Category: AG Report

Forecast period: 07.01.19 through 07.08.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.

Severe Outlook: A ‘Marginal’ risk of severe weather is hoisted from the Storm Prediction Center for Wednesday, July 3rd. Otherwise, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated.

Summary: A “rinse and repeat” pattern will spell daily chances of showers and thunderstorms along with an overall continuation of our hot and humid pattern from last week. Coverage of thunderstorms will likely be greatest Tuesday afternoon and evening, Wednesday afternoon and evening, and Friday evening into Saturday morning. Widespread rainfall amounts through the period should top out between 1″ and 1.5″, but there will be locally heavier amounts where stronger storms track. (A wholesale pattern change back to much cooler conditions is still on deck just past this forecast period).

Forecast period: 06.24.19 through 06.30.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.

Severe Outlook: While a couple of strong storms are possible during the period, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated during the above forecast period.

Summary: The forecast period will feature an overall drier and warmer theme than what we’ve been used to of late. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger to open the work week before high pressure builds overhead and results in an overall dry forecast Tuesday. Upper level energy will allow scattered storms to return Wednesday before we dry things out again Thursday and Friday. As we look ahead to next weekend, a “backdoor” cold front will likely result in an uptick in rain chances Saturday followed by a cooler push of air by the 2nd half of next weekend.

Forecast period: 06.17.19 through 06.24.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run slightly above normal through the period- mostly thanks to the warmer than average overnight lows with all of the expected clouds/ moisture present.

Severe Outlook: We’ll remain on guard for the potential of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms through the period- likely most numerous during times where surface waves interact with nearby warm fronts (case in point, Saturday). Most common severe weather reports will likely come from large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado or two can’t be ruled out during the period- especially with a couple of warm fronts draped across central Indiana.

Busiest severe weather days over the upcoming week will likely include Monday, Wednesday into Thursday, and next Saturday into Sunday.

Summary: An active weather pattern will remain in place across central Indiana through the upcoming forecast period. A blend of latest computer models puts down an additional 4.1″ across a widespread portion of central Indiana and most of that will fall within the upcoming 7 days. There will be locally heavier totals. Without trying to “sensationalize” the upcoming forecast period, flood and flash flood events will remain in place- and at times may become significant.

As mentioned earlier this morning, the hope here is that we can squeeze out a 2-3 day dry period late June before a stormy pattern returns for early July. Fingers are crossed…