As we look ahead to late September, there’s a battle beginning to take place in model land. When we pull back the curtain, we note the GEFS and EPS handle the evolution of the EPO in two totally different manners in the Week 2 time period.
The GEFS begins to tank the EPO, suggesting cooler times are ahead to close September.
The EPS maintains a positive EPO and associated much warmer pattern to close September.
Our stand on the evolution of the pattern remains unchanged: that much cooler times will return as we get set to wrap up the month and head into early October. Updated data, aside from the European, suggests we’re on the right track with that train of thought.
JMA Weeklies- Week 2
CFSv2- Week 2
GEFS- Week 2
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