Local Downpours Wednesday…

Screen Shot 2016-05-31 at 10.09.58 PMHighlights:

  • Scattered Midweek Storms
  • Cooler and unsettled this weekend
  • Cooler than average open to next week

Haves And Have Nots…A cold front will move through the region Wednesday evening and result in scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and evening hours.  While there will be some localized heavy downpours, not everyone can expect heavy rain tomorrow.  We’ll note a wind shift and drier air Thursday.

As we progress into the upcoming weekend, a trough will begin to carve itself out over the region.  Not only will this provide a cooler air mass, but multiple upper level disturbances will track through the region, helping keep things rather unsettled at times this weekend into early next week.  While we’re not talking about heavy rain, there will be rainy periods at times as these pieces of upper level energy move through.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″ (locally heavier totals)

Beautiful Memorial Day Weather…

Screen Shot 2016-05-30 at 8.46.39 AMHighlights:

  • Sunny, warm Memorial Day
  • Scattered storms mid week
  • Cooler late in the forecast period

Sunscreen and Sunglasses needed…High pressure will supply plenty of sunshine for Memorial Day.  While it’ll be warm, it’ll be a little less humid than the past few days.  All-in-all, it’ll be a great day to be outdoors.  Enjoy it!

A cold front will move closer to the region come midweek and tap into available Gulf moisture to create a good chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday PM into Thursday.

Come late week, modeling differs on the precise details.  For now, we’re leaning towards a cooler, unsettled look.  Fine tuning will be required as we move forward.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.75″

Warm And Humid; More Dry Time Than Stormy…

Screen Shot 2016-05-26 at 8.56.28 PMHighlights:

  • Scattered storms into the weekend
  • Isolated storm coverage Sunday-Monday, but drier overall
  • Scattered storms return mid week

Not A Bad Forecast…The overall theme with tonight’s forecast package is warm and humid.  While scattered thunderstorms will remain in our forecast Friday and Saturday, overall coverage of thunderstorm activity will diminish Sunday-Monday (isolated coverage both days).  From this distance, the Indy 500 weather looks nice- just an isolated storm threat and quite warm.  Widespread rain totals should remain below half an inch through the weekend, but we caution that locally heavier totals will certainly be possible (though it’s impossible to be precise where exactly those heavier showers and storms track).

Drier times will greet us as we return to work Tuesday, but we’ll be eyeing an approaching late week cold front by this time.  This front will present our next chance of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity, along with a transition to a much cooler air mass just beyond the forecast period.

Turning Much More Humid…

Screen Shot 2016-05-24 at 9.16.34 PMHighlights:

  • Oppressive feel develops
  • Scattered storms to close the week
  • Less storm coverage for the 500 and Memorial Day

Ready To Sweat?  A much more humid and oppressive feel will develop Wednesday (dew points likely surge to 70 by afternoon).  Along with the muggy air mass, we expect scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop.  We’ll maintain mention of scattered storms into the weekend, but want to stress that these won’t be uniform in the least.  That said, with all of the moisture in the air, stronger storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall.

We continue to keep a close eye on the data for Sunday and Monday.  Thankfully, latest indications suggest we see an overall decrease in aerial coverage of showers and storms both days.  We’ll call it “isolated” for now.  It’ll be plenty hot and humid.