Category: AG Report

Forecast period: 08.18.19 through 08.25.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period. We’re forecasting widespread 0.50″ to 1″ amounts to be common across central Indiana, but there will be locally heavier amounts where strong storms track.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run near average through the forecast period- balanced by a warmer than normal open to the period and cooler than average close.

Severe Weather Outlook: An active weather pattern will remain with us through the 1st half of the new week. In addition to the threat of severe weather today, we’re also closely monitoring the potential of strong to severe storms Tuesday night-Wednesday as a cold front slices into the hot and humid air mass in place. The pattern will turn much calmer once we get to the 2nd half of the week as cooler, drier air builds in.

Day 1: After a quiet start to our Sunday, a line of thunderstorms is expected to form to our northwest this afternoon. That line should move southeast and begin to impact central Indiana late afternoon into the early evening hours. Some of the stronger cells will promote the chance of large hail and damaging straight line winds.

Day 3: Scattered thunderstorms will remain in the forecast Monday, but widespread severe weather isn’t anticipated. As we look ahead, a cold front will slice into the hot and humid air mass in place across the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday. As you might expect, the clash of air masses between significantly cooler and drier air behind the boundary will lead to scattered to numerous storms during the transition. Accordingly, we’ll need to remain on guard for the threat of additional severe weather (threats similar to that of today) during that time frame before much quieter, calmer weather takes over Wednesday night into next weekend.

Forecast period: 08.12.19 through 08.19.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperatures: Temperatures are expected to run near seasonal levels through the period.

Severe Outlook: Severe weather is expected across central Indiana as we open the work week. All modes of severe weather are possible including large hail, damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes.

Summary: The forecast period will open up on an active note as a rather potent surface wave scoots across the southern Great Lakes region. A complex of thunderstorms is expected to organize across IA and IL Monday afternoon before pushing east southeast Monday evening. Accordingly, chances of strong to severe thunderstorms along with locally heavy rain will be on the increase Monday evening into very early Tuesday across central Indiana, including Indianapolis. Several favorable ingredients are coming together to produce the threat of severe weather, including large hail, damaging wind, and potentially a couple of tornadoes. On average, between 0.50″ and 1″ of rain is expected with this system, however, if thunderstorms “train” over the same communities tomorrow night, amounts will be much higher in localized areas.

Thereafter, weather conditions will quiet down as we move into the middle and latter portions of the work week. While heat and humidity will build to our southwest, immediate central Indiana shouldn’t have to deal with much in the way of excessive heat/ humidity through the forecast period with seasonal temperatures expected around our part of the state much of the week.

Forecast period: 08.04.19 through 08.11.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run near average before turning cooler than normal late in the period.

Severe Outlook: Organized severe weather isn’t anticipated through the forecast period.

Summary: The forecast period will start off on a quiet note, but that will begin to change by the middle of the work week. The first of a series of cold fronts will approach the region Tuesday with an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity that will continue into Wednesday with the frontal passage itself. On the heels of that FROPA, a second front will sweep into the area Thursday, continuing scattered showers and thunderstorms. High pressure is then expected to build over the Ohio Valley heading into the weekend, resulting in drier conditions.

As you’d imagine, temperatures will trend cooler behind these frontal systems late week and into the weekend. As for rainfall, widespread amounts should average between 0.40″ and 0.80″ during the Tuesday-Thursday time frame with locally heavier amounts where stronger storms track.

More a bit later with the issuance of our afternoon video package! Make it a great Sunday, friends!

Forecast period: 07.28.19 through 08.04.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run below average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run slightly below average through the period.

Severe Outlook: While organized severe weather isn’t anticipated through the period, a few strong storms are possible across central Indiana Monday afternoon as a cold front moves into the region.

Summary: It’s generally going to be another quiet week of weather across not only central Indiana, but a large part of the Ohio Valley. A cold front will pass early Tuesday and this will help spark scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening. Thereafter, mainly dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the week. As we look ahead to next week, that’s when things are expected to take on an increasingly “busy” regime (both with respect to cooler and wetter trends).