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Category: AG Report
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Jun 02
Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…
Forecast Period: 06.02.19 through 06.09.19
7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.
7-Day Temperatures: Above normal temperatures are expected through the period, mostly thanks to warmer than average overnight lows.
Severe Weather: We’ll remain quiet through early week before things begin to turn more active by midweek. The Storm Prediction Center is including the southern half of the region in a risk of severe weather by Wednesday (noted in the Day 4 Outlook below).
Summary: After a pleasant and quiet open to the period (today and Monday), thinks will begin to turn more active thereafter. Initially, it’ll take some time to “moisten” things up on Tuesday, but at the very least, light to moderate rain should work across central Indiana late Tuesday morning into the afternoon. Things will be fully saturated by Wednesday and periods of more concentrated rain, occasionally heavy, can be expected into the weekend. Unfortunately, guidance is in rather remarkable agreement of widespread 1.5″ to 2.5″ with locally heavier totals over the upcoming 7-day period.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook/
May 29
June Outlook: Does The Wet Pattern Continue?
Averages for June are as follows:
- Average Low: 62.1 (f)
- Avearge High: 81.9 (f)
- Average Rain: 4.25″
- Average Snow: 0.00″
As we head to the 50-yard line of 2019 (already?!), we’re of the belief we’re looking at a cooler than normal month of June with close to average rainfall. Before we get into our reasoning of such, let’s look at a few snap shots of the latest data:
CFSv2
JMA
NMME
Though we can’t show it, the longer range European model paints a cool, wet picture from the south-central into the Plains and portions of the Northeast.
Given the analogs we’ve looked over with weak El Ninos along with similar MJO pulses, we’ve built a generally wet and cool June forecast nationally:
Ridging should support warmer than average conditions across the Southeast and Pacific Northwest, along with a rather widespread cooler than normal regime through the south-central Plains into the Great Lakes and New England. Unfortunately, we think wetter than normal conditions remain from the Delta into the central Plains. With that said, conditions seem more favorable for planting through a large portion of the OHV region.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/june-outlook-does-the-wet-pattern-continue/
May 25
VIDEO: #Indy500 Update And #AGwx Report…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-indy500-update-and-agwx-report/
May 22
Prolonged Unsettled Stretch Of Weather…
Yesterday was only the beginning of a renewed prolonged stretch of unsettled and stormy weather. A series of fronts will make a move towards the OHV only to stall out and lift north back as a warm front over the upcoming 7-day period. The end result? An extended stretch of wet, stormy conditions.
Get used to the setup above with a stalled front nearby and waves of low pressure moving along the associated boundaries from time to time. As these ripples of energy scoot along the front, more enhanced showers and thunderstorms can be expected.
It’s still tough from this distance to say with certainty which day(s) will offer up the most widespread shower and thunderstorm coverage in this pattern, but we continue to lean towards Saturday into Sunday. Stay tuned.
Models agree on widespread 1.5″ to 2.5″ rainfall totals over the upcoming week with locally heavier amounts.
Conditions will also return to a warmer than normal theme into the middle of next week. At times, conditions will become oppressive (depending on which side of the front you find yourself on). If heading to the track, ensure you have means to remain cool and pack the rain gear just to be safe!
More later tonight on the long range, including a video recap of our Summer Outlook.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/prolonged-unsettled-stretch-of-weather/