Category: AG Report

Weekly Highlights:

I. Potent area of low pressure will track along the Ohio River, spreading rain across the Ohio Valley and into the Northeast, including higher elevation wet snow.

II. A surface low and associated cold front will sweep into Plains Tuesday and to the eastern seaboard by Thursday. This system will have to be monitored for not only the potentially of locally heavy rain, but the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms on the journey southeast.

Forecast Period: 04.25.20 through 05.02.20

Central Indiana and the Ohio Valley, as a whole, will have to deal with both storm systems highlighted above. While we still believe dry conditions will prevail through a good portion of our Saturday, rain will become more widespread this evening into Sunday morning in response to a surface low moving northeast along the Ohio River. A couple heavier bands of rain may develop across the region tonight into Sunday morning and by the time all is said and done, the southern half of the state (along and south of the I-70 corridor) can expect 0.50″ to 1″ of rain by Sunday afternoon. Further north, amounts between 0.25″ and 0.50″ will be more common. Drier air will build in late Sunday afternoon, along with a cooler northeasterly and northerly flow behind our departing storm system.

Monday morning will open dry, but a weak weather maker will scoot through the state during the afternoon, resulting in scattered showers making a return Monday PM. These will be quick-moving showers and rainfall totals are expected to remain light for those that do see rain.

A much more organized storm system will push southeast Tuesday evening and Wednesday leading to more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity during this time frame. Stronger storms and locally heavy rain will be a good bet with this particular system. Drier, cooler air returns behind this system as we get set to wrap up the work week.

Weekly Highlights:

I. Another significant severe weather outbreak is expected across the Gulf Coast region Sunday into Monday.

II. An area of low pressure will bisect the country midweek, delivering widespread rain and thunderstorms to the Ohio Valley and offering up another threat of severe weather Wednesday-Thursday for the TN Valley into the Deep South.

III. A 3rd system will track out of the northern Plains and begin to affect the Ohio Valley next weekend with increased showers and thunderstorms.

Forecast Period: 04.18.20 through 04.25.20

High pressure will build into the region today and supply a return of beautiful weather conditions. Albeit still cooler than normal, vastly improved weather conditions are on tap compared to the rain and snow of the past couple of days! Enjoy, friends!

A couple of weak and fairly moisture-starved cold fronts will give our immediate area “glancing blows” through early week. Scattered showers are all we can expect with these fronts Sunday and Tuesday. (Greater impacts from precipitation and cooler air can be expected off to our northeast with these fronts).

As we head into the back half of the forecast period, a couple of more significant storm systems will offer up better rainfall coverage, including the opportunity for thunderstorms Thursday into next weekend. We’ll keep an eye through the week on the potential of some stronger storms during this period, but as things stand now, the greater risk for severe appears to be off to our south.

One additional note- frost/ freeze conditions are possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning across central parts of the state with overnight lows falling into the lower 30s.

Weekly Highlights:

I. Strong Easter storm system leads to a widespread severe weather outbreak across the southern Plains (today), Deep South (Sunday), and into the central/ southern Ohio Valley (Sunday night).

II. An anomalous trough carves itself out over the eastern half of the country leading to well below average temperatures in the week ahead.

Forecast Period: 04.11.20 through 04.18.20

More specific to central Indiana, today will feature mostly cloudy, but mostly dry conditions. As a warm front lifts north across the state tonight, chances of showers will be on the increase. Easter will feature a deepening low pressure system racing northeast from the Ark-la-tex region across the central Ohio Valley and into the Great Lakes by Monday morning. Most of Easter Sunday will also feature precipitation-free hours, but showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase tomorrow evening into the nighttime. (If you have family and friends across the Deep South, please reach out and ensure they are aware of the developing situation and corresponding strong risk of significant severe weather Easter Sunday). While the threat of severe weather isn’t as great up this way, we’re closely monitoring the potential of a squall line impacting areas into southeastern Indiana late Sunday night into the overnight Monday- continuing into central portions of the Ohio. An associated damaging wind threat would ensue with this line of storms. Finally, as the cold front sweeps through the region Monday morning, rain should come to an end around or just before daybreak, but much cooler and very windy conditions will develop. Monday should feature northwest gusts of 40 to 50 MPH.

The remainder of the forecast period will be dominated by unseasonably chilly conditions and a couple of weaker, fast-moving, disturbances. With the cold air in place, mixed rain and snow showers are possible midweek with a disturbance.

Tuesday through Thursday mornings feature the best chance of temperatures falling to or below the freezing mark. Frost isn’t anticipated outside of this time frame due to clouds and/ or wind.