Category: 7-Day Outlook

Warm Pattern Turns Increasingly Wet…

Screen Shot 2016-03-08 at 7.21.34 AMHighlights:

  • Warm, mostly dry Tuesday
  • Rain builds in mid week
  • Weekend questions

Enjoy Today’s Sun…Today looks to be the pick of the week, including mostly dry conditions and temperatures that will feel more like April.  Find a way to get out and enjoy it!

Moisture will surge northeast into the region during the day Wednesday and a wavy front will sag south into the area to close the work week.  The combination of a deep moisture transport out of the Gulf will help ignite locally heavy downpours.  While questions are certainly there in regards to timing, we’re leaning more towards the optimistic side of things with this update…thinking enough dry air may invade the area for a mostly dry Saturday.  This is an, admittedly, low confidence forecast.

Regardless of whether or not we can enjoy a mostly dry start to the weekend, moisture will stream back into the area for the second half of the weekend.  Heavy rain and embedded thunder looks likely Sunday.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/07/warm-pattern-turns-increasingly-wet/

Brighter Sunday; Warm, Wet Period Coming…

Screen Shot 2016-03-05 at 9.28.01 AMHighlights:

  • Pick of the weekend is Sunday
  • Warm, breezy, and wet week ahead
  • Timing heavy rain

Mostly Cloudy Today; Brighter Sunday…A weak disturbance scooted through the region overnight and lead to a quick “pop” of mixed rain/ snow.  As expected, this wasn’t a big deal.  We’ll keep clouds around today, but introduce more in the way of sunshine Sunday (after morning fog).

A warmer SW flow will develop in the new week ahead and help transport much warmer air into the region, but this will also lead to an increasingly wet pattern.  Spotty early week showers will give way to more widespread and heavier rains for the middle of the week.  Timing is up in the air, but there’s the chance we get into some briefly drier air Thursday PM, but we caution it won’t last long as a new surge of moisture arrives to close the work week.  We’ll also introduce thunder chances to wrap up the work week.

Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/05/brighter-sunday-warm-wet-period-coming/

Warm, But Wet Pattern Setting Up…

Screen Shot 2016-03-04 at 10.25.28 AM

Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/04/warm-but-wet-pattern-setting-up/

Snow Transitions To Rain…

Screen Shot 2016-03-03 at 7.11.27 AM

Highlights:

  • Snow changes to rain
  • Dry close to the work week
  • Warm, but wet pattern develops next week

Snow Transitions To Rain…Snow spread over central IN during the overnight and most neighborhoods accumulated between 1″-2″.  Warm air advection will result in snow transitioning to rain from south to north as we progress through the late morning hours.  All in all, it’ll be a raw Thursday.

Weak high pressure will build in and result in dry conditions Friday with sunshine returning.

A fast moving system will clip the region Saturday with a sprinkle or flurry possible, but this doesn’t appear to be a big deal in the least.

The bigger story?  The developing unseasonably warm period developing next week, but we caution this will also be a wet period as a prolonged SW flow transports moisture-rich Gulf of Mexico air into the region.  Heavy rain totals will be a good bet.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/03/snow-transitions-to-rain/

Slushy Snow Late Tonight For Some…

Screen Shot 2016-03-02 at 7.32.36 AMHighlights:

  • Cold, dry midweek
  • Snow changes to rain for central IN Thursday morning
  • Much warmer times coming

Slushy Snow Late Tonight For Some…It’s a much colder feel out the door this morning!  You’ll want the heavier coat.  The good news? Dry conditions today, including lots of sunshine.

Our next fast moving storm system will spread snow into central IN during the overnight (after midnight for most) and accumulate for some (snowfall forecast below).  For the city, itself, look for a slushy coating to 1″.  Further north, a band of 1″-3″ is expected before the transition to rain mid to late morning.  Northern IN will be the “winner” with this system, including a 3″-5″ band.  All precipitation will be to our east by Thursday evening.

A dry close to the work week is expected before another fast moving storm system deliver a sprinkle Saturday, but this just doesn’t look to be a big deal at the moment.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

We turn much warmer early next week, but clouds and showers may keep us from being as warm as we could’ve been otherwise.  Better rain and storm chances arrive late Tuesday.  A stiff southwest wind will be with us early next week.

Thursday3:3:16For more in-depth and frequent video discussions and long-range forecasts, e-mail bill@indywx.com for details on our consulting options.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/02/slushy-snow-late-tonight-for-some/

Busy Pattern This Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-29 at 7.32.39 AM

Highlights:

  • Increasing sunshine today
  • Rain/ embedded thunder end as snow Tuesday
  • Accumulating mid week snow

Busy Pattern This Week…After a windy and warm Sunday, a thin band of showers and embedded thunder moved through central IN last night.  This was in association with a weak frontal boundary that will provide a dry start to the work week.  Despite a cloudy start, sunshine should quickly develop as clouds decrease.

Quiet times won’t last long as our next storm system delivers showers and thunderstorms Tuesday.  Colder air will quickly punch in here Tuesday afternoon and evening helping precipitation transition to wet snow before ending.  We think the significant accumulations will remain north of central IN, but we’re keeping a close eye on things, nonetheless.  Expect an evening update.

Busy times remain in the mid week period as a wave of low pressure spreads widespread snow across the area Thursday.  Early indications would suggest this may be a plowable snow for some of the region.

As it stands now, moderating conditions and increasing sunshine are expected heading into next weekend.  Longer term, a big ridge should develop across the area later next week.  It’s a pattern supportive of anomalous warmth to the tune of 75-80 degrees….

Interested in our consulting options and personalized discussions to your business needs? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/29/busy-pattern-this-week/

Milder Weekend Ahead…

Screen Shot 2016-02-26 at 6.42.32 AM

Highlights:

  • Dry, chilly close to the week
  • Milder weekend
  • Eyeing a mid week storm

Milder Weekend Ahead…Scattered flurries are flying across northeastern and eastern parts of the state this morning, but drier air is invading from the west and this should lead to increasing sunshine through the afternoon.

Though Saturday won’t be as warm as Sunday, it’s our pick of the weekend with lots of sunshine and mild temperatures.  We’ll add wind and evening showers into the mix Sunday.

The next storm of significance is slated to arrive Tuesday.  Though we’ll have to fine tune details as we move forward, for now we’ll go with developing rain Tuesday followed by a transition to snow showers Wednesday. Stay tuned.

Indications late next week are that we may have to deal with an active NW flow and snow-producing clippers.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/26/milder-weekend-ahead/

Heading In The Right Direction For The Weekend…

Screen Shot 2016-02-25 at 7.31.50 AM

Highlights:

  • Snow showers and windy
  • Dry, chilly close to the week
  • Turning milder this weekend
  • Next storm lining up the middle of next week

Snowy Thursday; Milder Weekend…Windy and periodically snowy conditions will be with us today, especially this morning.  Drier air will win out later tonight and set the stage for a chilly, but dry close to the work week.

Temperatures will get several positive boosts in the right direction just in time for the weekend.  Despite a bit of a breeze Saturday, sunshine and lower 50s will be great!  Things turn increasingly windy Sunday with afternoon/ evening showers possible.

Our next item of “interest” moves in the middle of next week. It’s far too early for specifics, but some data is eerily similar to our most recent event…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/25/heading-in-the-right-direction-for-the-weekend/

Mid Week Snow Storm For Parts Of The Area…

Screen Shot 2016-02-22 at 7.32.33 AMHighlights:

  • Nice open to the week
  • Mid week winter storm for parts of the area
  • Wind and heavy, wet snow

Mid Week Snow Storm For Parts Of The Area…Today is easy!  Weak high pressure will supply dry skies and a quiet time of things, but trouble’s lurking for mid week.

Clouds will increase Tuesday and rain will move in Tuesday evening as a developing storm system lifts northeast out of Texas, into the TN Valley, and into the eastern Ohio Valley.  Long term Hoosiers know that’s a classic track for a snow hit here across central IN and that will likely ring true for portions of the area Wednesday evening into Thursday.  We forecast rain to transition to a heavy, wet snow from northeast to southwest Wednesday afternoon into the evening.  There’s still fine tuning ahead, but as things stand now, this could be a significant event (6″+) for some central and northern IN neighborhoods.  Stay tuned.

The other component of this storm will be a strong and gusty northeast wind that eventually shifts to the north and northwest Wednesday into Thursday.  Cold conditions will be with us to wrap up the work week as the big dig begins for some.

2:23:16-2:25:16Initial

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/22/mid-week-snow-storm-for-parts-of-the-area/

Nice Finish To The Weekend; Mid Week Storm Brewing…

Screen Shot 2016-02-21 at 10.39.59 AMHighlights:

  • Beautiful finish to the weekend
  • Mid week storm brewing with many questions
  • Snow potential for some
  • Colder pattern developing

Nice Finish To The Weekend; Mid Week Storm Brewing…A disturbance responsible for overnight/ early morning thunderstorms and heavy rain across southern IN is tracking east.  Drier air is working in now and we’ve dialed up a beauty of a close to the weekend across central IN.

The work week will get started on a quiet note, but trouble is brewing for mid week as a big storm system lifts out of the southern Plains and into the lower Ohio Valley.  We forecast a lowering and thickening cloud deck Tuesday followed by rain developing.  As colder air gets pulled into the system, rain will begin to transition to a heavy, wet snow across portions of the area.  Exactly who sees the transition and when remain in question and will have to be fine tuned as time goes along.  That said, the potential is there for a heavy, wet snow “thump” across a portion of our area.  Stay tuned.

This storm will set things into a much colder and rather active time to close the work week and head into next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/21/nice-finish-to-the-weekend-mid-week-storm-brewing/

IndyWx.com