunday afternoon and this could spark a light shower.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″ – 2.00″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Trace – Dusting

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-dont-blink-kinda-weather-pattern/

Incredible Pattern…

Screen Shot 2015-02-15 at 7.54.13 AMHope You Like Winter…Many central Indiana neighborhoods are awaking to temperatures this morning between zero and 4 degrees above.  It’s a frigid start to the day and sunshine won’t do anything to help us out as highs only manage to climb into the middle teens.

Clouds will increase this evening and tonight and snow will overspread the southern half of the state late tonight and Monday morning.  This is from the storm system we said that it was too early to write off last week and that a northern shift was certainly possible as we got closer.  Sure enough, the northward jog took place yesterday and puts places from Indianapolis and points south in play for accumulating snow Monday.  We’ll continue to look over the data today and tonight and have more specific numbers later tonight.

Yet ANOTHER surge of arctic air will slam in here by the middle of the week and snow showers/ gusty winds will precede the bitter blast.  In fact, this 3rd arctic surge looks to be the coldest yet.  Amazing stuff!

As we rumble towards next weekend, there’s yet another winter storm we’ll have to keep a watch on…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.00″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 5″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/incredible-pattern/

Crippling Snow Storm For Some; Just Wet For Others.

An incredibly difficult and challenging forecast is in store for central Indiana over the course of the next 24-36 hours.  I want to get out front with this right from the get go: bust potential is high with this type set-up, as a jog 10-20 miles north or south of the surface low will mean the difference between half a foot of snow and plain cold rain.  As it stands now, and after careful consideration of every piece of data available, here’s our updated snowfall map:

SnowfallMap2115V2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I still am not sure any one piece of data is handling the interaction between the arctic high to the north and the developing low to our southwest “perfectly.”  As such, additional fine tuning will have to take place tonight.  That arctic high is powerful at nearly 1045mb.  From a meteorological standpoint, it’ll be a fascinating battle watching the fight play out.

As you can see, we’re going to be looking at a very tight thermal gradient and it, unfortunately, appears to set itself up directly over the I-70 corridor.  Precipitation type and amounts are the biggest challenge within the I-70 corridor.  Further north, confidence increases rather significantly for a crippling snow storm.  For central Indiana, this will be a very wet and heavy snow event before ending as a drier, powdery snow on the back end.  As winds increase Sunday afternoon/ evening, the heavy “paste” like snow won’t blow around as easily as it would if it was drier.  Further north the snow consistency will be drier and blowing and drifting will be severe (in the 8″-12″+ zone).

In the shorter-term, rain and a wintry mix will arrive into the region as early as early as 6-7 o’clock.

Stay tuned.  Another post will hit here late tonight (midnight-ish).  In the meantime, we’ll keep our thoughts coming at @indywx through the afternoon.

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Late Night Update: Snow Storm Brewing…

Early forecast model data into the office tonight suggests we remain on track for a disruptive widespread snow storm this weekend. We note the timing is speeding up just a…

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