Category Archives: Forecast

Hot Now, But Changes Coming…

screen-shot-2016-09-21-at-7-53-41-amHighlights:

  • Warmth continues
  • Dry weather through the weekend
  • Timing issues early next week

Sunglasses Required…The first half of the period is as easy as the second half is difficult so we won’t waste any time on it.  Look for lots of sunshine, unseasonably warm temperatures, and dry conditions through the weekend.  A “backdoor” cold front will be close to the region Sunday, but the impact it has on our immediate region will be minimal.  Eastern portions of the state will experience a cooler second half of the weekend with a breezy easterly flow.

The challenging period arrives to open up the work week and the GFS and European couldn’t be further apart.  There’s a 48 hour difference between when the GFS slides the strong cold front through (Monday) and European (Wednesday).  You can imagine, the sensible weather differs from a continuation of the unseasonably warm and dry conditions until Wednesday (European) or a true blast of fall air arriving Monday (GFS).

For the purpose of this forecast, we’ll lean more towards the GFS.  While it hasn’t been perfect, it’s easy to argue it’s been handling things in a much more consistent manner than the European as of late.  Furthermore, when the European completely “lost” this front earlier in the week, the GFS at least kept the idea alive and kicking.  Now the European model is having to play “catch up.”  With all of that said, we expect the cold front to deliver scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday followed by a significant drop in temperatures Monday night.  Unsettled weather would continue Tuesday with the much cooler air.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Dry, Warm Week…

screen-shot-2016-09-18-at-8-36-26-pmHighlights:

  • Dry week for the most part
  • Unseasonably warm
  • Significant cold front looms

Extended Stretch Of Dry Weather…Despite a weak frontal boundary getting close enough to create an isolated shower Tuesday, we’re looking at dry conditions this week, complete with plentiful amounts of sunshine.  Average temperatures for mid September include lower 50s for lows and highs in the lower 70s.  With highs this week surging into the middle to upper 80s with lows in the middle 60s, it’s safe we’ll enjoy some bonus “summer time!”

For those longing for the chilly, crisp conditions of the fall season, hang in there.  A strong cold front will approach the region late in the weekend and will be accompanied by showers and thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday. MUCH cooler air awaits behind the boundary…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Drying Out; Late Season Push Of Summer Air…

screen-shot-2016-09-17-at-10-22-44-amHighlights:

  • Showers become more scattered this afternoon
  • Nice Sunday on deck
  • Late season push of summer heat before cooler times

Drying Out Sunday…It was a wet and stormy night across central IN, including locally hefty rainfall totals (some neighborhoods picked up more than 2″).  We’ve been dealing with widespread soaking rain across central IN through the morning, but as we progress into the afternoon, most concentrated rain will remain east of the city and on into Ohio.  Scattered showers will remain possible until the cold front presses through the region tonight.

High pressure will build overhead Sunday and supply increasing sunshine and a pleasant second half of the weekend.  Lower humidity will promote overnight lows into the upper 50s to open the week.

A secondary (weak) front may yield an isolated to widely scattered shower Tuesday, but the bigger story will be late season heat building to close the week.  Highs will approach the 90 degree mark by Friday as a big ole ridge expands across the region.

Longer term, a significant cold front looms just beyond the current forecast period that will offer up thunderstorms and a big blast of fall-like air to close the month…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Scattered Storms Today; More Widespread Rain Saturday…

screen-shot-2016-09-14-at-7-41-26-amHighlights:

  • Scattered storms
  • More concentrated; heavier rain this weekend
  • Drier to open the work week

Scattered Storms Around…A weak frontal boundary will kick up a couple of scattered storms today.  While rainfall totals won’t be uniform (some may not even see any rain at all), a couple of heavier downpours are a good bet.  We’ll notice a drier and slightly cooler air mass overnight into Thursday.

The dry time won’t last long as a more significant storm system approaches this weekend. Most of the daytime Friday should be dry, but rain and storm chances will increase Friday night and Saturday continues to look wet with periods of showers and thunderstorms.  Morning showers will impact portions of the region Sunday before we dry things out Sunday PM.  Dry times continue to open the new work week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″-1.50″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Gorgeous Open To The Week…

screen-shot-2016-09-11-at-10-24-00-amHighlights:

  • Sun-filled days
  • Crisp air
  • Midweek showers
  • Saturday rain

Fall Feel…Sprawling high pressure will supply a dry open to the week, complete with plentiful sunshine and dry air.  Conditions will be beautiful to spend time outdoors- very much like early fall.

Our next weather maker will scoot through the region Wednesday with scattered showers. Once  the front blows through, reinforcing cool air will press into the state Wednesday evening.  A few reports of upper 40s will be likely away from the city Thursday and Friday morning.

While timing is still a bit up in the air at this distance, Saturday is looking unsettled as another cold front blows through.  (Get the idea we’re in an active period)?

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Unseasonably Cool Weather