July 2020 archive

Afternoon Video: Short-Term Update Discussing Weekend Storm Chances And Looking At The Pattern To Close July…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/08/afternoon-video-short-term-update-discussing-weekend-storm-chances-and-looking-at-the-pattern-to-close-july/

July To-Date And Where We Think We’re Going The Rest Of The Month…

You don’t need us to tell you it’s been a hot month so far. Officially, IND is running 5.8° above average to open the month. At least compared to normal, even greater warm anomalies can be found across the upper Midwest and northern Great Lakes. Meanwhile, the West has been running exceptionally cool.

We’re actually running slightly above normal in the rainfall department (+0.17″) month-to-date at IND. As is typical this time of year, there are your usual “haves and have nots,” but the fact of the matter is that there have been many more neighborhoods that have seen beneficial rains vs. not over the past week.

The remainder of the work week will continue to feature “splash and dash” variety of storms, especially in the afternoon and evening. We believe better overall coverage of rain can be expected by late week and into the weekend. The culprit? The ‘mean’ upper ridge will retrograde southwest and a cold front and associated upper level energy will move southeast across the Ohio Valley. This will also deliver cooler, or “less hot” conditions. We’ll replace highs in the low-mid 90s with highs in the mid-upper 80s and lows in the lower to middle 60s.

A break in the heat is ahead this weekend into early next week.

Recent trends continue to suggest the core of the upper ridge will once again move northeast as we move into Week 2. While it doesn’t appear as if this will have staying power to the likes of what we’re currently seeing, we would anticipate an uptick in the heat/ humidity again in the Week 2 time period (more particular July 14th through 19th). Additionally, organized rain chances will once again transition to the splash and dash variety.

Thereafter, we believe the ridge will settle into the central Plains and it’s here that we expect hottest and driest weather to wrap up the month. The transitional regime continues over the next few weeks with periods of the heat pulling back followed by resurgence…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/07/july-to-date-and-where-we-think-were-going-the-rest-of-the-month/

VIDEO: Pullback In The Heat This Weekend, But Growing Concern It Returns With Authority In The Longer Range…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/06/video-pullback-in-the-heat-this-weekend-but-growing-concern-it-returns-with-authority-in-the-longer-range/

VIDEO: Heat Remains The Big Story In The Short-Term; Better Rain Chances Return Late Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/05/video-heat-remains-the-big-story-in-the-short-term-better-rain-chances-return-late-week/

Weekly #AGwx And #Severe Weather Outlook…

I. Significant heat wave builds from the Plains into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.

II. Heavy tropical downpours fall across the Southeast as a surface low meanders around the region early in the period.

Significant heat will bake the central Plains into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley this week. Meanwhile, chilly conditions will persist across the Northwest. The Southeast will run slightly cooler than normal.
A wet pattern will develop this week across the Southeast region. Wetter than normal conditions will continue across the Northern Plains, as well. Dry conditions can be expected across the OHV and Great Lakes.
Unless you find yourself under an isolated strong storm, most of central Indiana can only expect between 0.10″ and 0.25″ of rain over the 7-day period.
Quiet conditions can be expected, locally, with respect to severe potential. That will be another story entirely across the Northern Plains over the next few days, however.

Forecast Period: 07.04.20 through 07.11.20

A relatively quiet period of weather can be expected across not only central Indiana, but all of the Ohio Valley over the upcoming 7-days as a strong ridge of high pressure dominates our region. This will lead to a significant and prolonged period of hot and increasingly humid conditions, including a consecutive stretch of 90° + highs to the likes of which we haven’t seen since the infamous summer of 2012. If planning time outdoors, build in frequent breaks. Overall dry conditions are also expected this week. The exception to this will be the opportunity of widely scattered storms developing in the prime heating hours (afternoon and evening each day). Count yourself lucky if you get under one of these storms. Unfortunately, some neighborhoods may go the entire week without a drop of rain.

Have a safe and happy Independence Day weekend, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/04/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-12/

Heat Wave Gets Underway; Looking At Rain Chances…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/03/heat-wave-gets-underway-looking-at-rain-chances/

VIDEO: Hot To Open The Month; Dialing Up BIG Mid-Month Changes…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/02/video-hot-to-open-the-month-dialing-up-big-mid-month-changes/

VIDEO: Extended Period Of Excessive Heat Awaits…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/07/01/video-extended-period-of-excessive-heat-awaits/

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