Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Periods of showers and storms through mid week
- Can’t shake weekend storm chances, but drier, and turning hot
- Scattered storms return early next week
A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday. However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley. This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday. Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.
The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it. We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures. While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days. With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon. We’ll keep an eye on things.
Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/07/more-rain-and-storms-ahead/
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Filed under CFSv2, European Model, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, GFS, Independence Day, Monthly Outlook, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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July 5, 2015
We hope this finds you coming off an enjoyable Independence Day with friends and family! As we look at the snap shot of the opening to July we see that…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/05/sunday-morning-catch-up-2/
Highlights:
- Scattered showers around today
- Awesome weekend weather on tap
- Dry conditions continue into early next week
- Cold front delivers unsettled weather
A disturbance is moving along a cold front that sits to our south this morning. This will keep scattered showers around central IN through the afternoon hours.
As we move into the holiday weekend we expect the frontal system to sink further south and focus best shower and thunderstorm coverage through the TN Valley. Dry air will move in this evening and set the stage for perfect weekend weather- look for lots of sunshine, comfortable temperatures, and a light northeast breeze Saturday.
Our next weather maker will head our direction early next week in the form of a cold front. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will be on the uptick Tuesday into the mid week period as the front stalls nearby.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.75″-1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/03/beautiful-weekend-shaping-up/
Highlights:
- Lots of clouds, but mostly dry and cooler than normal
- Increasing sunshine for the holiday weekend
- Scattered storm chances increase early next week
While we have considerable cloudiness around, rain chances across central IN will remain few and far between over the next several days (great news)! Better chances of rain and storms will remain across southwestern portions of the state.
We’ll increase our sunshine going into the holiday weekend with only an isolated thunderstorm chance. With the increasing sunshine, temperatures will also be on the rise, but still remain a couple degrees below normal.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected as we roll into early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/02/mostly-dry-and-cool-looking-nice-for-the-4th/
Highlights:
- Scattered strong to severe storms this afternoon
- Mostly dry mid week
- Still think we’re mostly dry for the 4th
- Scattered storms return early next week
A cold front will sweep through the area tonight and ahead of the boundary we expect showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage by this afternoon and evening. A few of these storms will likely reach strong to severe levels, including damaging winds and large hail. The good news is the front should be to our south by Wednesday morning, and as a result Wednesday and Thursday should be mostly dry and less humid.
Another disturbance will move through the area late week and we’ll increase coverage of thunderstorms Friday, but still think the holiday, itself, will be mostly rain-free across central IN.
Showers and thunderstorms (scattered variety) will return to our forecast early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/30/another-day-of-storms-but-a-break-is-coming/
Highlights:
- Cool and refreshing start
- Sunny Sunday before clouds increase late
- Storms rumble in tonight
- Unsettled week
Sunday has dawned bright and sunny, along with an unseasonably cool feel (I’ll take this every day this time of the year)! Most of today will feature lots of sunshine, but clouds will be on the increase this evening and thunderstorms will rumble into central and northern IN later tonight.
Unsettled weather will be the rule this week, including multiple disturbances tracking across the region. These individual disturbances will enhance coverage of showers and thunderstorms from time to time this week. While no all day rains are anticipated, the additional rain and storms certainly isn’t good news for the region.
We continue to keep a close eye on the all-important 4th of July forecast. As of now, it appears as if we’ll see a cold front pass Friday night and provide drier weather for Saturday, but stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall forecast: 1.5″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/28/sunny-sunday/
An area of low pressure will track across the Ohio Valley Friday and help rain overspread the region from west to east as the day progresses. Embedded thunderstorms can also…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/25/heavy-rain-and-storms-to-close-the-work-week/
Highlights:
- Couple round of storms today
- Heavy rain; flood threat Friday afternoon into early Saturday
- Much cooler and drier this weekend
The morning is off to a wet start, including some embedded thunder and while we anticipate a break in the rain from late morning into the afternoon, additional thunderstorm development is possible by evening. A slight risk of severe storms is in place across the southern half of the state.
Low pressure will move this way Friday and strengthen as it tracks into the eastern Lakes region. This will spell very wet times around these parts from the second half of Friday into the wee morning hours Saturday. Much cooler air and windy conditions will push into central IN Saturday on the backside of the low pressure system. Before we enjoy those cooler conditions, heavy downpours are likely Friday afternoon into Friday night, including the potential of localized flooding. If you live near a creek or stream, be sure to have your flood plan in place should rapid water rise occur.
As mentioned above, we’ll dry out rather rapidly Saturday afternoon and this will be followed by a beautiful Sunday. How many times can we say late June starts in the lower to middle 50s, no humidity, lots of sunshine, and highs in the upper 70s?! 🙂
We’re back to scattered shower and thunderstorm chances early next week, with continued cooler than average temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/25/more-heavy-rain-to-go-before-weekend-clearing/
Highlights:
- Turning less humid with increasing sunshine this afternoon
- Next round of strong to severe storms arrive late Wednesday night-Thursday
- Cooler, drier weekend ahead
A frontal boundary will slip through the region today and provide an increasingly sunny sky this afternoon along with less humid conditions. A disturbance may provide a shower or storm across far southwestern IN Wednesday, but we think the day will remain dry for the majority of the region. The next round of strong to severe thunderstorms for our particular part of the region will come late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Similar to past thunderstorm complexes, damaging wind and localized flash flooding will be greatest concerns. Scattered storms continue Friday, but the cold front should sweep the state Friday night and help provide a very nice weekend, including cooler and drier air.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/23/nice-weather-moves-in-for-a-couple-days-severe-storms-late-wednesday-thursday/
Highlights:
- Strong to severe t-storm potential tonight-Tuesday morning
- More widespread rain and storms late week.
- Much drier and less humid this weekend.
We’re off to a warm, humid, and hazy start to the day and most of your Monday will be a dry one. That said, all eyes will be to our NW as we eye thunderstorm complexes that will gain strength this afternoon and evening before tracking southeast. One storm complex will likely target the northern half of the state late tonight and on into the wee morning hours Tuesday. Damaging wind, vivid lightning, and localized flooding are of greatest concern.
Typical “splash and dash” storm coverage will be with us during the mid week period before a cold front delivers more widespread rain and storms for late week. Locally heavy rain will accompany this front. As of now, the timing couldn’t be better. We anticipate a much drier regime to blow into town behind the cold front, setting the stage for a beautiful weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/22/strong-to-severe-storms-possible-tonight/
