March 2021 archive

Mar 15

VIDEO: Mixture Of Sleet And Freezing Rain This Morning Gives Way To Thunder Overnight…

Updated 03.15.21 @ 7:55a

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Mar 14

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 03.14.21 @ 10:26a

I. Tracking 2 coast-to-coast storms in the week ahead

II. Severe episodes begin to increase

Coldest anomalies will be centered over the deep snowpack across the Front Range. The Midwest and OHV region will run above to well above normal in the temperature department.
Well above normal precipitation will target the middle of the country, including into the Southeast.
We forecast between 1.25″ and 1.75″ for *most central IN rain gauges over the upcoming 7 days.
Each day this upcoming week will feature a threat of severe weather (including tornadoes), focused on the Plains and into the Southeast. That said, even into the OHV, a threat of stronger storms is present by midweek.
Widespread severe drought conditions persist across the 4-Corner region.

Forecast period: 03.14.21 through 03.21.21

An active week is in store for the region as a series of storm systems impacts the area. The first system will deliver widespread heavier precipitation (after today’s light, nuisance variety rain/ drizzle) late morning Monday into the afternoon hours. With just enough cold air in place, there’s the possibility this precipitation will mix with sleet and freezing rain from Indianapolis and points north briefly at the onset. That said, the wintry precipitation types won’t last long and things will quickly changeover to a plain ole rain by early to mid afternoon. Scattered showers and a possible embedded storm will continue Tuesday as the surface low moves through the Ohio Valley.

Storm #2 quickly follows for St. Patrick’s Day. While we still have some time to fine tune things, I’d suggest keeping an eye on Wednesday afternoon for the possibility of stronger storm potential as far north as central IN and more of the Ohio Valley as a whole. The ingredients aren’t the best, but there seems to be just enough warmth and instability to at least warrant a close eye for this time period. We’ll do just that and update our products accordingly.

Quieter weather will build into the area by the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-23/

Mar 13

VIDEO: Week Opens With A Messy System And We Eye Storm Potential By St. Patrick’s Day…

Updated 03.13.21 @ 9:24a

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Mar 12

Weekend Opens With Sunshine; Tracking Two Storms Next Week…

Updated 03.12.21 @ 7:38a

The cold front that delivered showers and thunderstorms to central Indiana Thursday is now off to our south. In general, rainfall amounts checked in between 0.50″ and 0.75″ to the north of Indianapolis and between 1″ and 2″ south of the I-70 corridor. Far downstate saw rainfall totals as high as 3″ in spots.

High pressure will nudge into central Indiana and keep us dry (including offering up sunshine) as we open the weekend.

Highs will top out in the middle 50s both today and Saturday across central Indiana with partly cloudy conditions. While lows tonight will be chilly, most should stay just above freezing (unless you’re viewing from northeast or far east-central IN).

Clouds will increase Sunday and a cold light rain will follow by late morning/ early afternoon.

Eventually this rain will increase in intensity as we move into Monday morning. At the same time, cold air will be drilling into northeast regions of the state. The combination of the two will lead to a period of mixed precipitation Monday morning into the afternoon hours across northeast Indiana. Since it’s been unseasonably warm as of late and temperatures will be only marginally cold (upper 20s to lower 30s), icing on area roadways isn’t expected. That said, elevated surfaces could accumulate a light glaze of ice Monday morning for areas along and north of a line from Muncie to Logansport.

Milder air will overspread the region Monday afternoon and allow everything to switch over to a plain ole rain that will continue into Tuesday.

Most of central Indiana can expect an additional 0.50″ to 1″ of rain with this early week feature.

We’ll have a brief break in the action for St. Patrick’s Day and then another storm system will roll across the Ohio Valley Thursday. Forecast models differ on the track of this system (GFS is colder and further south while the European is warmer/ further north). We’ll fine tune things over the weekend and update accordingly. From this distance, I’d plan on another round of rain and potential thunder Thursday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekend-opens-with-sunshine-tracking-two-storms-next-week/

Mar 11

VIDEO: Short-Term Update; Looking Ahead To Late March…

Updated: 03.11.21 @ 8a T-storm chances ramp up across central IN into the early afternoon. We trend cooler over the weekend and rain returns Sunday. More on this and a…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-short-term-update-looking-ahead-to-late-march/