Category: 7-Day Outlook
Slick Travel This Morning; More Light Snow This Evening…Rain changed to snow in and around Indianapolis between 5-6 Sunday evening. The changeover occurred earlier just north and northeast of the city where anywhere from a quarter inch of snow fell to as much as 3 inches in and around the Muncie area. The big problem last night and this morning is the combination of moisture freezing on the roadways, light snow, and strong and gusty winds. Area roadways have been reported slick with numerous accidents. Take it slow this morning.
Most of today will be quiet and dry, but light snow will build into the state later this evening into tonight. We target areas along and west of I-65 for the greatest opportunity of accumulating a dusting to half an inch of snow tonight. Sunshine returns Tuesday before a mid week system brings light rain Wednesday night into Thursday. Light rain will diminish as light snow Thursday.
Colder air will be with us as we wrap up the work week before our next storm system impacts the Hoosier state over Super Bowl weekend. We forecast increasing clouds Saturday with snow developing Saturday night into Sunday.
Upcoming Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 4″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/26/light-snow-impacts-some-this-evening/
High Bust Potential Today…Clippers are always tough to forecast, but particularly so today. This is a vigorous system and while temperatures will only be marginally cold, the concern here is that precipitation rates may help cool the entire column of air a bit quicker this afternoon than modeling currently suggests. If (big if) that’s the case, then snowfall amounts below would have to be increased. As it is now, we feel about as confident as we can be right now that the “slimmed” down numbers below will suffice. As has been the case with a couple of other events this winter, it’ll be a nowcast scenario this afternoon. Winds will also become quite gusty out of the east and northeast this afternoon into tonight.
Colder, drier air builds in late tonight and Monday before a weak weather system scoots through and delivers light snow showers Tuesday. A wintry mix is possible Thursday and then we’ll eye late next weekend for the next snow opportunity.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 4″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/25/tough-forecast-today/
Busy Times In The Forecast Office…Let’s get to the easy part of this forecast package and that’s today. Look for lots of sunshine along with seasonably mild temperatures after a cold and frosty start.
Things get fun tomorrow as a clipper low dives southeast and tracks in a favorable position for accumulating snow- especially from the city and points north (snowfall forecast below). A mixture of rain and snow will overspread central Indiana Sunday morning and transition to all snow through the late morning into the early afternoon. This will be a heavy, wet snow (perfect for snowball fights or making a snowman). The other aspect to this storm system will be an increasing east and northeast wind Sunday evening into Monday morning. Snow will diminish Sunday night, but the “damage” will likely be done by that point, leaving a mark on your Monday morning commute.
Another (weaker) weather maker may deliver scattered snow showers Tuesday.
Briefly milder air will move in here Thursday with a mixture of rain, snow, and sleet (depending on where you’re viewing us through the state), but the bigger story will be MUCH colder air set to pour into the region to close January and open February. Some forecast models suggest a winter storm will precede the bitterly cold air around Super Bowl Sunday…. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 5″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/24/so-long-boring-weather/
Colder, But Nothing Too Out Of The Ordinary…A colder theme will be with us as we put a wrap on the work week. That said, temperatures will actually be much closer to where they should be for this time of the year. A quiet weather pattern will continue until we watch a clipper system for the second half of the weekend. As of now, the accumulating snow looks to stay north of our immediate region, but we’ll keep a close eye on it. Officially, we’ll call for increasingly cloudy skies Saturday night into Sunday morning with scattered rain showers Sunday afternoon changing to snow showers Sunday night before ending. If traveling north, prepare for several inches of snow across northern portions of the state into the Great Lakes region. Stay tuned as this system is still a few days off and changes can take place moving forward. Colder air follows for early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/21/colder-but-nothing-drastic/
Scattered light rain and snow showers will dot the central Indiana landscape this afternoon and evening as colder air moves into the region.
Thursday and Friday will be colder than what we’ve been used to the past few days, but nothing out of the ordinary and actually more seasonal.
We’re still eyeing a late weekend clipper system, but the precise track will determine who sees “several” inches of snow, versus little to nothing. Feast or famine, we’ll call it! Overnight computer model guidance would place the heavier snow totals across northern portions of the state, but we still have a ways to go before anything is set in stone.
Back later this evening with a complete 7-day update!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/21/light-rain-and-snow-showers-around-this-afternoon-evening/
Slick Spots For Some; Accumulating Late Weekend Snow? A fast-moving disturbance will move through the region during the overnight/ wee morning hours and provide light rain for most of central Indiana, but areas just north of the city will deal with an icy mixture of sleet and freezing rain (be watchful of slick spots if traveling north Tuesday morning). Sunshine will make a quick return and “work” on our temperatures to help boost afternoon highs into the middle 40s (once again :-))! Another fast-moving weather maker will arrive late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with mixed light rain and light snow. Again, light is the key word.
Colder, but drier weather will build in for the midweek stretch. The next weather item on the agenda will be a more vigorous clipper system that will slide southeast and result in increasing cloudiness Saturday night into Sunday morning followed by snow overspreading the region Sunday morning. Accumulating snow is possible Sunday afternoon into Monday morning and will require fine tuning in the days ahead. Precise track of the clipper system will determine where little, if any, snow falls and potentially several inches. Stay tuned. Regardless of the snow potential over the weekend, the stage is set for a MUCH colder time of things next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 3″
Longtime viewer and friend of IndyWx.com, Rick Ehrhardt, sent this fantastic Monday evening sunset from the Avon area. Thanks, Rick!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/19/early-morning-freezing-rain-for-some-watching-sunday-monday/
Challenging Northwest Flow…A series of fairly weak weather systems will scoot through the region through the first half of the week. Each disturbance will be capable of depositing a quick round of light precipitation. Timing will be the biggest issue at hand with the first couple weak disturbances. We’ll forecast light rain (perhaps a wet snow flake or two) tonight into the wee morning hours Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
A drier stretch of weather will arrive for the second half of the work week and early portions of the weekend. We target Sunday evening as the next opportunity for accumulating snow followed by a push of colder air. As of now, week 2 is looking unseasonably cold after seasonable to above average temperatures this week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.30″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/19/fast-moving-weak-weather-systems/
Moderation Continues; Windy Saturday…A weak frontal boundary will slip through the state this afternoon/ evening and could offer up a snow flurry. Otherwise it’s a rather uneventful forecast until Saturday when we introduce a gusty southwesterly wind (up to 30 MPH). The bright side of that southwesterly breeze will be that temperatures will reach the middle 40s.
The milder air will be very brief as a cold front moves through Saturday night and provides snow shower potential as early as Sunday morning. We should remain dry for the better part of the first half of next week, but we’ll be keeping a close watch for a potential winter storm brewing the middle to latter portions of next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting – 1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/15/quiet-weather-for-now/
“Relaxation” Of The Bitterly Cold Pattern…That forecast package title sure wouldn’t suffice describing the weather outside this morning. It’s a downright bitter feel, including below zero temperatures throughout north-central Indiana. Patchy freezing fog and scattered flurries are also with us this morning. With some sunshine later, we’ll “warm” into the lower 20s this afternoon. A few flurries may fly tonight as a weak disturbance moves through the region.
Sunshine will be with us to wrap up the work week along with slowly moderating temperatures. Average highs this time of the year are in the middle 30s so we’ll be closer to average Thursday and Friday- though it’ll likely feel much warmer simply based off just how cold it’s been as of late. Gusty southwest winds will blow milder air in here briefly Saturday as temperatures climb into the middle 40s.
A cold front will sweep the state Sunday morning with a possible rain shower that’ll quickly transition to scattered snow showers as the colder air filters back into the region. The next storm system of note arrives early next week.
Upcoming 7-day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/14/bitterly-cold-start-but-moderation-on-the-way/
Highlights:
- Dangerous Cold Continues This Morning
- Winter Storm Arrives Sunday Afternoon
- Another Push Of Below Zero Air Mid Week
- Watching Thursday
Sunny Today; Next Winter Storm Arrives Tomorrow…While it’s always nice to see the sun, it won’t do much to warm temperatures this afternoon. Another frigid morning (all reporting sites across central Indiana went below zero again this morning) will only “warm” into the upper teens this afternoon.
The big focus of this forecast package has to do with what lies ahead Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. Model data continues to suggest central Indiana deals with another winter storm. A model average puts down between 0.30″ to 0.50″ (liquid equivalent). On a standard 10:1 ratio, that would be between 3-5″ of snow, and if that 0.30″-0.50″ all fell in the form of freezing rain we would be looking at a damaging ice storm. As of now it appears as if we deal with the entire wintry precipitation gamut.
Moisture will surge north Sunday afternoon and we bracket the hours between 3-5p for the onset of wintry precipitation. Low pressure will organize along the Gulf Coast and move northeast into the Tennessee Valley Monday morning. At the same time, another dome of arctic high pressure will begin to sink south. The end result should be a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain that eventually transitions to snow through the nighttime Sunday. Obviously timing that transition will be crucial in determining just how much snow and ice accumulates. As of now we’ll split the expected liquid equivalent down the middle and say 0.40″ falls across central Indiana. Of that 0.40″, 0.20″ may fall as freezing rain (glaze) and 0.20″ may fall as snow (which would stack up to a couple inches on the standard 10:1 ratio). Areas north of Indianapolis run a better chance of seeing the transition to snow faster while areas south of the city run a higher chance at accumulating more freezing rain. Stay tuned.
We go back into the deep freeze Tuesday-Wednesday and eye Thursday for the possibility of another storm system.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 3″
- 7-Day Freezing Rainfall Forecast: 0.20″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/01/10/next-winter-storm-moves-in-sunday-afternoon/
Slick Travel This Morning; More Light Snow This Evening…Rain changed to snow in and around Indianapolis between 5-6 Sunday evening. The changeover occurred earlier just north and northeast of the city where anywhere from a quarter inch of snow fell to as much as 3 inches in and around the Muncie area. The big problem last night and this morning is the combination of moisture freezing on the roadways, light snow, and strong and gusty winds. Area roadways have been reported slick with numerous accidents. Take it slow this morning.
