Category Archives: 10-day

Active Storm Track; Sustained Cold Tough To Find…

Updated 01.15.23 @ 8:44a

The upcoming 10-day period will feature multiple storms of significance. With a neutral to negative PNA, the storm track should predominantly be on the warm side as the eastern ridge continues to flex its muscle.

“Transitional” cold will follow behind storm systems, but any sort of sustained cold will be mighty hard to come by over the aforementioned period.

A widespread chunk of the country can expect above normal precipitation in this fast paced, overall warm pattern.

Storm dates of interest include 1/16, 1/19, and 1/22-1/23.

No Comments 10-day, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, PNA, Rain, Unseasonably Warm

After A Quiet Open To January, Busy Times Return…

Updated 01.09.23 @ 6:56a

Month to date, IND is running slightly behind average in the precipitation department. As we look ahead at this week, and beyond, it seems like we’re poised to make up for lost time in that regard.

A hyper active Pacific jet will hand multiple storms off to the east in the coming week to 10 days. The first of which will arrive the middle of this week as low pressure moves from the central Plains into the eastern Great Lakes.

Rain will overspread the region Wednesday and we still need to monitor the possibility of a transition to wet snow Thursday.

Additional storm systems of note are dialed up Sunday night and Monday and again the middle of next week.

No Comments 10-day, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, snow, Weather Rambles

“January Thaw” Is An Understatement…

Updated 01.06.23 @ 7a

For some perspective on just how warm this January pattern is, the average high this time of year (in Indianapolis) is 36°. The average LOW to open up Jan ‘23 has been 42°. IND is currently running an amazing 19.2° above normal on the month.

Despite the MJO moving into the classic phases for eastern cold, the positive (and at times strongly so) EPO is looking to continue flooding the country with unseasonably mild air over the next couple weeks at a minimum. While 60° may be tough to come by, multiple 50°+ days are on tap in this pattern during the Week 2 time period as the EPO strengthens its positive hold.

The next (10) days overall will also feature drier than normal conditions across our neck of the woods.

No Comments 10-day, Client, Ensemble Discussion, EPO, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Long Range Discussion, MJO, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Warm