Category: Forecast Models

Thoughts On The Big Week Ahead…

With the combination of the race and Memorial Day weekend, a busy week is ahead. Here are a few weather headlines that have our attention as we open the week:…

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Saturday Morning Rambles…

1.) The first half of May has been warmer and drier than average, locally.       2.) Sunday is shaping up to be a very busy severe weather day in…

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Sunday Morning Thoughts…

First and foremost, here’s wishing a very happy Mother’s Day to all of the moms out there! May has gotten off to a much warmer and drier than normal start. …

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Friday Morning Rambles…

  May has gotten off to a warm (dare I say hot?) start. The past couple days have felt more like July than May with mid to upper 80s commonplace.…

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Summer-like Turns Much Cooler Next Week; Storms In Between…

Screen Shot 2015-05-06 at 10.29.34 PMHighlights:

  • Feeling like summer
  • Storm chances ramp up going into the weekend
  • Best chances of widespread rain arrives Monday
  • Much cooler next week

As we get set to put a wrap on another busy work week, near record warmth is the big weather story.  Those unseasonably warm conditions we’ve dealt with over the past few days will continue into the weekend, but we’ll also add rain and storm chances.  Coverage of thunderstorms will be categorized as “isolated” Friday, “scattered” Saturday and Sunday, and “widespread” Monday.  As moisture continues to surge into the region, locally heavy downpours can be expected, and a downright muggy feel.  A severe storm is certainly possible, but the more widespread severe outbreak will remain to our west across the central Plains region.  Much cooler air will pour into the region behind a Monday night frontal passage.

2As we type this (around 10p Wednesday evening), temperatures are still in the middle 70s and a whopping 15-20 degrees above average this hour across the area.

1Think it’s humid now?  Just wait until the weekend.  A strong southwest flow will pull moisture-rich air northward, courtesy of a Gulf of Mexico connection.  Dew points will approach 70 degrees across many southern and central IN communities and help fuel locally heavy rainfall with any storm that develops Friday night through Monday.

3A MUCH cooler air mass will filter into the region behind the cold frontal passage Monday night/ early Tuesday.  After a week of summer-like heat, upper 50s for highs will feel downright chilly.

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