Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Early week storm threat
- Drier, cooler air inbound
- Next rain chance comes Saturday
The week will open with a typical humid and oppressive feel, but take heart in knowing it won’t last long. A cold front will move through the region Monday night and drier air will filter into the Hoosier state Tuesday. A much cooler and drier air mass will be with us through mid week before warmth builds heading into the weekend. Thursday morning will have many really craving those cool, crisp autumn mornings.
As far as rain and storm chances are concerned, we’ll keep an eye to the sky for scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage today. Forecast models differ on the weekend. The GFS suggests a cold front moves through here Saturday with scattered showers and thunderstorms and we’ll lean in that direction for now. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 0.75″
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/09/humid-feel-to-open-the-week-doesnt-last/
Highlights:
- Half-n-half weekend
- Early week storms
- Fall preview coming
The weekend is off to a pleasant start- both from a temperature and humidity perspective, but also with current sky conditions across the area. Expect periods of mid and high level cloudiness to increase later today. We also note some of our shorter term modeling trying to push light rain into the picture by evening, but think the air mass will take some time to moisten up before we see much in the way of rain. Most of this should dissipate moving into western IN this evening.
The second half of the weekend will provide much better chances of showers and embedded thunder. In fact, we expect a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms Sunday. It won’t rain the entire time, but keep the umbrella and rain gear handy. Thunderstorm chances will continue as we open the new work week before a big push of cooler and drier air engulfs the region heading into mid week. An early fall preview will settle in Tuesday evening and have things feeling mighty nice around these parts for the rest of the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/08/pick-of-the-weekend-is-today-taste-of-early-fall-coming/
Highlights:
- Wet start today
- Beautiful close to the week
- Storms return early next week
- No oppressive heat or humidity in the picture
Low pressure will track east through the lower Ohio Valley today and help spread widespread rain up to the I-70 corridor this morning. Periods of heavy rain can be expected downstate. Thankfully rain won’t stay around all day and we should get into clearing later this afternoon and evening as drier air wins out from northwest to southeast. This will set up a beauty of a close to the work week with nice weather continuing into the weekend.
Moisture will return early next week and we’ll introduce storms into the picture as early as Sunday afternoon, but particularly Monday and Tuesday before drier, more refreshing air returns for mid week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″ (heavier south)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/05/wet-start-not-a-bad-finish/
Highlights:
- Monday morning storms
- Wet mid week stretch
- Keeping a watchful eye to the northwest
As we type this, storms are expanding and intensifying in coverage to our north, across the Great Lakes region. We expect these storms to continue to build west as they sink south and southeast with time. As such, don’t be surprised by a predawn wake-up call, courtesy of Mother Nature Monday morning. A few storms could be strong to severe with the primary concern being damaging winds.
After a nice Tuesday, low pressure will track east and provide widespread rain and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Locally heavy rainfall is a good bet.
Once to late week and the weekend, confidence begins to lower. We’ll remain in a challenging northwest flow and models can struggle in handling specific features. That said, we’re keeping our fingers crossed for pleasant weather to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend, along with well below normal temperatures. Rain and storm chances return Sunday.
Upcoming 7 Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″ with locally heavier totals
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/02/early-morning-storms/
Highlights:
- Beautiful Saturday ahead
- Wet and stormy pattern returns
- Cooler than normal air arrives
We couldn’t ask for a better start to the weekend. Today will feature lots of sunshine, pleasant humidity and temperatures, and absolutely perfect conditions to spend time outdoors! Enjoy because active times return for the second half of the weekend that will carry us into next week.
As promised, we’re heading back into a very busy weather pattern. The hot dome of air (ridge of high pressure) will shift southwest and allow multiple disturbances to ride the outer periphery of the ridge in a northwest to southeast fashion. Each disturbance will be capable of producing periods of showers and thunderstorms- some of which may produce locally heavy rainfall.
As we progress into the latter portion of the work week questions abound. How far does drier air penetrate south? What’s the precise location of the ridge? Both will have to be answered in due time. For now, we’re sticking with an unsettled regime with progressively cooler air. If some of the drier solutions verify then we’ll remove rain and storms altogether once past Thursday and introduce even cooler air. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/31/awesome-open-to-the-weekend-wet-pattern-quickly-returns/
Highlights:
- Thundery Wednesday
- Much more refreshing feel to close the week
- Storm chances return early next week
A cold front will move through the region Wednesday afternoon and evening. The front will slice into a very warm and humid air mass so strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, especially late morning into the afternoon/ evening. We’re not forecasting widespread severe, but with all of the moisture in the atmosphere, locally heavy rain and additional flash flooding can’t be ruled out.
At any rate, a much more pleasant feel can be expected to wrap up the work week. We note dew points plunge from the upper 70s Wednesday morning into the upper 50s Thursday morning. Talk about nice!
While we have to maintain a mention of a shower over the weekend, the majority will be rain-free. The pesky NW flow aloft may push a weak disturbance into central IN so we have to mention the threat of an isolated shower Saturday into Sunday.
Looking ahead, next week is potentially an active one, including a heavy rain threat followed by a big push of early August cool air.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally higher totals under storms)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/28/hot-and-humid-with-storms-but-relief-is-coming/
Highlights:
- Beauty of a close to the work week
- Humidity and storm chances return this weekend
- Turning hot ahead of a cold front next week
We simply can’t ask for more beautiful weather this time of year than what we’ll enjoy to wrap up the work week. (3 day weekend, anyone)? Make time to spend outdoors today!
Warmth and humidity will be on the uptick this weekend and with the increasingly humid air, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms can be expected. That said, there’ll be more dry time than not this weekend so there’s no need to cancel any of those outdoor plans.
Heat will build early next week, along with continued “splash and dash” storm coverage- particularly of the PM variety. Best rain and storm chances should come Thursday as a cold front draws near.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals under stronger storms)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/23/cant-ask-for-anything-better-this-time-of-year/
Highlights:
- Stretch of dry, beautiful, weather continues
- Warming up and turning more humid this weekend
- Isolated storm chances by Sunday
Beautiful weather continues today, thanks to a big area of high pressure. It almost feels like early fall out there this morning (and we’re certainly not complaining).
Overall, we’re looking at dry weather continuing into the weekend. There’s a weak disturbance that will pass Thursday and could spark an isolated shower, but we don’t think this will be a big deal in the least.
Temperatures will be on the uptick this weekend along with humidity levels and isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms can be expected Sunday before better rain chances Monday.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ -1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/22/beautiful-weather-continues/
Highlights:
- Lingering storms downstate Tuesday
- Nice stretch of late-summer weather coming
- Spotty weekend storm coverage
Though we have rain pelting the window panel as I type this (late Monday night), a drier pattern is waiting on deck and will begin to engulf the region Tuesday. We’ll note redevelopment of isolated to widely scattered storms downstate Tuesday afternoon, but most of central IN will remain dry. It’s only the beginning of a nice and dry stretch that will take us through the end of the work week. Thank sprawling high pressure centering itself over the Ohio Valley.
Moisture will return over the weekend so it’ll feel more humid and heat will build. Add in the humidity with a passing disturbance and we have to mention at least widely scattered coverage of storms Saturday afternoon and Sunday.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/20/now-were-talking-2/
Highlights:
- Hot and humid today
- Scattered strong to severe storms Sunday
- Unsettled early next week
After another wild evening of storms and flooding across central IN it’s good to see the sun shining this morning. We think today will be a mostly dry day across the region, but will be plenty hot and humid. Certainly plan to take frequent breaks and drink plenty of water if you’re planning any lengthy outdoor activities today.
The break in the wet, stormy weather won’t last long as scattered to numerous thunderstorms return Sunday, including more hefty rainfall totals possible. A few storms may become severe with damaging wind and large hail.
Early next week will remain unsettled, but we’re keeping our fingers crossed for a drier regime by the middle of the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/18/hot-stormy-weather-returns-sunday/
