Category: Forecast

Dry, Chilly November Weekend; Mid Week Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-11-07 at 10.56.54 AMHighlights:

  • Sunny and cool
  • Midweek Storms
  • Prolonged period of windy weather late week

High pressure is building into the Ohio Valley this weekend and helping supply sunshine and that cool, crisp air we enjoy this time of year.  Freeze and frost conditions are ahead tonight and again Monday morning as high pressure moves overhead and results in clear skies and calm winds.

As the high moves to our east, a return SW flow will help moderate temperatures for mid week. As our next storm system comes out of the Plains it’ll intensify as it tracks into the Great Lakes.  Thunderstorms will accompany the cold front as it swings through the state Wednesday night.  We’ll monitor for strong to severe storm potential.  A lot will hinge upon the precise track of the surface low and we’ll keep a close eye on things over the next couple days.  We’ll turn cooler again late next week with strong winds shifting from the SW to NW.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/07/dry-chilly-november-weekend-mid-week-storms/

Gusty Storms Followed By November Chill…

Screen Shot 2015-11-04 at 9.55.56 PMHighlights:

  • One more warm day
  • Gusty storms late tonight-Friday morning
  • Feeling more seasonal this weekend
  • Next storm arrives at the end of the period

High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front tonight.  Variably cloudy skies this morning will turn increasingly cloudy as the afternoon/ evening progresses.  Gusty SW winds will increase and gust over 20 MPH by afternoon.

The cold front will move through central IN early Friday morning and be preceded by a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms.  A few of these storms may contain strong winds, and this potential is something we’ll continue to keep a close eye on through the day Thursday.  Beneficial rains will also accompany the frontal passage.

The big story going into the weekend will be a much cooler, more seasonable feel, but sunshine will also be in our forecast.

Our next storm system of note appears to have eyes on the region by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.5″ – 1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/04/gusty-storms-followed-by-november-chill/

We’re Getting Spoiled…

Screen Shot 2015-11-02 at 7.31.53 AMHighlights:

  • Stretch of beautiful weather continues
  • Breezy winds arrive Thursday
  • Stormy end to the work week
  • Cooler weekend

In the short term there’s no reason to waste a bunch of pixels on our forecast.  High pressure will supply beautiful conditions and a building ridge will only promote warmer days ahead.  Look for lots of sunshine and well above normal, near-record, warmth.

Southwest winds will become gusty Thursday and this is in advance of an approaching cold front that will deliver showers and thunderstorms Friday morning.  The cold front will move through Friday afternoon and usher in much cooler air for the upcoming weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/02/were-getting-spoiled/

Beautiful Weather…

Screen Shot 2015-11-01 at 8.24.24 AMHighlights:

  • Lots of sunshine to open November
  • Unseasonably warm weather
  • Late week storms with a cold front

We couldn’t ask for better weather to open November.  Look for an extended stretch of unseasonably warm, tranquil conditions.  It’ll be perfect to finish last minute yard clean up or get an early start on putting those Christmas decorations up.  Enjoy!

The next weather system of note will arrive Friday in the form of a cold front.  While timing issues are present, we’re keeping an eye on the possibility of scattered showers and thunderstorms (some strong).  A drier and cooler air mass will build in next weekend.  An early look at weather next Sunday would suggest frosty conditions for many…

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/01/beautiful-weather-2/

Unseasonably Warm Open To November…

Screen Shot 2015-10-31 at 8.56.22 AMHighlights:

  • Windy and showery Halloween
  • Dry time returns with warmth
  • Watching a more substantial storm at the end of the week

Good morning and happy Halloween, friends!  We’re off to a cold and blustery start.  Temperatures in the 40s, along with a stiff east breeze is presenting a chill in the air!  A rather gloomy day is on deck with “showery” conditions at times, but there will be more dry time than not.

The second half of the weekend will turn brighter and very pleasant, and this will really set the tone for what will be a very tranquil first few days of November (where is time going)?!  Unseasonably warm conditions will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week and provide a great opportunity to get those yard chores taken care of or Christmas lights put up.

A more substantial storm system will arrive late week with showers and thunderstorms followed by colder air next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/31/unseasonably-warm-open-to-november/

Thursday Morning Weather Rambles…

1.) We’re running 15°-20° colder this morning than this time yesterday. Wind chills in the upper 20s-lower 30s are being felt as winds remain gusty this morning.         2.)…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/29/thursday-morning-weather-rambles-3/

Turning Windy And Cooler…

Screen Shot 2015-10-28 at 7.22.22 AMHighlights:

  • Increasing winds
  • Turning much cooler
  • Showers possible for Trick-Or-Treat

Low pressure is tracking into the Great Lakes this morning and the steady rain is ending from west to east.  Showers will remain in our forecast today until a cold front sweeps the region later this evening, but the all day, steady rains are coming to an end.  The other big story today will be strengthening northwest winds late.  Those northwest winds (gusts of 30-40 MPH) will help drive much cooler air southbound to wrap up the work week!

Our next weather maker will, unfortunately, arrive over the weekend and we must maintain shower chances during the all important Saturday evening Trick-Or-Treat forecast.  While heavy rain isn’t anticipated, it could be just enough to require rain gear when you’re out and about.

Ridging will develop over the eastern US early next week and be responsible for a nice stretch of “Indian Summer” weather.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/28/turning-windy-and-cooler/

Heavy Rain Then Colder…

Today can be labeled as the so called “calm before the storm,” as sunny skies greet us out the door.  It’ll be a very pleasant Monday with highs in the middle 60s.  Sunny skies this morning will turn increasingly cloudy later in the day as moisture continues to stream north associated with Patricia’s remnants.

This morning’s satellite picture:

image7When we look at the weather picture tomorrow we note the remnant moisture of Patricia continuing to lift north while a cold front approaches from the west.  The “squeeze play” that will ensue over the region will be just what the doctor ordered as widespread rain develops during the daytime Tuesday before growing heavy Tuesday night.

8a Tuesday Futurecast

8am

8p Tuesday Futurecast

8pOvernight Tuesday-Wednesday morning Futurecast

overnightLocally heavy rainfall can be expected.  When you average (5) computer models at this point then you get the idea rainfall totals will be somewhere in the range of 1.5″-2″ inches, with locally heavier totals.

Modeled rainfall totals by Wednesday morning3The story after the big rain storm moves away?  A very windy and much cooler feel as a strong trough moves into the eastern portion of the country.  This will keep temperatures significantly below normal for the 2nd half of the week on into the weekend.

500mb

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/26/heavy-rain-then-colder/

Feeling More Like Fall; Rain Builds In Tuesday…

Screen Shot 2015-10-25 at 10.29.14 AMHighlights:

  • Cooler and breezy
  • Soaking rain builds in Tuesday
  • Watching Halloween

A cold front moved through the area Saturday afternoon and evening and high pressure is now in control with dry skies, cooler temperatures, and breezy conditions.  All in all, a beautiful autumn day is on tap!  Enjoy!

Remnant moisture of Patricia will track north and team up with a cold front in the Tuesday-Wednesday time period.  Embedded thunderstorms and locally heavy rain can be expected.  This, of course, is much needed after what’s been a dry time of things the past couple months.

The cold front will sweep through the area Wednesday night and put an end to the rain.  Strong northwest winds will usher in a much cooler air mass to wrap up the work week.

We’ll continue monitoring the goings on for Halloween.  Models have varied from run to run over the past few days and timing issues will likely continue.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.25″ – 1.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/25/feeling-more-like-fall-rain-builds-in-tuesday/

Much Wetter; Cooler Pattern…

Screen Shot 2015-10-23 at 7.13.29 AMHighlights:

  • Rain moves in later today-Saturday
  • Cooler second half of the weekend
  • Heavy rain event next week

High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front later today and Saturday.  Showers will accompany the front and may spread into western IN as early as this evening before continuing to advance east tonight.  Most of the rain should fall through the first half of Saturday, but we’ll maintain a mention of showers up until the front passes Saturday night.

Cooler, drier air will move in Sunday and to open the new work week.  High pressure will supply a return of sunny, ideal fall conditions.

As we progress deeper into the week, another cold front will team up with moisture from the remnants of Patricia to provide a much needed soaking.  We forecast skies to cloud up Tuesday with rain developing by evening.  Periods of heavy rain can be expected Tuesday night into Wednesday before turning more “showery” in nature.  Much cooler air and blustery conditions can also be expected Thursday.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.75″ – 2.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/23/much-wetter-cooler-pattern/

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