Sep 04
September so far has been dominated by a southeast ridge, presenting a warmer and more humid than average feel to our air- stark contrast from the better part of the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/1-2-punch-of-cool-coming/
Sep 04
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Watching Storms To Our Northwest This Morning…Today is a bit of a tricky forecast. A complex of showers and thunderstorms is tracking through northern Illinois this morning and we’ll monitor this area of showers and storms in the event it begins to shift south of a due east track. Additionally, outflow boundaries from this complex may trigger additional development of showers and thunderstorms later today. Best rain/ storm chances should remain across northern Indiana, but we’ll keep an eye on things. With all of that said, we think most folks here across central Indiana will remain rain-free, including lots of sunshine today.
Cold Front Ushers In A Much Cooler Weekend…A cold front will move through the region early Saturday morning. Ahead of this boundary, a broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely blow through central Indiana Friday night. We continue to fine tune timing, but thinking at this point highlights 8p to 1a Friday night and Saturday morning (we’ll “tighten” that time line up later tonight).
A few left over showers are possible into Saturday along with a MUCH cooler, fall-like, feel that will continue into next week!
Big Blast Of Cool Air Mid Month…Good model agreement remains on a big blast of cool air blowing in later next week. Once again, rain and storms will remain in the forecast as the strong cold front blows through. Behind the boundary, some truly chilly air would arrive… More details to come as we move forward, but it may be a good idea to go ahead and pull those jackets and sweaters out if you haven’t already.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
GEFS temperature anomalies over the next two weeks show the 1-2 punch of cool air coming. Time to think about pulling out those jackets!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/hot-and-humid-before-a-big-weekend-cool-down/
Sep 03
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Dry Time…Sun-filled days can be expected after morning fog burns off across outlying areas both today and Thursday. Temperatures will be a touch above normal.
Friday Night Storms Ahead Of Big Cool Down…A cold front will pass the state early Saturday. Ahead of this front, a line of strong to severe storms will be possible Friday night. We’ll fine tune timing as we progress through the next day or two. A blast of much cooler, drier air will then pour into the state over the weekend. It’ll feel very much like fall around these parts…
Next Rain Maker…We’ll enjoy another dry and seasonably cool couple days before our next potentially significant rain maker gears up for the middle of next week. Both the GFS and European forecast models are hinting this could be a significant rain maker, but caution this is still early and fine tuning will be required.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Farmer Paul of Full Circle Farm sent in this beautiful fog bank shot this morning. Full Circle Farm is located across southern Boone County in Whitestown. We encourage you to check out their web site if you haven’t already. Thanks, Paul!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/couple-dry-days-ahead-of-friday-storms-weekend-cool-down/
Sep 02
I was out and about earlier today and taking note that local lawns are much greener than they typically have been over the past few years by early September. We can thank recent rains and warmth, but it’s been a wet year, overall, to date. Think back to all of the winter snows and then add the copious spring and summer rains. The end result so far? 2014 is running close to 2″ above normal precipitation at IND.
Overnight rains went close to forecast. We picked up 1″ on the dot in the city, including northern ‘burbs. (IndyWx.com HQ in southern Boone County also picked up 1″). Heavier rains and localized flash flooding took place down state.
A look at today’s rainfall:
Moving forward, the pattern over the upcoming (2) weeks appears wetter than normal.
In the shorter term, the GFS and Canadian paint a wet picture out by Days 7-10 (BTW- the European agrees).
Modeling suggests 2-3″ type rainfall is possible over the upcoming 7-10 day period. A transient pattern can be thanked for the overall wet forecast.
The CFSv2 also suggests precipitation runs 150%-200% of normal levels through mid September.
As harvest begins across some Hoosier farm lands, note the increased wetness in the pattern through the upcoming 14 days, or so.
The region will remain in an active pattern through the next couple weeks, at least, as we lie in the battle ground between a stubborn southeastern ridge and an increasingly active early fall northern stream. A wetter than normal mid west will ensue…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-pattern-looks-to-continue-into-mid-month/
Sep 02
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Decreasing Rain Coverage; Increasing Sunshine…A shield of moderate to heavy rain encompassed the state during the overnight. This shield of rain is slowly moving east, southeast and we’ll be looking at improving weather through the day. There’s still the chance of a widely scattered thunderstorm late morning or early afternoon as a frontal boundary slides through the region.
Sunny Days…As we progress through the mid and late week stretch, we’ll enjoy dry skies and plentiful sunshine. Normal lows and highs are in the lower 60s and lower 80s this time of year, so we’ll be very close to that Wednesday before moderating temperatures take us warmer than average to wrap up the work week.
Late Week Cold Front; Autumn Feel This Weekend…A cold front will slice into the warm and humid air mass Friday evening and lead to the possibility of a broken line of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms. A MUCH cooler air mass will then invade the region behind the boundary, leading to a true fall-like feel this weekend!
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
John Salewicz sent us this beautiful sunrise photo Saturday morning before storms invaded portions of central Indiana. Thanks, John!
Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You’ll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/improving-weather-through-the-day/
