Category Archives: Forecast

Rinse And Repeat…

screen-shot-2016-09-28-at-8-43-04-pmHighlights:

  • Continued unsettled and unseasonably cool
  • Drier time arrives Sunday
  • Moderating temperatures early next week

Rinse And Repeat Pattern…Our weather pattern will be dominated by a “cut off” upper low through Saturday.  While it won’t rain the entire time, we’ll maintain mention of scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms each day.  It still appears as if Friday will serve up the most widespread rain coverage.  Similar to today, stronger thunderstorms could contain small hail, especially during the afternoon hours.  Temperatures will remain significantly cooler than normal through the period.

A drier regime will build in late this weekend into early next week. Ridging will continue to expand as we move into mid week with needed dry time and moderating temperatures.  Our next storm system appears to be slated for an arrival next Thursday.  Storms will accompany the front followed by much cooler air.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Cut Off Low, Forecast, Hail, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Grab The Jacket…

screen-shot-2016-09-26-at-6-27-14-pmHighlights:

  • Tuesday sunshine gives way to increasing clouds
  • Unsettled, unseasonably cool stretch of weather ahead
  • Beginning to dry things out late in the weekend

Prolonged Stretch Of Unseasonably Cool; Unsettled Weather…A cold front swept through the region this morning with a round of showers and thunderstorms followed by a push of drastically drier and cooler air for the PM.  The coolest night since spring is dialed up with a mostly clear sky.  Many central IN neighborhoods should be in the mid/ upper 40s Tuesday morning.

Enjoy the sunshine Tuesday as clouds being to increase during the second half of the day.  A cut off upper level low will drop south and “meander” around our neck of the woods for mid and late week.  This will supply considerable cloudiness, periods of scattered showers, and unseasonably cool temperatures.  Even some small hail is possible (with the stronger showers) during the afternoon hours, thanks to the cold air aloft.

We’ll slowly begin to dry things out and allow temperatures to moderate heading through the back half of the weekend, continuing into early next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.75″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Hail, Harvest'16, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Changes Brewing…

screen-shot-2016-09-24-at-8-07-32-amHighlights:

  • Dry weekend
  • Rain arrives late Sunday night/ early Monday
  • Feeling much more like fall next week

Heat Is Limited…Despite areas of low clouds and fog, we’re looking at a mostly dry weekend. A large temperature contrast will be noted from northeast parts of the state to the southwest corner this afternoon as a backdoor cold front continues to press south.  Showers will build in late Sunday night (well after most folks head to bed).  This is in association with an autumn cold front that will sweep through the region Monday morning.  Showers will continue through the morning hours before a northwest wind shift helps usher in a drier and much cooler air mass Monday afternoon.  You’ll want to reach for the jacket and your favorite pumpkin beverage Monday evening…

Unseasonably cool air will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week, along with a northwest flow.  It’ll feel much more like fall and the cooler, drier air mass will really help ignite the fall color change across central IN.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Fall Foliage, Forecast, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Much Cooler Air On Deck…

screen-shot-2016-09-23-at-7-11-26-amHighlights:

  • Dry, warm close to the work week
  • Warm weekend
  • Much cooler air awaits

Summer Feel Gives Way To An Autumn Chill…A backdoor cold front will press into central IN over the weekend and will serve as a focal point for increased clouds at times (northern portions of the state today and more of central IN Saturday).  While an isolated to widely scattered shower is possible with this front, most will remain rain-free straight through the weekend.  Temperatures will remain well above normal across the region.

A stronger cold front will march towards the area to open the work week.  Showers and embedded thunder will accompany the frontal boundary as it pushes through the region.  We’ll then note a marked NW wind shift by evening and that will help usher in a true push of fall air.  A stretch of mornings with lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s during the day will take us through mid week.  Those cooler readings will really being to ignite the color change across central IN.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Hot, Dry Pattern Continues For Now; MUCH Cooler Next Week…

The remainder of the work week and this weekend will remain dry and unseasonably warm.  Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 80s with overnight lows in the lower to middle 60s through the period. Strong ridging will keep us rain-free with plentiful sunshine.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_12A “backdoor” cold front will approach the region from the northeast late in the weekend, but won’t have enough “umph” to push the drier, cooler air our friends across the northeast and mid Atlantic will enjoy our way.

gfs_t2m_b_ma_14The evolution of the pattern from an unseasonably warm, dry regime to a much cooler, autumnal feel will, undoubtedly, feature showers and thunderstorms as we transition.  Modeling continues to waffle back and forth in regards to rainfall totals.  As of now, we’ll highlight Monday-Wednesday with increased rain chances.

gfs_tprecip_ky_28Thereafter, we turn MUCH cooler.  Data suggests Tuesday-Friday features temperatures much more like we’d expect for late September.  Lows in the 45-50 degree range, along with highs between 65-70 can be expected.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_24

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7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Harvest'16, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm