Not As Bad As It May Look…

Screen Shot 2016-05-23 at 6.48.20 PMHighlights:

  • Dry feel turns much more humid
  • Splash and dash storms, but many dry hours
  • Warm, humid Memorial Day/ Race weekend

One More Dry Day…High pressure is scooting away from the region, but will remain close enough to supply central IN with dry conditions Tuesday.  Though warm, we’ll enjoy one more day with dry air in place.

A SW wind shift will deliver an increasingly moist air mass for mid week, continuing into the long holiday and race weekend ahead.  In fact, dew points will surge to readings around 70 (downright oppressive).  While there will be times of scattered showers and thunderstorms, there will also be many dry hours, as well.  We continue to keep an eye on Wednesday for the potential of a strong to severe storm.

As we continue to grow closer to the holiday and race weekend, questions continue to increase around the forecast specifics, and rightfully so.  While we need to be prepared for an afternoon/ evening storm, these will be scattered and there will be “haves and have nots” when it comes to storm/ rain activity over the balance of the upcoming forecast period.  Again, we want to emphasize there should be plenty of dry time.

Feeling Like Summer…

Screen Shot 2016-05-22 at 8.27.39 AMHighlights:

  • Dry open to the week
  • Warming up and turning humid
  • Storm chances mid week on

Beautiful Open To The Week…High pressure and a dry air mass will result in lots of sunshine to open the week.  After a chilly first few weeks of May, we’ll see improvements in the mercury this week.  A dry air mass will still result in cool overnight lows through Tuesday morning, but we’ll shift to a much more humid regime for mid and late week.  Additionally, temperatures will continue to climb into the lower 80s for highs.  Prepare to sweat.

The increased moisture and an approaching frontal boundary will help ignite scattered showers and thunderstorms for the second half of the week.  We also have a close eye on Wednesday for the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms.  While it won’t rain the entire time, prepare for “splash and dash” showers and storms into the important Memorial Day/ Indy 500 weekend…

Showers Build In This Afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-05-20 at 8.04.29 AMHighlights:

  • Showers arrive this afternoon
  • Better finish to the weekend
  • Wet pattern returns next week

Rain Gear Needed This Afternoon…The Friday-Saturday forecast has been a headache all week as models have been “waffling” back and forth between heavy rains and mostly dry weather.  As it is, we’re actually going to end up “splitting the difference.”  While it’ll rain at times this afternoon into Saturday, totals will be relatively light (0.10″-0.30″ for most).

A brighter second half of the weekend is coming as sunshine returns Sunday.  That dry period of weather will carry us into the new work week, but we caution that wet and stormy weather will return by the middle of next week.  Expect a much warmer and more humid time of things next week.

Extended Period Of Dry And Warmer Weather…

Screen Shot 2016-05-18 at 8.01.27 AMHighlights:

  • Isolated afternoon shower possible
  • Extended period of sunny weather
  • Moderating temperatures

This Is More Like It…An isolated shower chance is there this afternoon into the early evening hours, particularly across western sections of the forecast area.  That said, most will remain rain-free today with increasing afternoon sunshine.  This is only the beginning of a rather extended period of dry, sunny weather across the Hoosier state.

Earlier thoughts brought rain back to the forecast to close the week, but latest model trends keep this next storm too far south and east for impacts, locally.  Instead, we’ll forecast a dry weekend with moderating temperatures.  A string of 80s is on tap next week.

Rain Pushes In Tonight…

Screen Shot 2016-05-16 at 9.49.02 AM

Highlights:

  • Dry daytime before showers develop tonight
  • Cool times continue
  • Drier mid week
  • Late week storm system

Cool Times Remain…The work week is off to a chilly, but dry start.  While the cool times will remain, dry times, unfortunately, won’t.  Rain will arrive on the scene tonight and continue into the first half of Tuesday.  Heaviest rain totals will remain downstate, but on average we expect 0.25″-0.50″ across central IN.  Tuesday will be a chilly day with clouds lingering most of the day (keep in mind our average high now is into the lower 70s).

We’ll enjoy some much needed dry time for the mid week period, including lots of sunshine.  Temperatures will remain below average.

Our next storm system will push into the Ohio Valley late week.  Clouds will be on the increase Friday with rain building in during the PM.  Rain continues into early Saturday before we get back to drier conditions late in the day and into Sunday.  The potential is there for a period of heavy rain, but we caution forecast models aren’t in agreement on the axis of heaviest totals.  Stay tuned.