Category: Forecast

Keeping A Close Eye On Christmas Eve…

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Highlights:

  • Light Snow This Morning Downstate
  • Big Storm Brewing Christmas Eve
  • Cold/ Stormy Pattern Setting Up To Close 2014

Light Snow Downstate; Quiet Weekend…It doesn’t take much snow to make a mess of things on area roadways and sure enough that’s the case this morning as light snow has created slick spots on I-65 across southern portions of the state. Travel safely and slow down if you’re heading south.  All-in-all, the weekend will be a quiet one with temperatures very close to where they should be for this time of year.  We’re keeping our fingers crossed for a few looks at the sun for the second half of the weekend.

Big Storm Brewing; Still Questions Around Specifics…Let’s cut right to the chase….  While confidence is increasing on some wind-whipped snow Christmas Eve, there are still many more questions than answers in regards to precisely when and where the accumulating snow sets up across the state.

We’ll cloud things up Monday and introduce some light rain late in the day with periods of rain and mild temperatures Tuesday.  It’s as the storm begins to deepen and head north that we should get in on more of a wintry aspect, including strong and gusty winds Christmas Eve (continues to look like a bumpy ride for Santa this year) with falling temperatures after a midnight high.  Winds may gust in excess of 40-50 MPH Christmas Eve.  Needless to say, it won’t take much snow to make a mess of travel with those type winds.  Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune over the weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 2″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/20/keeping-a-close-eye-on-christmas-eve/

Turning Colder Later Today; Keeping Close Tabs On The Weekend…

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Highlights:

  • Tuesday Showers
  • Weekend Snow For Some
  • Pre-Christmas Wintry Event

Showers; Turning Colder Late…Showers will remain in our forecast today.  Most widespread rain will occur during the early morning hours, but we’ll maintain mention of light showers in our forecast even into the afternoon.  Winds will be gusty and help drive colder air into central Indiana later this evening.  We forecast nearly steady temperatures during the morning and afternoon hours before falling temperatures during the evening.

Dry, But Cold Mid Week…We’ll welcome a drier regime for the midweek period, along with partly to mostly cloudy skies and colder conditions.

Eyeing The Weekend…There’s not much change in our overall thinking of a potentially snowy first half of the weekend for some.  Monday featured run-to-run inconsistencies on our weekend storm system and we fully expect additional changes within the model data during the next couple of days.  In building our forecasts we factor in current data, but also rely on past data of storm tracks with similar setups.

At the end of the day (and despite model inconsistencies) we still think one area of low pressure heads northeast out of the mid MS River Valley into the Ohio Valley Friday night into Saturday.  A secondary area of low pressure is then expected to organize along the mid Atlantic coast Saturday afternoon.  Widespread light snow should build into the Ohio Valley Saturday with the above set up.  Exactly where heavier snow sets up is still up for much debate and will require fine tuning as we move forward.

Christmas Travelers Keep Close Tabs On The Forecast…After our first opportunity of potential wintry weather we’ll enjoy only a day or two of calmer weather in between storms.  Longer range data suggests we need to keep abreast of another winter event just prior to Christmas.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 2″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/15/3276/

Monday Evening Video Brief

Additional showers will rotate through central Indiana during the overnight, followed by a colder mid week stretch.  All eyes remain on the weekend for an impactful winter weather event across…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/15/monday-evening-video-brief/

Busy Week Ahead…

Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun.               40/ 50 33/ 45 25/ 35 25/ 35 25/ 34 28/ 32 26/ 33  Highlights: Early…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/14/busy-week-ahead/

Mild; Foggy With Areas Of Drizzle For Colts Vs. Texans

Colts v. Texans Forecast Prepared For:

The Indiana Sports Report

12.14.14

Happy game day Colts fans!  – New day; same story…central Indiana will remain under the influence of an “inversion” and this will keep low clouds and areas of fog prevalent for most of the day.  Milder air in the 50s at 4,000-5,000 feet up is overrunning shallow cooler air that’s trapped at the surface and the result in more of the same- gloomy, cloudy, foggy weather.  While temperatures won’t be as mild as they could be without the inversion, tailgaters still can’t complain about 45-50 degree air this time of year :-).  Visit IndyWx.com for “Indy’s Behind The Scenes Weather” all season long!  Go Colts!

Tailgate Weather

Kickoff Weather

Heading Home

Cloudy and foggy; patchy drizzle Cloudy with areas of fog; patchy drizzle Cloudy with areas of fog; patchy drizzle
Temp: 41-45 Temp: 46 Temp:  50
Wind:  S 5-10 MPH Wind: S 5-10 MPH Wind:  S 5-10 MPH
Precip: Trace Precip: Trace Precip:  Trace
Despite low clouds and areas of drizzle, temperatures will be mild this morning for tailgaters!

Despite low clouds and areas of drizzle, temperatures will be mild this morning for tailgaters! 

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/14/mild-foggy-with-areas-of-drizzle-for-colts-vs-texans/

Weekend Inversion…

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Highlights:

  • Weekend Inversion
  • Early Week Storm System
  • Keeping Close Eyes On Next Weekend

Gloomy Weekend…Forecast models continue to suggest we deal with an inversion though the weekend and this will keep low clouds hanging tough along with areas of fog (be careful tonight into Saturday morning for areas of freezing fog).  The warmer air is moving in aloft, but at the surface cold air remains hard to budge this weekend.  Just think…if we could shake the low clouds and fog, temperatures would have no problem climbing well into the middle and upper 50s.  Instead we forecast lower and middle 40s Saturday and upper 40s and lower 50s Sunday.  Again, low clouds and areas of fog will hang tough, along with patchy drizzle.

Early Week Storm System…An area of low pressure will “bowl” across the middle of the country and result in developing showers late Monday, continuing into Tuesday.  Temperatures will be too mild to support anything other than rain with our Monday-Tuesday system.

Colder; Eyeing Next Weekend…We’ll see a return of below normal cold for the second half of next week.  Forecast models differ on Thursday’s solution and vary from a cold, dry day to one that features mixed rain and snow.  For now, we’ll side with the dry theme for now, but suggest staying tune.  A more “interesting” system awaits next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/12/weekend-inversion/

“Dirty” High In Control…

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Dirty High…High pressure is in control of our weather, but this is what we call a “dirty high” as low clouds will remain today along with a couple light flurries, particularly across western parts of the state.  Temperatures will remain colder than average.

Sunshine will finally begin to increase as we go into the latter portion of the work week along with slowly moderating temperatures closer to seasonal levels.

Tricky Weekend…The upper air pattern this weekend will feature a building ridge across the Mid West and Ohio Valley and signal milder days ahead.  Taken at face value one would anticipate temperatures well into the 50s and flirting with 60, but there will likely be an “inversion” that develops over the weekend which will lead to lots of clouds, drizzle, and cooler temperatures that what we’d expect without this inversion.  As such, we’re forecasting increasing clouds Saturday and considerable cloudiness with areas of drizzle Sunday.  Temperatures, though milder than normal, won’t reach levels they could in this type pattern without the inversion.

Early Week Storm System…Our next storm system will arrive late Monday into Tuesday with light rain and colder air returning for the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/10/dirty-high-in-control/

Colder Air Moving In…

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon.               33/ 39 29/ 35 28/ 38 28/ 42 32/ 49 34/ 52 40/ 54  Mixed Rain/…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/08/colder-air-moving-in/

Blustery And Cold Day…

Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri.               31/ 42 27/ 39 31/ 42 28/ 37 27/ 35 28/ 38 30/ 45  Half &…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/06/blustery-and-cold-day/

Wet Stretch Ahead…

First, be sure and scroll down to the next post (from Thursday night) on our long range thinking. We’re focusing on a wet 24 hours ahead, Hoosiers. Rain will build…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/12/05/wet-stretch-ahead/

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