January 2023 archive

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/17/video-step-down-process-to-more-interesting-times-from-a-wintry-perspective/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/16/video-old-man-winter-you-now-have-our-attention/

Jan 16

Window Opening For A Wintry Threat In The 8-10 Day Period?

• Filed under Client, EPO, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, PNA, snow, Wintry Mix

• January 16, 2023

Updated 01.16.23 @ 11:17a

We’ll have a more detailed video discussion posted this evening but wanted to highlight an opportunity for perhaps a more intriguing winter weather setup in the 8-10 day period.

While the time period is too far out for specifics, it does appear as if the pattern will become more favorable for cold and moisture to “marry.” It’s not necessarily a setup for a blockbuster storm, but rather a series of waves of moisture riding northeast along a pressing cold airmass moving southeast. The combination of the PNA (negative) and EPO (negative) means there should be enough resistance from the southeastern ridge to lead to this being more of an Ohio Valley and interior Northeast threat vs “suppression depression.”

For now let’s just circle next weekend into early the following week to see if more of the models begin to catch on to this threat, similar to what the European model is already suggesting perhaps…

More later today!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/16/window-opening-for-a-wintry-threat-in-the-8-10-day-period/

Jan 15

Active Storm Track; Sustained Cold Tough To Find…

• Filed under 10-day, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, PNA, Rain, Unseasonably Warm

• January 15, 2023

Updated 01.15.23 @ 8:44a

The upcoming 10-day period will feature multiple storms of significance. With a neutral to negative PNA, the storm track should predominantly be on the warm side as the eastern ridge continues to flex its muscle.

“Transitional” cold will follow behind storm systems, but any sort of sustained cold will be mighty hard to come by over the aforementioned period.

A widespread chunk of the country can expect above normal precipitation in this fast paced, overall warm pattern.

Storm dates of interest include 1/16, 1/19, and 1/22-1/23.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/15/active-storm-track-sustained-cold-tough-to-find/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/14/updated-seasonal-thoughts-as-we-head-into-the-2nd-half-of-winter-and-towards-spring/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/13/video-pacific-pattern-keeps-things-busy-into-the-week-ahead/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/12/video-parade-of-storms-lined-up-updated-long-range-discussion/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/11/video-rain-and-embedded-thunder-becomes-more-widespread-thursday-morning-colder-heading-into-the-weekend/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/10/video-active-but-still-overall-a-warmer-than-normal-pattern-over-the-upcoming-10-days/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/10/tuesday-morning-rambles-5/