Category: AG Report

Jun 23

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 06.24.19 through 06.30.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.

Severe Outlook: While a couple of strong storms are possible during the period, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated during the above forecast period.

Summary: The forecast period will feature an overall drier and warmer theme than what we’ve been used to of late. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger to open the work week before high pressure builds overhead and results in an overall dry forecast Tuesday. Upper level energy will allow scattered storms to return Wednesday before we dry things out again Thursday and Friday. As we look ahead to next weekend, a “backdoor” cold front will likely result in an uptick in rain chances Saturday followed by a cooler push of air by the 2nd half of next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-4/

Jun 16

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 06.17.19 through 06.24.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run slightly above normal through the period- mostly thanks to the warmer than average overnight lows with all of the expected clouds/ moisture present.

Severe Outlook: We’ll remain on guard for the potential of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms through the period- likely most numerous during times where surface waves interact with nearby warm fronts (case in point, Saturday). Most common severe weather reports will likely come from large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado or two can’t be ruled out during the period- especially with a couple of warm fronts draped across central Indiana.

Busiest severe weather days over the upcoming week will likely include Monday, Wednesday into Thursday, and next Saturday into Sunday.

Summary: An active weather pattern will remain in place across central Indiana through the upcoming forecast period. A blend of latest computer models puts down an additional 4.1″ across a widespread portion of central Indiana and most of that will fall within the upcoming 7 days. There will be locally heavier totals. Without trying to “sensationalize” the upcoming forecast period, flood and flash flood events will remain in place- and at times may become significant.

As mentioned earlier this morning, the hope here is that we can squeeze out a 2-3 day dry period late June before a stormy pattern returns for early July. Fingers are crossed…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-3/

Jun 15

VIDEO: Classic Pattern For A Significant Flood Event…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-classic-pattern-for-a-significant-flood-event/

Jun 11

Unseasonably Cool; Talking Rain Chances Into Early Next Week…

We’re enjoying unseasonably cool and refreshing air this morning (to the tune of 10-15 degrees below average across central Indiana). The extent of the refreshingly cool air is impressive- spanning all the way into northern TX and parts of OK this morning!

A gorgeous day is on tap with plentiful sunshine and low humidity. Unfortunately, rain still appears to return to the picture on Wednesday. Scattered showers will be most numerous Wednesday afternoon, continuing into Thursday morning. Rainfall should average between 0.10″ to 0.25″ for most central Indiana rain gauges with a few heavier totals across eastern areas.

The cold front and upper level energy associated for delivering the Wednesday rain will swing through here early Thursday, resulting in a gusty northwesterly wind and fall-like air through the day. Highs will only top out in the mid-upper 60s and lows Friday morning will fall into the upper 40s.

High pressure will remain in control of our weather to close the work week, but as we’ve grown all too accustomed to over the past couple of months, we don’t expect prolonged dry time. Instead, our weather will turn unsettled yet again over the weekend into early next week. With a moist southwesterly air flow returning, periods of locally heavy rain can be expected in this setup.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unseasonably-cool-talking-rain-chances-into-early-next-week/

Jun 10

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 06.10.19 through 06.17.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run well below average through the period.


Severe Outlook: Widespread severe weather isn’t anticipated through the period. With that said, we’ll keep an eye on the potential of a couple gusty storms Wednesday as vigorous upper level energy and an associated cold front blow through the state.

Summary: After a wet close to the weekend, drier air will return today and Tuesday, along with increasing sunshine from west to east by this afternoon. Our next system of note arrives Wednesday in the form of a cold front. This will serve to reinforce the unseasonably cool air in place across the region for late week, but also may provide a few gusty storms as it moves through the area. Shower coverage will be scattered to widespread Wednesday. Another system will approach over the weekend with unsettled conditions expected both Saturday and Sunday.

While temperatures will run below normal throughout the period, the coolest day of the week appears to be Thursday with highs only in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-2/