Category Archives: Heavy Rain

Turning Unsettled This Afternoon…

The initial push of moisture will ride into central IN this afternoon (likely between 2p-3p time frame).  Embedded thunder will be a good bet, but the storms pushing in should be in a weakened state compared to what our neighbors to our west will experience a few hours earlier.

1Periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Saturday.  The good news?  After the initial round of showers this afternoon, most high school football games could very well be dry tonight.

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3It won’t rain the entire time Saturday, but scattered storms are a good bet through the day.  Some locally heavy rainfall is likely, but rain amounts won’t be uniform.  On average 0.75″-1″ is a good bet.

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kind_2016091521_tqpfSunday will be the pick of the weekend as high pressure builds in and supplies a drier air mass.  Flipping the page to next week, the big story will be a late season push of summer heat followed by a significant cold front next weekend.  Behind this front, a true push of bonafide autumn air will push in.  Sweaters and jackets will likely be needed as we put a wrap on September…

No Comments Autumn, Football, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Drier, Cooler Air On Our Doorstep…

screen-shot-2016-09-10-at-9-20-41-amHighlights:

  • Greatest storm coverage and intensity this morning
  • Turning much drier and cooler
  • Reinforcing mid week cool air

Turning Much Drier This Evening…It’s been a wet and stormy time of things as of late.  Locally heavy rain will continue to accompany stronger storms this morning, but we note greatest storm coverage should begin to shift ENE as the morning progresses into afternoon.  Renewed showers will likely develop this afternoon as the cold front moves through the state.  We’ll then enjoy a marked NW wind shift this evening and that will help push much drier and cooler air in to help create a true fall feel tonight.  The second half of the weekend look beautiful- sunny and crisp!

Much needed dry time will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week.  We note a reinforcing push of cool air mid week that could spark a shower, but rainfall amounts don’t look impressive (the air will be much drier than the “soupy” feel we’ve been dealing with for the past week).  A more significant rain-maker should arrive next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1″-2″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Heavy Rain, T-storms

Periods Of Heavy Rain Then Much Cooler…

A “wavy” frontal boundary will be located over our region through the next 36-48 hours before getting a “shove” south from a cold front Saturday. 


The combination of the stationary front along with a tropical-rich air mass in place will be enough in and of itself to produce periods of heavy rain today into Saturday morning. Add in a couple of disturbances moving along the boundary and the heavy rain prospects grow even higher. A strong to severe storm also can’t be ruled out-primarily this afternoon and again Friday afternoon. 

Already this morning (6:30a) we note widespread showers and embedded thunder impacting IL and northern IN. 


As mentioned, the air mass is plenty “juicy” to fuel locally heavy rain through the period. Precipitable water values (PWATs) will surge north of 2″ for all of central IN later today. 


While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of heavy rain will remain in our forecast today through Saturday morning. Widespread 1″-2″ totals will be common, with locally heavier totals. 


High pressure will build overhead Sunday and lead to quite the change. A much cooler and drier air mass will return along with brighter skies to wrap up the weekend. 


Lows in the middle 50s will be common for the city, itself, Sunday through Tuesday mornings. Upper 40s to lower 50s are a good bet away from the metro. 

No Comments Autumn, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, T-storms

Wet Day; Enhanced Flood Risk Tonight For Some…

The National Weather Service has expanded the Flash Flood Watch to encompass more of the viewing area.  This is in effect until 8p Tuesday.

Screen Shot 2016-08-15 at 7.26.16 AMNo doubt about it, today will be very wet across the entire region, including periods of heavy rain- especially across the western half of the state.

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4Tropical moisture will continue to stream into the state tonight into Tuesday.  In fact, most intense rains will likely set up tonight and may feature “banding” signatures that would train over the same areas.  Within these intense rain bands, prolific rainfall rates can be expected, enhancing the flash flood risk.  Latest short-term model data shows this threat, and would place a premium focus on areas generally west of US-31.  We’ll have to keep a close eye on things.

2Plenty of “juice” is available to tap into across western sections tonight.  Precipitable water values (PWATs) of 2″-2.5″ will be more than enough to fuel torrential rainfall.

hrrr_pwat_indy_16Eventually (mid and late week), we’ll dry things out and a significant cool down is still in store developing this weekend into early next week.  Lows will fall deep into the 50s with highs only in the 70s.  Talk about an early taste of fall…

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_6

No Comments Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather